Result
2:1
06/04/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group C - Round 35
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, Ferrara V. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 59', Ferrara V. ↓, D'Alena A. ↑,
- 60', Palumbo F. ↓, Cajazzo I. ↑,
- 65', Petrungaro L. ↓, Schimmenti E. ↑,
- 65', Erradi B. ↓, Ghisolfi M. ↑,
- 66', D'Alena A. 🟨,
- 71', Leonetti V. ↓, Cerbone S. ↑,
- 71', 🟨,
- 74', Selleri G. ↓, Murano J. ↑,
- 77', Schimmenti E. 🟨,
- 78', Grandolfo F. ↓, Perez L. ↑,
- 81', 2 - 0, Chirico C. ⚽,
- 83', Maisto F. ↓, Siatounis A. ↑,
- 86', 2 - 1, Adjapong C. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Casarano
50.8% | Draw
25.9% | Potenza
23.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Casarano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Casarano's performance.Potenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Potenza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Casarano that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Potenza than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Casarano - Potenza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↓
(2.05) |
3.54 ↑
(3.42) |
3.93 ↑
(3.15) |
9.1%
(9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Casarano - Potenza?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Casarano (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Casarano (3.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Casarano (4.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Casarano (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Casarano (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Casarano will win
(20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.2% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Casarano will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Casarano (votes: 10 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Casarano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Casarano is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Casarano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Casarano won against Potenza?
Casarano has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Potenza won against Casarano?
Potenza has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Casarano - Potenza were as follows:
30.11.2025
Potenza
-
Casarano
3:1
Latest results of Casarano
Latest results of Potenza
Italian Serie C Group C Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Benevento | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 74:28 | 46 | 82 |
| 2 | Catania | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54:25 | 29 | 70 |
| 3 | Salernitana | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 50:42 | 8 | 69 |
| 4 | Cosenza | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 58:40 | 18 | 67 |
| 5 | Casertana | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 55:44 | 11 | 66 |
| 6 | Crotone | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 59:40 | 19 | 61 |
| 7 | Monopoli | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 39:41 | -2 | 56 |
| 8 | Casarano | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 56:57 | -1 | 56 |
| 9 | Audace Cerignola | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 50:54 | -4 | 54 |
| 10 | Potenza | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 54:56 | -2 | 49 |
| 11 | Atalanta U23 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 53:50 | 3 | 45 |
| 12 | Altamura | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 32:49 | -17 | 45 |
| 13 | Latina | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 35:44 | -9 | 42 |
| 14 | Cavese | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 36:42 | -6 | 42 |
| 15 | Picerno | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 43:55 | -12 | 40 |
| 16 | Sorrento | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 39:55 | -16 | 39 |
| 17 | Giugliano | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 35:52 | -17 | 37 |
| 18 | Foggia | 38 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 28:60 | -32 | 27 |
| 19 | Siracusa | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 48:57 | -9 | 26 |
| 20 | Trapani | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:54 | -7 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Relegation
