Result
2:1
06/04/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group C - Round 35
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, Ferrara V. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 59', Ferrara V. ↓, D'Alena A. ↑,
- 60', Palumbo F. ↓, Cajazzo I. ↑,
- 65', Petrungaro L. ↓, Schimmenti E. ↑,
- 65', Erradi B. ↓, Ghisolfi M. ↑,
- 66', D'Alena A. 🟨,
- 71', Leonetti V. ↓, Cerbone S. ↑,
- 71', 🟨,
- 74', Selleri G. ↓, Murano J. ↑,
- 77', Schimmenti E. 🟨,
- 78', Grandolfo F. ↓, Perez L. ↑,
- 81', 2 - 0, Chirico C. ⚽,
- 83', Maisto F. ↓, Siatounis A. ↑,
- 86', 2 - 1, Adjapong C. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Casarano
50.8% | Draw
25.9% | Potenza
23.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Casarano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Casarano's performance.Potenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Potenza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Casarano that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Potenza than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Casarano - Potenza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↓
(2.05) |
3.54 ↑
(3.42) |
3.93 ↑
(3.15) |
9.1%
(9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Casarano - Potenza?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Casarano (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Casarano (3.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Casarano (4.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Casarano (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Casarano (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Casarano will win
(20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.2% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Casarano will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Casarano (votes: 10 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Casarano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Casarano is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Casarano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Casarano won against Potenza?
Casarano has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Potenza won against Casarano?
Potenza has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Casarano - Potenza were as follows:
30.11.2025
Potenza
-
Casarano
3:1
Latest results of Casarano
Latest results of Potenza
Italian Serie C Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Benevento ✔ | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 71:24 | 47 | 80 |
| 2 | Catania | 35 | 19 | 11 | 5 | 52:21 | 31 | 68 |
| 3 | Casertana | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 54:41 | 13 | 65 |
| 4 | Salernitana | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 45:40 | 5 | 63 |
| 5 | Cosenza | 35 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 55:36 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Crotone | 35 | 16 | 7 | 12 | 53:34 | 19 | 55 |
| 7 | Casarano | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 51:55 | -4 | 53 |
| 8 | Monopoli | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 36:39 | -3 | 52 |
| 9 | Audace Cerignola | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
| 10 | Potenza | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 48:53 | -5 | 44 |
| 11 | Altamura | 36 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 31:44 | -13 | 44 |
| 12 | Atalanta U23 | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 51:48 | 3 | 43 |
| 13 | Cavese | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 33:40 | -7 | 37 |
| 14 | Sorrento | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 38:51 | -13 | 37 |
| 15 | Picerno | 35 | 8 | 12 | 15 | 39:52 | -13 | 36 |
| 16 | Latina | 36 | 8 | 12 | 16 | 28:42 | -14 | 36 |
| 17 | Giugliano | 36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 33:50 | -17 | 35 |
| 18 | Foggia | 36 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 27:56 | -29 | 27 |
| 19 | Siracusa | 36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 45:54 | -9 | 24 |
| 20 | Trapani | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 45:51 | -6 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Benevento is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Serie B
