Portugalete vs Deusto – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Portugalete - Deusto
Result
1:0
24/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 34', 1 - 0, Etxaniz J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Portugalete
53.2%
Draw
31.3%
Deusto
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.9% 25.9% 22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1% 24.4% 20.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portugalete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Deusto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deusto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portugalete than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deusto than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deusto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Portugalete - Deusto Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.75)
    2.92
    (3.5)
    5.87
    (4.09)
    9.5%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portugalete won 1.
    • Portugalete is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Deusto's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Portugalete is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Portugalete will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Portugalete won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:11. (average 1.4:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Portugalete won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portugalete - Deusto were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Deusto - Portugalete 1:1
    06.04.2025 Portugalete - Deusto 1:1
    23.11.2024 Deusto - Portugalete 0:2
    05.05.2024 Portugalete - Deusto 0:1
    14.01.2024 Deusto - Portugalete 2:2
    Latest results of Portugalete
    17.05.2025 Deusto - Portugalete 1:1
    10.05.2025 Portugalete - Aretxabaleta 2:1
    03.05.2025 San Viator - Portugalete 1:5
    26.04.2025 Portugalete - Padura 3:1
    17.04.2025 Portugalete - Eibar C 2:1
    Latest results of Deusto
    17.05.2025 Deusto - Portugalete 1:1
    10.05.2025 Deusto - San Ignacio 1:1
    03.05.2025 Basconia - Deusto 2:0
    26.04.2025 Deusto - Leioa 2:0
    16.04.2025 Aretxabaleta - Deusto 2:0
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2