Sporting Lisbon vs Porto – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball Portuguese LPB Sporting Lisbon - Porto
Result
74:78
30/05/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LPB - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalDAZN 1

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
6665
Field Goals Made
2727
Field Goals %
40.9%41.5%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
4334
2-Point Field Goals Made
2118
2-Point Field Goals %
48.8%52.9%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
2331
3-Point Field Goals Made
69
3-Point Field Goals %
26.1%29%
Free Throws Attempted
2819
Free Throws Made
1415
Free Throws %
50%78.9%
Offensive Rebounds
1313
Defensive Rebounds
2633
Total Rebounds
3946
Assists
1514
Blocks
13
Turnovers
1314
Steals
1010
Personal Fouls
2022

Chances of winning


Sporting Lisbon
43.4%
Porto
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.7% 59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3% 59.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Sporting Lisbon - Porto Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (2.27)

    1.64
    (1.56)
    7.9%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 163.75
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
  • What is the prediction for Sporting Lisbon - Porto?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Sporting will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Porto will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 35.2%92%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Sporting (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Porto (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 83:81.
  • Preview Facts
    • FC Porto leads series 2-0. 3rd leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 0.
    • Sporting has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Porto is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Recently, Sporting has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1664:1693. (average 83.2:84.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sporting won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 707:675. (average 88.4:84.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Lisbon - Porto were as follows:
    25.05.2025 Porto - Sporting Lisbon 83:64
    23.05.2025 Porto - Sporting Lisbon 91:81
    09.04.2025 Porto - Sporting Lisbon 82:72
    23.03.2025 Porto - Sporting Lisbon 94:73
    25.01.2025 Porto - Sporting Lisbon 83:78
    Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
    Latest results of Porto
    25.05.2025 Porto - Sporting Lisbon 83:64
    23.05.2025 Porto - Sporting Lisbon 91:81
    15.05.2025 Imortal - Porto 84:95
    11.05.2025 Porto - Imortal 88:74
    04.05.2025 Oliveirense - Porto 83:78
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1BenficaVitoria2 : 0
    2OliveirenseOvarense1 : 2
    3FC PortoImortal2 : 0
    4Sporting CPGalitos Barreiro2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1BenficaOvarense3 : 0
    2FC PortoSporting CP3 : 0

    Final
    1BenficaFC Porto3 : 1