Derby County vs Portsmouth – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

20/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Pride Park (Derby).

Championship - Round 22
Referee: Hallam F. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.62	0.15
Ball Possession
52%	48%
Total shots
12	4
Shots on target
6	1
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
6	4
Passes
77% (319/414)	76% (299/391)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.62	0.15
xG on target (xGOT)
0.74	0.82
Total shots
12	4
Shots on target
6	1
Shots off target
5	2
Blocked Shots
1	1
Shots inside the Box
8	2
Shots outside the Box
4	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
6	4
Touches in opposition box
21	12
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
4	7
Passes
77% (319/414)	76% (299/391)
Long passes
39% (28/71)	27% (17/63)
Passes in final third
63% (81/129)	57% (53/93)
Crosses
32% (8/25)	11% (2/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.62	0.26
Throw-ins
22	26
Fouls
7	4
Tackles
56% (9/16)	50% (9/18)
Duels won
57	47
Clearances
21	44
Interceptions
15	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	6
xGOT faced
0.82	0.74
Goals prevented
-0.18	0.74

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Lang C. ⚽, Murphy J. (A),
42', Dozzell A. 🟨,
44', Brewster R. 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Matthews H. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Murphy J. ↓, Blair H. ↑,
66', Chaplin C. ↓, Segecic A. ↑,
66', Kosznovszky M. ↓, Pack M. ↑,
68', Brewster R. ↓, Weimann A. ↑,
77', Brereton Diaz B. ↓, Salvesen L. ↑,

Chances of winning

Derby County
48.1%

Draw
28.2%

Portsmouth
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

28.1%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

27.8%

23.2%

Derby County - Portsmouth Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.92)	3.38 ↑ (3.31)	4.01 ↑ (3.95)	4.8% (7.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Derby County - Portsmouth?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH 0 - Derby (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Derby (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Derby (3.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Derby County will win (19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.02% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Derby County will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Derby (votes: 10 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 21).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derby won 1.
In recent matches, Derby has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Portsmouth has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Derby might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Derby: Beck O. (Inactive) Johnston M. (Hamstring Injury) Morris C. (Ankle Injury) Ozoh D. (Injury) Travis L. (Calf Injury)
There will not play in Portsmouth: Farrell J. (Groin Injury) Ogilvie C. (Knee Injury) Poole R. (Ankle Injury) Shaughnessy C. (Hamstring Injury) Umeh F. (Hamstring Injury) Waddingham T. (Thigh Injury)
There are questionable in Portsmouth: Knight J. (Back Injury) Matthews H. (Injury)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Derby won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 1.6:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Derby won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Portsmouth?

Derby County has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Portsmouth won against Derby County?

Portsmouth has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Portsmouth were as follows:

12.04.2025 Portsmouth - Derby County 2:2

13.12.2024 Derby County - Portsmouth 4:0

02.04.2024 Portsmouth - Derby County 2:2

16.09.2023 Derby County - Portsmouth 1:1

18.11.2022 Portsmouth - Derby County 0:0

Latest results of Derby County

15.12.2025 Sheffield Wednesday - Derby County 0:3 ✺

10.12.2025 Derby County - Millwall 1:1 ✺

06.12.2025 Derby County - Leicester City 1:3 ✺

29.11.2025 Middlesbrough - Derby County 2:1 ✺

25.11.2025 Swansea City - Derby County 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Portsmouth

13.12.2025 Portsmouth - Blackburn Rovers 2:1 ✺

09.12.2025 Swansea City - Portsmouth 1:0 ✺

29.11.2025 Portsmouth - Bristol City 0:1 ✺

26.11.2025 Sheffield United - Portsmouth 3:0 ✺

22.11.2025 Portsmouth - Millwall 3:1 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	31	18	7	6	49:30	19	61
2	Coventry	31	17	8	6	63:35	28	59
3	Ipswich	30	15	9	6	51:29	22	54
4	Hull	31	16	6	9	50:43	7	54
5	Millwall	31	15	8	8	39:36	3	53
6	Wrexham	31	12	11	8	44:39	5	47
7	Preston	31	12	11	8	38:34	4	47
8	Bristol City	31	13	7	11	43:38	5	46
9	Southampton	32	12	10	10	48:44	4	46
10	Birmingham	32	12	10	10	43:39	4	46
11	Derby	31	12	9	10	45:39	6	45
12	Watford	31	11	11	9	39:36	3	44
13	QPR	31	12	8	11	42:43	-1	44
14	Stoke	31	12	7	12	34:28	6	43
15	Swansea	31	12	6	13	38:37	1	42
16	Norwich	32	11	6	15	42:42	0	39
17	Sheffield Utd	31	12	3	16	44:45	-1	39
18	Charlton	30	9	9	12	29:38	-9	36
19	West Brom	32	9	7	16	32:47	-15	34
20	Portsmouth	29	8	9	12	27:38	-11	33
21	Leicester	32	10	8	14	44:51	-7	32
22	Blackburn	31	8	8	15	27:40	-13	32
23	Oxford Utd	32	6	10	16	28:44	-16	28
24	Sheffield Wed	31	1	8	22	18:62	-44	-7

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One