Result
1:1
20/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 22
- Referee: Hallam F. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.15 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (319/414) | 76% (299/391) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.15 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (319/414) | 76% (299/391) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (28/71) | 27% (17/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (81/129) | 57% (53/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (8/25) | 11% (2/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.26 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 50% (9/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.18 | 0.74 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Lang C. ⚽, Murphy J. (A),
- 42', Dozzell A. 🟨,
- 44', Brewster R. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 1, Matthews H. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 53', Murphy J. ↓, Blair H. ↑,
- 66', Chaplin C. ↓, Segecic A. ↑,
- 66', Kosznovszky M. ↓, Pack M. ↑,
- 68', Brewster R. ↓, Weimann A. ↑,
- 77', Brereton Diaz B. ↓, Salvesen L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Derby County
48.1% | Draw
28.2% | Portsmouth
23.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Portsmouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Derby County - Portsmouth Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↑
(1.92) |
3.38 ↑
(3.31) |
4.01 ↑
(3.95) |
4.8%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Derby County - Portsmouth?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Derby (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Derby (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Derby (3.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Derby County will win
(19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.02% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Derby County will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Derby (votes: 10 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 21).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derby won 1.
- In recent matches, Derby has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Portsmouth has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Derby might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Derby: Beck O.
(Inactive)
Johnston M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Morris C.
(Ankle Injury)
Ozoh D.
(Injury)
Travis L.
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Portsmouth: Farrell J.
(Groin Injury)
Ogilvie C.
(Knee Injury)
Poole R.
(Ankle Injury)
Shaughnessy C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Umeh F.
(Hamstring Injury)
Waddingham T.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Portsmouth: Knight J.
(Back Injury)
Matthews H.
(Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Derby won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 1.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Derby won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Portsmouth?
Derby County has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Portsmouth won against Derby County?
Portsmouth has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Portsmouth were as follows:
12.04.2025
Portsmouth
-
Derby County
2:2
13.12.2024
Derby County
-
Portsmouth
4:0
02.04.2024
Portsmouth
-
Derby County
2:2
16.09.2023
Derby County
-
Portsmouth
1:1
18.11.2022
Portsmouth
-
Derby County
0:0
Latest results of Derby County
Latest results of Portsmouth
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 72:38 | 34 | 71 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 54:35 | 19 | 66 |
| 3 | Millwall | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 47:40 | 7 | 62 |
| 4 | Ipswich | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 59:34 | 25 | 60 |
| 5 | Hull | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 56:48 | 8 | 60 |
| 6 | Wrexham | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 54:45 | 9 | 57 |
| 7 | Southampton | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 57:46 | 11 | 53 |
| 8 | Derby | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 52:46 | 6 | 51 |
| 9 | Watford | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 51 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 48:44 | 4 | 50 |
| 11 | Preston | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 41:40 | 1 | 49 |
| 12 | Birmingham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 46:46 | 0 | 49 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 35 | 15 | 3 | 17 | 50:48 | 2 | 48 |
| 14 | Stoke | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 39:34 | 5 | 47 |
| 15 | QPR | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 46:54 | -8 | 47 |
| 16 | Swansea | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 40:43 | -3 | 46 |
| 17 | Norwich | 35 | 13 | 6 | 16 | 47:44 | 3 | 45 |
| 18 | Charlton | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 33:44 | -11 | 41 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 34:44 | -10 | 39 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 33:46 | -13 | 38 |
| 21 | West Brom | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 35 |
| 22 | Leicester | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 47:56 | -9 | 34 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 31:47 | -16 | 32 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 35 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 21:71 | -50 | -7 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
