Result
2:2
12/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 42
- Referee: Ricardo R. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Hungary | Net4+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 1.43 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (232/329) | 50% (112/225) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 1.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.17 | 1.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (232/329) | 50% (112/225) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (26/77) | 21% (17/80) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (71/123) | 43% (33/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (4/31) | 37% (7/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.51 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 56% (5/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 73 | 67 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 32 | 46 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 1.08 | 2.17 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.08 | 0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 6', Widell Zetterstrom J. 🟨,
- 6', Bishop C. (Pen),
- 21', Clarke M. 🟨,
- 27', Swanson Z. 🟨,
- 33', Hayden I. 🟨,
- 34', Mendez-Laing N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 57', Adams E. 🟨,
- 66', Mendez-Laing N. ↓, Jackson K. ↑,
- 68', Saydee C. 🟨,
- 69', Bishop C. 🟨,
- 70', 0 - 1, Yates J. ⚽, Forsyth C. (A),
- 71', 1 - 1, Atkinson R. ⚽, Murphy J. (A),
- 75', 1 - 2, Atkinson R. (Own goal),
- 79', Hayden I. ↓, Dozzell A. ↑,
- 79', Saydee C. ↓, Yengi K. ↑,
- 79', Swanson Z. ↓, Devlin T. ↑,
- 80', Atkinson R. 🟨,
- 83', Harness M. ↓, Goudmijn K. ↑,
- 86', Potts F. ↓, Pack M. ↑,
- 86', Ritchie M. ↓, Blair H. ↑,
- 90+1', 2 - 2, Atkinson R. ⚽, Schmid N. (A),
Chances of winning
Portsmouth
37.2% | Draw
32.9% | Derby County
29.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portsmouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Portsmouth's form might have worsened.Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (+11.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Portsmouth, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Portsmouth - Derby County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.55 ↑
(2.02) |
2.86 ↓
(3.46) |
3.2 ↓
(3.63) |
5.5%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Portsmouth - Derby County?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Portsmouth will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Derby will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Portsmouth: 23.8% – 76.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Portsmouth (votes: 2 - 50%). Derby (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 17 and 21).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Portsmouth won 0.
- Portsmouth is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Derby is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Derby could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Portsmouth: Atkinson R.
(Calf Injury)
Bowat I.
(Tendon Injury)
Farrell J.
(Leg Injury)
Lane P.
(Knee Injury)
Lang C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Matthews H.
(Ankle Injury)
Shaughnessy C.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Derby: Blackett-Taylor C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Nelson C.
(Knee Injury)
Ozoh D.
(Thigh Injury)
Roofe K.
(Hamstring Injury)
Salvesen L.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Derby: Brown D.
(Hamstring Injury)
Langas S.
(Injury)
Nyambe R.
(Injury)
Osborn B.
(Hamstring Injury)
Ward J.
(Injury)
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Portsmouth won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:11 (average 1:1.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Portsmouth won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Portsmouth won against Derby County?
Portsmouth has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Portsmouth?
Derby County has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Portsmouth - Derby County were as follows:
13.12.2024
Derby County
-
Portsmouth
4:0
02.04.2024
Portsmouth
-
Derby County
2:2
16.09.2023
Derby County
-
Portsmouth
1:1
18.11.2022
Portsmouth
-
Derby County
0:0
Latest results of Portsmouth
Latest results of Derby County
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Stoke | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | West Brom | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Bristol City | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 5 |
| 5 | Coventry | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Birmingham | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Hull | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Preston | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Southampton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Charlton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Leicester | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Norwich | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Portsmouth | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | Watford | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 15 | Swansea | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 16 | Millwall | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 17 | Ipswich | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 18 | QPR | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 19 | Derby | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 1 |
| 20 | Wrexham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 0 |
| 21 | Oxford Utd | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 0 |
| 22 | Blackburn | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 23 | Sheffield Utd | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
