Result
0:1
16/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 38
- Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Bolivia | ESPN 5 |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Chile | ESPN 5 |
 Colombia | ESPN 5 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Ecuador | ESPN 5 |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | beIN Sports MAX 4 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Hong-kong | myTV SUPER |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport Viaplay |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Ireland | NOW |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
 Malaysia | Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 6 |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Paraguay | ESPN 5 |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN 5 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
 Singapore | mio Sports 1 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 6, Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Turkey | Exxen |
 United-kingdom | NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports UHD |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN 5, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 1.00 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (396/494) | 60% (145/243) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 1.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (396/494) | 60% (145/243) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (25/70) | 24% (16/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (116/178) | 33% (24/73) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (9/41) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.39 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (15/20) | 31% (4/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 55 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.71 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.09 | 0.71 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Szmodics S. ⚽,
- 40', Chaplin C. 🟨,
- 41', Szmodics S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 53', Clarke M. 🟨,
- 61', Brewster R. ↓, Fraulo O. ↑,
- 63', Swanson Z. ↓, Shaughnessy C. ↑,
- 63', Chaplin C. ↓, Swift J. ↑,
- 67', Swift J. 🟨,
- 72', Szmodics S. ↓, Ozoh D. ↑,
- 72', Agyemang P. ↓, Morris C. ↑,
- 77', Alli M. ↓, Segecic A. ↑,
- 77', Adams E. ↓, Bishop C. ↑,
- 78', Brereton Diaz B. 🟨,
- 83', Brereton Diaz B. ↓, Banel J. ↑,
- 83', Murkin D. ↓, Forsyth C. ↑,
- 83', Brown J. ↓, Kirk M. ↑,
- 86', Clark B. 🟨,
- 88', Ward J. 🟨,
- 90+2', Fraulo O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Portsmouth
43.9% | Draw
29.2% | Derby County
26.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portsmouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Portsmouth - Derby County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.18 ↓
(2.36) |
3.25 ↑
(3.15) |
3.54 ↑
(2.98) |
4.8%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Portsmouth - Derby County?
Users Predictions:
32 users predict this event. Portsmouth will win (votes: 14 - 43.8%). Derby will win (votes: 12 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Portsmouth: 26.6% – 61%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Portsmouth (votes: 3 - 50%). Derby (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +0.5 - Derby (3.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Derby (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Portsmouth (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Portsmouth (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Derby (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portsmouth won 0.
- Recent form of Portsmouth has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Derby's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Portsmouth is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Portsmouth: Alese A.
(Muscle Injury)
Anderson K.
(Hamstring Injury)
Bianchini F.
(Knee Injury)
Dozzell A.
(Ankle Injury)
Kirk M.
(Inactive)
Knight J.
(Back Injury)
Kosznovszky M.
(Knee Injury)
Murphy J.
(Foot Injury)
Umeh F.
(Hamstring Injury)
Waddingham T.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Derby: Batth D.
(Muscle Injury)
Elder C.
(Inactive)
Johnston M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Langas S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Salvesen L.
(Muscle Injury)
Thompson L.
(Muscle Injury)
Widell Zetterstrom J.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Derby: Vickers J.
(Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Portsmouth won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Portsmouth won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Portsmouth won against Derby County?
Portsmouth has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Portsmouth?
Derby County has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Portsmouth - Derby County were as follows:
20.12.2025
Derby County
-
Portsmouth
1:1
12.04.2025
Portsmouth
-
Derby County
2:2
13.12.2024
Derby County
-
Portsmouth
4:0
02.04.2024
Portsmouth
-
Derby County
2:2
16.09.2023
Derby County
-
Portsmouth
1:1
Latest results of Portsmouth
Latest results of Derby County
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 42 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 84:42 | 42 | 85 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 40 | 21 | 12 | 7 | 71:40 | 31 | 75 |
| 3 | Millwall | 42 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 56:47 | 9 | 73 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 62:42 | 20 | 72 |
| 5 | Southampton | 41 | 19 | 12 | 10 | 70:50 | 20 | 69 |
| 6 | Hull | 42 | 20 | 8 | 14 | 64:60 | 4 | 68 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 42 | 17 | 13 | 12 | 63:60 | 3 | 64 |
| 8 | Derby | 42 | 18 | 9 | 15 | 61:53 | 8 | 63 |
| 9 | Norwich | 42 | 17 | 7 | 18 | 55:50 | 5 | 58 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 52:51 | 1 | 58 |
| 11 | QPR | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 58:63 | -5 | 58 |
| 12 | Watford | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 52:51 | 1 | 57 |
| 13 | Preston | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 50:53 | -3 | 57 |
| 14 | Swansea | 42 | 16 | 9 | 17 | 50:54 | -4 | 57 |
| 15 | Birmingham | 42 | 15 | 11 | 16 | 51:52 | -1 | 56 |
| 16 | Stoke | 42 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 49:46 | 3 | 55 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 42 | 16 | 6 | 20 | 59:59 | 0 | 54 |
| 18 | Charlton | 42 | 12 | 13 | 17 | 39:51 | -12 | 49 |
| 19 | Blackburn | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 38:50 | -12 | 48 |
| 20 | West Brom | 42 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 42:56 | -14 | 46 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 41 | 11 | 12 | 18 | 41:57 | -16 | 45 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 42 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 41:54 | -13 | 44 |
| 23 | Leicester | 42 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 54:64 | -10 | 41 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 42 | 1 | 11 | 30 | 25:82 | -57 | -4 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
