Pouso Alegre vs Caldense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro Pouso Alegre - Caldense
Result
1:1
04/03/2023 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO MINEIRO - ROUND 8
  • Referee: Cardoso Hieger T. (Bra)

Chances of winning


Pouso Alegre
48.7%
Draw
28%
Caldense
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.6% 26.6% 21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1% 26.3% 21.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pouso Alegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Caldense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pouso Alegre than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caldense than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Pouso Alegre - Caldense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (1.76)
    3.26
    (3.41)
    3.91
    (4.18)
    9.6%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Pouso Alegre is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Caldense is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Caldense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Caldense have a series of home games.
    • In this match Pouso Alegre is a favorite.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Pouso Alegre won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Pouso Alegre won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.
    Latest results of Pouso Alegre
    26.02.2023 Ipatinga - Pouso Alegre 1:1
    12.02.2023 Pouso Alegre - Tombense 1:1
    07.02.2023 Cruzeiro - Pouso Alegre 0:1
    Latest results of Caldense
    01.03.2023 Caldense - Ceará 0:3
    23.02.2023 Caldense - Cruzeiro 1:2
    17.02.2023 Athletic Club - Caldense 3:2
    11.02.2023 Caldense - Villa Nova AC 2:1
    08.02.2023 Caldense - Ipatinga 0:1
    Draw
    5th-8th places

    Semi-finals
    1UberlandiaBetim2 : 1, 0 : 0
    2Democrata GVAthletic Club0 : 1, 0 : 0

    Final
    1UberlandiaAthletic Club2 : 3, 0 : 2