Portugal vs Spain, Rugby Europe Championship – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
26:7
08/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Rugby Europe Championship - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
europeEuropeRugby Europe
portugalPortugalSport TV6
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomFloSports app
worldWorldRugbyPass TV

Match Stats

Tries
21
Conversion goals
21
Conversion goal attempts
00
Penalty goals
40
Penalty goal attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped goals
00
Total runs
00
Metres run with ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (13 - 0)
  • 15', (Penalty Goal),
  • 28', (Try),
  • 28', (Conversion Goal),
  • 40', (Penalty Goal),
  • 2nd Half (13 - 7)
  • 55', (Try),
  • 57', (Conversion Goal),
  • 60', (Penalty Goal),
  • 68', (Try),
  • 69', (Conversion Goal),
  • 71', (Penalty Goal),

Chances of winning


Portugal
55.2%
Draw
4.1%
Spain
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.1% 4.6% 30.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portugal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Portugal's form might have worsened.
  • Spain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Spain's recent form is better than expected.
  • Portugal - Spain Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.42)
    22.58
    (20.24)
    2.27
    (3.06)
    8.3%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 56.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
    What is the prediction for Portugal - Spain?
  • Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Portugal will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 30:27.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portugal won 3.
    • Spain may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Portugal is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Portugal won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 169:155. (average 28.2:25.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portugal - Spain were as follows:
    01.03.2025 Portugal - Spain 31:42
    03.03.2024 Portugal - Spain 33:30
    04.03.2023 Portugal - Spain 27:10
    Latest results of Portugal
    22.02.2026 Portugal - Romania 44:7
    14.02.2026 Germany - Portugal 12:68
    22.11.2025 Portugal - Canada 33:27
    15.11.2025 Portugal - Hong Kong 58:12
    08.11.2025 Portugal - Uruguay 8:26
    Latest results of Spain
    21.02.2026 Georgia - Spain 42:30
    14.02.2026 Spain - Switzerland 53:14
    07.02.2026 Netherlands - Spain 33:51
    22.11.2025 Spain - Fiji 33:40
    15.11.2025 Spain - England A 25:29
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1GeorgiaRomania53 : 30
    2PortugalSpain26 : 7

    Final
    1GeorgiaPortugal17 : 19

    3rd place
    2RomaniaSpain23 : 29