Portugal W vs Belgium W, UEFA Euro Women – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Euro Women
Football UEFA Euro Women Portugal W - Belgium W
Result
1:2
11/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Euro Women - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport 4, New World Sport App, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport Premier League
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
australiaAustraliaOptus Sport, Stan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria
belgiumBelgiumRTBF Auvio Direct, RTBF La Une, VRT Canvas
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaBHT 1
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Caze TV
canadaCanadaTSN 2, TSN+
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
czech-republicCzech-republicCT sport Plus
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandYLE Areena
franceFranceFree, Molotov TV, TFX
georgiaGeorgia1TV, 1TV Player
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV
icelandIcelandRUV
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
irelandIrelandRTE News, RTE Player
israelIsraelSport 3
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoRTK 1
maltaMaltaTVM Sport+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
moldovaMoldovaTVR Moldova
montenegroMontenegroTVCG 2
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, Sporza
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app
portugalPortugalRTP 1, Sport TV1
romaniaRomaniaTVR+, TVR Sport
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga, Supersport Maximo 1
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainRTVE Play, Teledeporte
swedenSwedenTV10, Viaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandPlay RTS, Play RTS, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF Info, SRF Info, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT Spor
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC iPlayer, BBC Sport
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFox Sports 1, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.351.98
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
2013
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
73
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
86% (332/388)77% (215/279)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
2.351.98
xG on target (xGOT)
1.781.16
Total shots
2013
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
73
Shots inside the Box
1311
Shots outside the Box
71
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
73
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
2016
Accurate through passes
22
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1410
Passes
86% (332/388)77% (215/279)
Long passes
57% (29/51)49% (24/49)
Passes in final third
77% (135/175)71% (40/56)
Crosses
19% (5/27)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.440.95
Throw-ins
2421
Fouls
1014
Tackles
70% (16/23)56% (15/27)
Duels won
6252
Clearances
2041
Interceptions
127
Errors leading to shot
12
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
26
xGOT faced
1.161.78
Goals prevented
-0.840.78

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Wullaert T. ⚽, Janssens J. (A),
  • 30', Gomes D. 🟨,
  • 34', Blom J. ↓, Detruyer M. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Norton A. ↓, Jacinto A. ↑,
  • 46', Amado C. ↓, Sousa Alves L. C. ↑,
  • 56', Capeta A. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
  • 60', Vanhaevermaet J. 🟨,
  • 70', Silva D. ↓, Encarnacao T. ↑,
  • 79', Teulings J. ↓, Dhont E. ↑,
  • 79', Janssens J. ↓, Philtjens D. ↑,
  • 79', Marchao J. ↓, Silva D. ↑,
  • 87', 1 - 1, Encarnacao T. ⚽, Nazareth K. (A),
  • 89', Dhont E. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Pinto F. 🟨,
  • 90+6', 1 - 2, Cayman J. ⚽,

Chances of winning


Portugal W
50.9%		Draw
24.6%		Belgium W
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.5% 24.7% 20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7% 24.6% 20.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portugal W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • Belgium W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portugal W than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belgium W than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
    •

    Portugal W - Belgium W Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.85 ↑
    (1.73)    		 3.83 ↑
    (3.83)    		 3.86 ↓
    (4.55)    		 6%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Portugal W - Belgium W?
  • Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Portugal will win (votes: 26 - 74.3%). Belgium will win (votes: 4 - 11.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Portugal: 59.8% – 88.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Portugal (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portugal won 2.
    • Recent form of Portugal has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Belgium has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Portugal is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Portugal won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 0.6:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portugal W - Belgium W were as follows:
    03.06.2025 Portugal W - Belgium W 0:3
    26.02.2025 Belgium W - Portugal W 0:1
    06.10.2022 Portugal W - Belgium W 2:1
    Latest results of Portugal W
    07.07.2025 Portugal W - Italy W 1:1 ✺
    03.07.2025 Spain W - Portugal W 5:0 ✺
    23.06.2025 Portugal W - Nigeria W 0:0 ✺
    03.06.2025 Portugal W - Belgium W 0:3 ✺
    30.05.2025 England W - Portugal W 6:0 ✺
    Latest results of Belgium W
    07.07.2025 Spain W - Belgium W 6:2 ✺
    03.07.2025 Belgium W - Italy W 0:1 ✺
    26.06.2025 Belgium W - Greece W 2:0
    20.06.2025 France W - Belgium W 5:0
    03.06.2025 Portugal W - Belgium W 0:3 ✺
    Draw
    Final tournament

    Quarter-finals
    1Sweden W (C1)England W (D2)2 : 3
    2Norway W (A1)Italy W (B2)1 : 2
    3France W (D1)Germany W (C2)1 : 2
    4Spain W (B1)Switzerland W (A2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1England W (D2)Italy W (B2)2 : 1
    2Germany W (C2)Spain W (B1)0 : 1

    Final
    1England W (D2)Spain W (B1)2 : 1
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