Spain vs Portugal, World Cup – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Beach soccer World Cup Spain - Portugal
Result
6:9
13/10/2024 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: World Cup - Qualification - Third stage
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV5

Chances of winning


Spain
25.7%
Draw
14%
Portugal
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.6% 16.5% 49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6% 13.3% 40.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Spain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Spain's form might have worsened.
  • Portugal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Portugal's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spain than the current prediction. (+15.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spain, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portugal than the current prediction. (-20%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Portugal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Spain - Portugal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.59
    (2.78)
    6.6
    (5.66)
    1.53
    (1.87)
    8.4%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 8.50
  • What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Spain - Portugal were as follows:
    01.09.2024 Portugal - Spain 6:1
    12.09.2023 Spain - Portugal 3:0
    01.07.2023 Portugal - Spain 5:6
    27.06.2023 Portugal - Spain 7:5
    Latest results of Spain
    11.10.2024 Spain - Poland 5:3
    10.10.2024 France - Spain 3:4
    09.10.2024 Spain - Belgium 13:2
    07.10.2024 Spain - Azerbaijan 7:0
    05.10.2024 Spain - England 9:3
    Latest results of Portugal
    11.10.2024 Portugal - France 6:3
    10.10.2024 Portugal - Poland 6:1
    09.10.2024 Portugal - Azerbaijan 13:5
    07.10.2024 Portugal - Germany 7:3
    06.10.2024 Portugal - Estonia 5:2
    Table
    Qualification

    Group A
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1El Salvador3300020:79
    2Guatemala320019:116
    3Mexico3100212:123
    4Costa Rica300033:140


    Group B
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Bahamas3201010:96
    2USA3110110:64
    3Panama311019:104
    4Trinidad & Tobago300129:130

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