Result
2:0
07/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Paulista - Round 7
- Referee: Marques D. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, TNT Sports, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.42 | 0.39 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (313/386) | 69% (202/294) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.42 | 0.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.34 | 0.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (313/386) | 69% (202/294) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (33/52) | 26% (13/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (82/111) | 52% (33/64) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/18) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.37 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.01 | 2.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.01 | 0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 23', Lucas Cunha 🟨,
- 32', Kevyson 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 0, Gabriel Pires ⚽, Rene (A),
- 45+3', Joao Vitor 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Joao Vitor ↓, Matheus Cadorini ↑,
- 46', Nikolas Francisco ↓, Luis Phelipe ↑,
- 46', Lucas Emanuel ↓, Julio ↑,
- 51', Gustavo Telles ↓, Rodrigo Souza ↑,
- 53', 2 - 0, Matheus Cadorini ⚽,
- 62', Ewerthon 🟨,
- 65', Ewerthon ↓, Gustavo Sciencia ↑,
- 65', Ze Vitor ↓, Denis ↑,
- 66', Elvis ↓, Miguel Morais ↑,
- 79', Rene ↓, Cauari ↑,
- 82', Diego Tavares ↓, Joao Damiao ↑,
- 86', Maceio ↓, Igor Torres ↑,
- 90+2', Tarik 🟥,
Chances of winning
Portuguesa
59% | Draw
25.2% | Ponte Preta
15.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Portuguesa - Ponte Preta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.57 ↓
(1.78) |
3.66 ↑
(3.18) |
5.8 ↑
(4.83) |
8.2%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Portuguesa - Ponte Preta?
Users Predictions:
Portuguesa will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Portuguesa will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portuguesa won 1.
- Recent performances by Portuguesa have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Ponte Preta is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Portuguesa is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Portuguesa: Gustavo Salomao
(Inactive)
Lucas Hipolito
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Ponte Preta: Danilo Barcelos
(Inactive)
Joao Gabriel
(Injury)
Jonathan Cafu
(Inactive)
Lucas Justen
(Inactive)
Pacheco
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Ponte Preta: Diego M. L.
(Inactive)
Saimon
(Inactive)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Portuguesa won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Portuguesa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Portuguesa won against Ponte Preta?
Portuguesa has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ponte Preta won against Portuguesa?
Ponte Preta has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Portuguesa - Ponte Preta were as follows:
22.01.2025
Ponte Preta
-
Portuguesa
0:0
31.01.2024
Portuguesa
-
Ponte Preta
0:2
Latest results of Portuguesa
Latest results of Ponte Preta
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Novorizontino ✔ | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:7 | 9 | 16 |
| 2 | Palmeiras ✔ | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 15 |
| 3 | Bragantino | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 11:2 | 9 | 13 |
| 4 | Portuguesa | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9:6 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | Corinthians | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Guarani | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Botafogo SP | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 11 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 | Capivariano | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 10 |
| 10 | Santos | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 | Mirassol | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:6 | 3 | 8 |
| 12 | Sao Bernardo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 | Primavera | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | Noroeste | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
| 15 | Velo Clube | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2:7 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 | Ponte Preta ✔ | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2:12 | -10 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Paulista (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation ~ Paulista A2
Clinched Spots for Teams
Novorizontino is Qualified for Paulista (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Palmeiras is Qualified for Paulista (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Ponte Preta is Relegated to Paulista A2
