Portuguesa Santista vs EC Noroeste – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2 penalties
07/04/2024 at 10:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Paulista A2 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 64', 0 - 1, Pedro Felipe ,
  • 77', 1 - 1, Vava ,
  • Penalties (3 - 5)
  • 1, Lucas Paraiba (Pen),
  • 1, Pereira E. (Pen),
  • 2, Jean Henrique (Pen),
  • 2, Lucas Balardin (Pen),
  • 3, Diogo (Pen),
  • 3, Martins da Silva L. T. (Pen),
  • 4, Quadrado (Pen),
  • 4, Emerson Crepaldi (Pen),
  • 5, Franco (Pen),

Chances of winning


Portuguesa Santista
44.7%
Draw
29.2%
EC Noroeste
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.8% 31.5% 30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9% 32.5% 29.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portuguesa Santista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portuguesa Santista's performance.
  • EC Noroeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa Santista than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portuguesa Santista that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC Noroeste than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • Portuguesa Santista - EC Noroeste Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (2.4)
    3.13
    (2.88)
    3.5
    (2.95)
    9.3%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portuguesa Santista - EC Noroeste were as follows:
    30.03.2024 EC Noroeste - Portuguesa Santista 0:0
    10.02.2024 EC Noroeste - Portuguesa Santista 1:1
    17.09.2023 Portuguesa Santista - EC Noroeste 2:0
    10.09.2023 EC Noroeste - Portuguesa Santista 1:0
    01.03.2023 Portuguesa Santista - EC Noroeste 0:4
    Latest results of Portuguesa Santista
    Latest results of EC Noroeste
    Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2 Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Agua Santa ✔ 1491422:13928
    2Ferroviaria ✔ 1483321:111027
    3Sao Jose EC ✔ 1483320:11927
    4Ituano ✔ 1483319:11827
    5Votuporanguense ✔ 1473415:12324
    6Osasco Sporting1457221:16522
    7Juventus-SP1455420:19120
    8Sertaozinho1354415:18-319
    9Piracicaba1454511:14-319
    10Inter de Limeira1444614:16-216
    11Taubate1437421:22-116
    12Santo Andre1443712:20-815
    13Linense1426611:17-612
    14Monte Azul1325614:17-311
    15Gremio Prudente1418511:15-411
    16Sao Bento ✔ 1412116:21-155

          Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Second stage: )
          Relegation ~ Paulista A3

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Agua Santa is Qualified for Paulista A2 (Second stage )
    Ferroviaria is Qualified for Paulista A2 (Second stage )
    Sao Jose EC is Qualified for Paulista A2 (Second stage )
    Ituano is Qualified for Paulista A2 (Second stage )
    Votuporanguense is Qualified for Paulista A2 (Second stage )
    Sao Bento is Relegated to Paulista A3