Portsmouth vs Derby County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship
Result
0:1
16/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 38
  • Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
boliviaBoliviaESPN 5
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileESPN 5
colombiaColombiaESPN 5
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
ecuadorEcuadorESPN 5
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Sports MAX 4
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hong-kongHong-kongmyTV SUPER
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
irelandIrelandNOW
israelIsraelSport 2
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 6
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 2
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 1
paraguayParaguayESPN 5
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN 5
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
singaporeSingaporemio Sports 1
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 6, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
swedenSwedenViaplay
turkeyTurkeyExxen
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports UHD
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN 5, Inter

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.701.00
Ball possession
68%32%
Total shots
2710
Shots on target
94
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
113
Passes
80% (396/494)60% (145/243)
Yellow cards
26
Expected goals (xG)
1.701.00
xG on target (xGOT)
0.711.09
Total shots
2710
Shots on target
94
Shots off target
64
Blocked shots
122
Shots inside the box
188
Shots outside the box
92
Hit the woodwork
02
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
113
Touches in opposition box
3712
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free kicks
1314
Passes
80% (396/494)60% (145/243)
Long passes
36% (25/70)24% (16/68)
Passes in final third
65% (116/178)33% (24/73)
Crosses
22% (9/41)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.020.39
Throw ins
1817
Fouls
1413
Tackles
75% (15/20)31% (4/13)
Duels won
5558
Clearances
2355
Interceptions
138
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
39
xGOT faced
1.090.71
Goals prevented
0.090.71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Szmodics S. ⚽,
  • 40', Chaplin C. 🟨,
  • 41', Szmodics S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 53', Clarke M. 🟨,
  • 61', Brewster R. ↓, Fraulo O. ↑,
  • 63', Swanson Z. ↓, Shaughnessy C. ↑,
  • 63', Chaplin C. ↓, Swift J. ↑,
  • 67', Swift J. 🟨,
  • 72', Szmodics S. ↓, Ozoh D. ↑,
  • 72', Agyemang P. ↓, Morris C. ↑,
  • 77', Alli M. ↓, Segecic A. ↑,
  • 77', Adams E. ↓, Bishop C. ↑,
  • 78', Brereton Diaz B. 🟨,
  • 83', Brereton Diaz B. ↓, Banel J. ↑,
  • 83', Murkin D. ↓, Forsyth C. ↑,
  • 83', Brown J. ↓, Kirk M. ↑,
  • 86', Clark B. 🟨,
  • 88', Ward J. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Fraulo O. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Portsmouth
43.9%		Draw
29.2%		Derby County
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.4% 29.5% 31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7% 29.7% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portsmouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
    •

    Portsmouth - Derby County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.18 ↓
    (2.36)    		 3.25 ↑
    (3.15)    		 3.54 ↑
    (2.98)    		 4.8%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Portsmouth - Derby County?
  • Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Portsmouth will win (votes: 14 - 43.8%). Derby will win (votes: 12 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 18.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Portsmouth: 26.6% – 61%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Portsmouth (votes: 3 - 50%). Derby (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +0.5 - Derby (3.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Derby (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Portsmouth (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Portsmouth (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Derby (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portsmouth won 0.
    • Recent form of Portsmouth has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Derby's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Portsmouth is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Portsmouth: Alese A. (Muscle Injury) Anderson K. (Hamstring Injury) Bianchini F. (Knee Injury) Dozzell A. (Ankle Injury) Kirk M. (Inactive) Knight J. (Back Injury) Kosznovszky M. (Knee Injury) Murphy J. (Foot Injury) Umeh F. (Hamstring Injury) Waddingham T. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Derby: Batth D. (Muscle Injury) Elder C. (Inactive) Johnston M. (Hamstring Injury) Langas S. (Hamstring Injury) Salvesen L. (Muscle Injury) Thompson L. (Muscle Injury) Widell Zetterstrom J. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Derby: Vickers J. (Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Portsmouth won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Portsmouth won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portsmouth - Derby County were as follows:
    20.12.2025 Derby County - Portsmouth 1:1
    12.04.2025 Portsmouth - Derby County 2:2
    13.12.2024 Derby County - Portsmouth 4:0
    02.04.2024 Portsmouth - Derby County 2:2
    16.09.2023 Derby County - Portsmouth 1:1
    Latest results of Portsmouth
    10.03.2026 Portsmouth - Swansea City 1:2 ✺
    07.03.2026 Blackburn Rovers - Portsmouth 1:1 ✺
    28.02.2026 Portsmouth - Hull City 0:1 ✺
    24.02.2026 Wrexham - Portsmouth 2:1 ✺
    21.02.2026 Millwall - Portsmouth 1:3 ✺
    Latest results of Derby County
    10.03.2026 Millwall - Derby County 1:0 ✺
    07.03.2026 Derby County - Sheffield Wednesday 2:1 ✺
    28.02.2026 Derby County - Blackburn Rovers 3:1 ✺
    24.02.2026 Hull City - Derby County 4:2 ✺
    21.02.2026 Watford - Derby County 2:0 ✺
    English League Championship Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry462811797:455295
    2Ipswich462315880:473384
    3Millwall4624111164:491583
    4Southampton4622141082:562680
    5Middlesbrough4622141072:472580
    6Hull4621101570:66473
    7Wrexham4619141369:65471
    8Derby462091767:59869
    9Norwich461981963:56765
    10Birmingham4617131657:56164
    11Swansea4618101857:59-264
    12Bristol City4617111859:59062
    13Sheffield Utd461862266:66060
    14Preston4615151655:62-760
    15QPR4616102061:73-1258
    16Watford4614151753:65-1257
    17Stoke4615102151:56-555
    18Portsmouth4614131949:64-1555
    19Charlton4613141944:58-1453
    20Blackburn4613132042:56-1452
    21West Brom4613141948:58-1051
    22Oxford Utd4611142145:59-1447
    23Leicester4612161858:68-1046
    24Sheffield Wed462123229:89-600

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          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

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