Portsmouth vs Derby County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Fratton Park (Portsmouth).

Championship - Round 38
Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Bolivia	ESPN 5
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	ESPN 5
Colombia	ESPN 5
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN 5
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	beIN Sports MAX 4
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	myTV SUPER
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay
India	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 2
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Paraguay	ESPN 5
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 5
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	mio Sports 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 6, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
Sweden	Viaplay
Turkey	Exxen
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 5, Inter

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.70	1.00
Ball possession
68%	32%
Total shots
27	10
Shots on target
9	4
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
11	3
Passes
80% (396/494)	60% (145/243)
Yellow cards
2	6
Expected goals (xG)
1.70	1.00
xG on target (xGOT)
0.71	1.09
Total shots
27	10
Shots on target
9	4
Shots off target
6	4
Blocked shots
12	2
Shots inside the box
18	8
Shots outside the box
9	2
Hit the woodwork
0	2
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
11	3
Touches in opposition box
37	12
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free kicks
13	14
Passes
80% (396/494)	60% (145/243)
Long passes
36% (25/70)	24% (16/68)
Passes in final third
65% (116/178)	33% (24/73)
Crosses
22% (9/41)	25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.02	0.39
Throw ins
18	17
Fouls
14	13
Tackles
75% (15/20)	31% (4/13)
Duels won
55	58
Clearances
23	55
Interceptions
13	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
3	9
xGOT faced
1.09	0.71
Goals prevented
0.09	0.71

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Szmodics S. ⚽,
40', Chaplin C. 🟨,
41', Szmodics S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Clarke M. 🟨,
61', Brewster R. ↓, Fraulo O. ↑,
63', Swanson Z. ↓, Shaughnessy C. ↑,
63', Chaplin C. ↓, Swift J. ↑,
67', Swift J. 🟨,
72', Szmodics S. ↓, Ozoh D. ↑,
72', Agyemang P. ↓, Morris C. ↑,
77', Alli M. ↓, Segecic A. ↑,
77', Adams E. ↓, Bishop C. ↑,
78', Brereton Diaz B. 🟨,
83', Brereton Diaz B. ↓, Banel J. ↑,
83', Murkin D. ↓, Forsyth C. ↑,
83', Brown J. ↓, Kirk M. ↑,
86', Clark B. 🟨,
88', Ward J. 🟨,
90+2', Fraulo O. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Portsmouth
43.9%

Draw
29.2%

Derby County
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

29.5%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

29.7%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portsmouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Portsmouth - Derby County Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.36)	3.25 ↑ (3.15)	3.54 ↑ (2.98)	4.8% (7.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Portsmouth - Derby County?

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Portsmouth will win (votes: 14 - 43.8%). Derby will win (votes: 12 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Portsmouth: 26.6% – 61%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Portsmouth (votes: 3 - 50%). Derby (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +0.5 - Derby (3.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Derby (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Portsmouth (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Portsmouth (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Derby (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portsmouth won 0.
Recent form of Portsmouth has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Derby's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Portsmouth is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Portsmouth: Alese A. (Muscle Injury) Anderson K. (Hamstring Injury) Bianchini F. (Knee Injury) Dozzell A. (Ankle Injury) Kirk M. (Inactive) Knight J. (Back Injury) Kosznovszky M. (Knee Injury) Murphy J. (Foot Injury) Umeh F. (Hamstring Injury) Waddingham T. (Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Derby: Batth D. (Muscle Injury) Elder C. (Inactive) Johnston M. (Hamstring Injury) Langas S. (Hamstring Injury) Salvesen L. (Muscle Injury) Thompson L. (Muscle Injury) Widell Zetterstrom J. (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Derby: Vickers J. (Injury)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Portsmouth won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Portsmouth won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Portsmouth won against Derby County?

Portsmouth has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Portsmouth?

Derby County has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Portsmouth - Derby County were as follows:

20.12.2025 Derby County - Portsmouth 1:1

12.04.2025 Portsmouth - Derby County 2:2

13.12.2024 Derby County - Portsmouth 4:0

02.04.2024 Portsmouth - Derby County 2:2

16.09.2023 Derby County - Portsmouth 1:1

Latest results of Portsmouth

10.03.2026 Portsmouth - Swansea City 1:2 ✺

07.03.2026 Blackburn Rovers - Portsmouth 1:1 ✺

28.02.2026 Portsmouth - Hull City 0:1 ✺

24.02.2026 Wrexham - Portsmouth 2:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Millwall - Portsmouth 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Derby County

10.03.2026 Millwall - Derby County 1:0 ✺

07.03.2026 Derby County - Sheffield Wednesday 2:1 ✺

28.02.2026 Derby County - Blackburn Rovers 3:1 ✺

24.02.2026 Hull City - Derby County 4:2 ✺

21.02.2026 Watford - Derby County 2:0 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coventry	39	24	8	7	81:40	41	80
2	Middlesbrough	39	20	11	8	59:37	22	71
3	Ipswich	38	19	12	7	67:39	28	69
4	Millwall	39	20	9	10	53:44	9	69
5	Hull	39	20	6	13	62:57	5	66
6	Southampton	39	17	12	10	63:48	15	63
7	Wrexham	39	17	12	10	60:51	9	63
8	Derby	39	17	9	13	56:48	8	60
9	Watford	39	14	14	11	50:46	4	56
10	Norwich	39	16	6	17	52:46	6	54
11	Birmingham	39	14	11	14	48:49	-1	53
12	QPR	39	15	8	16	55:61	-6	53
13	Preston	39	13	13	13	45:49	-4	52
14	Swansea	39	15	7	17	44:49	-5	52
15	Stoke	39	14	9	16	46:43	3	51
16	Bristol City	39	14	9	16	49:50	-1	51
17	Sheffield Utd	39	15	5	19	54:54	0	50
18	Charlton	39	12	12	15	36:46	-10	48
19	Blackburn	39	11	10	18	36:49	-13	43
20	West Brom	39	11	10	18	40:54	-14	43
21	Portsmouth	38	10	10	18	37:54	-17	40
22	Leicester	39	11	12	16	51:60	-9	39
23	Oxford Utd	39	9	12	18	36:51	-15	39
24	Sheffield Wed ✔	39	1	9	29	24:79	-55	-6

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One

Clinched Spots for Teams

Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One