Portugalete vs Deusto – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Portugalete - Deusto
Result
1:0
05/10/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 5

Match Stats

Red Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 1', 1 - 0, Cuello Y. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 84', 🟥,
  • 88', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Portugalete
68%
Draw
21%
Deusto
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.8% 21.4% 12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9% 20.4% 12.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portugalete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Deusto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portugalete than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deusto than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Portugalete - Deusto Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (1.38)
    4.52
    (4.24)
    8.63
    (7.07)
    5.4%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Portugalete - Deusto?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Portugalete (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portugalete won 2.
    • Portugalete has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Deusto has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Deusto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Portugalete is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Portugalete won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:11. (average 1.4:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Portugalete won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portugalete - Deusto were as follows:
    24.05.2025 Portugalete - Deusto 1:0
    17.05.2025 Deusto - Portugalete 1:1
    06.04.2025 Portugalete - Deusto 1:1
    23.11.2024 Deusto - Portugalete 0:2
    05.05.2024 Portugalete - Deusto 0:1
    Latest results of Portugalete
    Latest results of Deusto
    27.09.2025 Deusto - San Ignacio 0:1
    21.09.2025 Derio - Deusto 1:1
    14.09.2025 Deusto - Touring KE 0:3
    07.09.2025 Alavés C - Deusto 2:0
    09.08.2025 Deusto - Sestao 0:0
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portugalete541013:4913
    2Aurrera de Vitoria54019:6312
    3UD Aretxabaleta531111:5610
    4San Ignacio53114:2210
    5Pasaia53113:1210
    6Lagun Onak53029:459
    7Touring KE52125:327
    8Zamudio52127:617
    9Durango51405:417
    10Eibar C52126:10-47
    11Zarautz KE52122:7-57
    12Real Sociedad C52035:416
    13Leioa52034:6-26
    14Santurtzi51225:505
    15Derio51134:8-44
    16Alaves C51133:7-44
    17Anorga50142:8-61
    18SD Deusto50141:8-71

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