Result
2:2
15/02/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Paulista - Round 10
- Referee: Muniz dos Santos D. C. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1, Moja TV |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, UOL Play, Zapping |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Montenegro | Arena Sport 3 |
 Netherlands | Canal+ |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.97 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 33 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (264/331) | 84% (359/429) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 67% (56/84) | 66% (61/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 23% (3/13) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 92% (12/13) | 83% (10/12) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 36', Caca 🟨,
- 37', Torres F. 🟨,
- 39', 1 - 0, Jaja ⚽, Maceio (A),
- 45+1', Gustavo Henrique 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Ryan ↓, Pedro Raul ↑,
- 53', 1 - 1, Matheus Bidu ⚽, Talles Magno (A),
- 65', 1 - 2, Talles Magno (Pen),
- 70', Cristiano ↓, Rildo ↑,
- 70', Fernando Henrique ↓, Hudson ↑,
- 73', Lucas Hipolito 🟨,
- 74', 2 - 2, Maceio ⚽, Gustavo Talles (A),
- 75', Leo Mana ↓, Joao Vitor ↑,
- 75', Talles Magno ↓, Hernandez H. ↑,
- 75', Charles Rigon ↓, Maycon ↑,
- 77', Jaja ↓, Everton ↑,
- 82', Alex Santana ↓, Bahia ↑,
- 83', Maceio ↓, Pedro Henrique ↑,
- 84', Renan ↓, Barba ↑,
Chances of winning
Portuguesa
27.5% | Draw
30.3% | Corinthians
42.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portuguesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Portuguesa - Corinthians Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.33 ↓
(3.56) |
3.07 ↓
(3.11) |
2.19 ↑
(2.05) |
8.3%
(9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Corinthians is Qualified for Paulista (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Portuguesa won 1.
- Recent matches Portuguesa is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Corinthians is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Portuguesa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Corinthians will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Portuguesa won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:7 (average 0.8:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Portuguesa won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:3 (average 1.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Portuguesa won against Corinthians?
Portuguesa has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Portuguesa?
Corinthians has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Portuguesa - Corinthians were as follows:
11.02.2024
Corinthians
-
Portuguesa
2:0
12.02.2023
Portuguesa
-
Corinthians
0:0
Latest results of Portuguesa
Latest results of Corinthians
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Sao Bernardo | Palmeiras | 0 : 3 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | Novorizontino | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Corinthians | Mirassol | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Santos | Bragantino | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Palmeiras | Sao Paulo | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Corinthians | Santos | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Palmeiras | Corinthians | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
