Derby County vs Portsmouth – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

20/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Pride Park (Derby).

Championship - Round 22
Referee: Hallam F. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.62	0.15
Ball Possession
52%	48%
Total shots
12	4
Shots on target
6	1
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
6	4
Passes
77% (319/414)	76% (299/391)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.62	0.15
xG on target (xGOT)
0.74	0.82
Total shots
12	4
Shots on target
6	1
Shots off target
5	2
Blocked Shots
1	1
Shots inside the Box
8	2
Shots outside the Box
4	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
6	4
Touches in opposition box
21	12
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
4	7
Passes
77% (319/414)	76% (299/391)
Long passes
39% (28/71)	27% (17/63)
Passes in final third
63% (81/129)	57% (53/93)
Crosses
32% (8/25)	11% (2/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.62	0.26
Throw-ins
22	26
Fouls
7	4
Tackles
56% (9/16)	50% (9/18)
Duels won
57	47
Clearances
21	44
Interceptions
15	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	6
xGOT faced
0.82	0.74
Goals prevented
-0.18	0.74

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Lang C. ⚽, Murphy J. (A),
42', Dozzell A. 🟨,
44', Brewster R. 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Matthews H. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Murphy J. ↓, Blair H. ↑,
66', Chaplin C. ↓, Segecic A. ↑,
66', Kosznovszky M. ↓, Pack M. ↑,
68', Brewster R. ↓, Weimann A. ↑,
77', Brereton Diaz B. ↓, Salvesen L. ↑,

Chances of winning

Derby County
48.1%

Draw
28.2%

Portsmouth
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

28.1%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

27.8%

23.2%

Derby County - Portsmouth Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.92)	3.38 ↑ (3.31)	4.01 ↑ (3.95)	4.8% (7.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Derby County - Portsmouth?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH 0 - Derby (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Derby (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Derby (3.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Derby County will win (19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.02% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Derby County will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Derby (votes: 6 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 21).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derby won 1.
In recent matches, Derby has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Portsmouth has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Derby might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Derby: Beck O. (Inactive) Johnston M. (Hamstring Injury) Morris C. (Ankle Injury) Ozoh D. (Injury) Travis L. (Calf Injury)
There will not play in Portsmouth: Farrell J. (Groin Injury) Ogilvie C. (Knee Injury) Poole R. (Ankle Injury) Shaughnessy C. (Hamstring Injury) Umeh F. (Hamstring Injury) Waddingham T. (Thigh Injury)
There are questionable in Portsmouth: Knight J. (Back Injury) Matthews H. (Injury)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Derby won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 1.6:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Derby won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Portsmouth?

Derby County has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Portsmouth won against Derby County?

Portsmouth has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Portsmouth were as follows:

12.04.2025 Portsmouth - Derby County 2:2

13.12.2024 Derby County - Portsmouth 4:0

02.04.2024 Portsmouth - Derby County 2:2

16.09.2023 Derby County - Portsmouth 1:1

18.11.2022 Portsmouth - Derby County 0:0

Latest results of Derby County

15.12.2025 Sheffield Wednesday - Derby County 0:3 ✺

10.12.2025 Derby County - Millwall 1:1 ✺

06.12.2025 Derby County - Leicester City 1:3 ✺

29.11.2025 Middlesbrough - Derby County 2:1 ✺

25.11.2025 Swansea City - Derby County 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Portsmouth

13.12.2025 Portsmouth - Blackburn Rovers 2:1 ✺

09.12.2025 Swansea City - Portsmouth 1:0 ✺

06.12.2025 Charlton Athletic - Portsmouth Abandoned ✺

29.11.2025 Portsmouth - Bristol City 0:1 ✺

26.11.2025 Sheffield United - Portsmouth 3:0 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coventry	28	17	7	4	61:31	30	58
2	Middlesbrough	28	15	7	6	42:29	13	52
3	Ipswich	27	14	8	5	47:24	23	50
4	Hull	27	14	5	8	45:39	6	47
5	Millwall	28	13	7	8	32:35	-3	46
6	Preston	28	11	10	7	36:29	7	43
7	Watford	27	11	9	7	38:32	6	42
8	Stoke	28	12	5	11	33:25	8	41
9	Wrexham	28	10	11	7	40:35	5	41
10	Derby	28	11	8	9	38:36	2	41
11	Bristol City	28	11	7	10	38:31	7	40
12	QPR	28	11	7	10	38:39	-1	40
13	Birmingham	28	10	8	10	38:37	1	38
14	Leicester	28	10	8	10	39:41	-2	38
15	Southampton	28	9	9	10	40:40	0	36
16	Swansea	28	10	6	12	31:35	-4	36
17	Sheffield Utd	27	10	2	15	36:40	-4	32
18	Charlton	27	8	8	11	27:34	-7	32
19	West Brom	28	9	4	15	31:43	-12	31
20	Norwich	28	8	6	14	35:40	-5	30
21	Portsmouth	26	7	8	11	23:36	-13	29
22	Blackburn	27	7	7	13	25:36	-11	28
23	Oxford Utd	27	5	9	13	25:35	-10	24
24	Sheffield Wed	27	1	8	18	18:54	-36	-7

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One