Result
2:0
18/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group C - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 39', Bentivegna A. 🟨,
- 45+3', 1 - 0, Adjapong C. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', Heinz J. 🟨,
- 54', Casarotto M. ↓, Butic K. ↑,
- 54', Bentivegna A. ↓, Proia F. ↑,
- 58', Anatriello G. ↓, D'Auria G. ↑,
- 58', Mazzeo L. ↓, Murano J. ↑,
- 61', Toscano M. 🟨,
- 66', Toscano M. ↓, Leone K. ↑,
- 66', Kontek I. ↓, Kallon Y. ↑,
- 73', Siatounis A. 🟨,
- 74', Schimmenti E. ↓, Maisto F. ↑,
- 75', De Marco A. ↓, Castorani M. ↑,
- 86', Oukhadda S. ↓, Galletta U. ↑,
- 86', Loiacono G. 🟨,
- 89', Loiacono G. ↓, Bura R. ↑,
- 90+2', Castorani M. 🟨,
- 90+4', 2 - 0, D'Auria G. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Potenza
32.5% | Draw
30.7% | Casertana
36.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Potenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Casertana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Potenza than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Potenza - Casertana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.8 ↑
(2.47) |
2.96 ↓
(3.43) |
2.47 ↓
(2.56) |
9.9%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Potenza won 1.
- Recent performances by Potenza have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Casertana is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Potenza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Potenza won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 0.8:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Potenza won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Potenza won against Casertana?
Potenza has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Casertana won against Potenza?
Casertana has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Potenza - Casertana were as follows:
06.09.2025
Casertana
-
Potenza
3:2
13.04.2025
Potenza
-
Casertana
2:1
01.12.2024
Casertana
-
Potenza
0:0
03.02.2024
Casertana
-
Potenza
0:0
24.09.2023
Potenza
-
Casertana
1:1
Latest results of Potenza
Latest results of Casertana
Italian Serie C Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Benevento ✔ | 36 | 25 | 5 | 6 | 71:25 | 46 | 80 |
| 2 | Catania | 36 | 19 | 11 | 6 | 52:23 | 29 | 68 |
| 3 | Casertana | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 54:41 | 13 | 65 |
| 4 | Salernitana | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 45:40 | 5 | 63 |
| 5 | Cosenza | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 56:39 | 17 | 63 |
| 6 | Crotone | 36 | 17 | 7 | 12 | 55:34 | 21 | 58 |
| 7 | Casarano ✔ | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 51:55 | -4 | 53 |
| 8 | Monopoli ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 36:39 | -3 | 52 |
| 9 | Audace Cerignola ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
| 10 | Potenza | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 51:53 | -2 | 47 |
| 11 | Altamura | 36 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 31:44 | -13 | 44 |
| 12 | Atalanta U23 | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 51:48 | 3 | 43 |
| 13 | Cavese | 36 | 9 | 13 | 14 | 34:40 | -6 | 40 |
| 14 | Picerno | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 42:53 | -11 | 39 |
| 15 | Sorrento | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 38:54 | -16 | 37 |
| 16 | Latina | 36 | 8 | 12 | 16 | 28:42 | -14 | 36 |
| 17 | Giugliano | 36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 33:50 | -17 | 35 |
| 18 | Foggia | 36 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 27:56 | -29 | 27 |
| 19 | Siracusa | 36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 45:54 | -9 | 24 |
| 20 | Trapani | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 45:51 | -6 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Benevento is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Serie B
Casarano is Qualified for Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)
Monopoli is Qualified for Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)
Audace Cerignola is Qualified for Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)
