Nova Iguaçu vs Pouso Alegre – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Nova Iguaçu - Pouso Alegre
Result
2:1
05/07/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
65
Corner Kicks
136
Red Cards
10
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
68
Corner Kicks
136
Goalkeeper Saves
44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 72', 1 - 0, Thomasel ,
  • 82', 2 - 0, Sidney Pages ,
  • 88', 2 - 1, ,
  • 90+2', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Nova Iguaçu
40.9%
Draw
30.3%
Pouso Alegre
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48% 27.3% 24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 26.9% 24.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nova Iguaçu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nova Iguaçu's form might have worsened.
  • Pouso Alegre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nova Iguaçu than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nova Iguaçu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pouso Alegre than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • Nova Iguaçu - Pouso Alegre Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.22
    (1.88)
    3
    (3.3)
    3.16
    (3.65)
    10.1%
    (10.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Nova Iguaçu might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nova Iguaçu won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nova Iguaçu - Pouso Alegre were as follows:
    10.05.2025 Pouso Alegre - Nova Iguaçu 1:0
    Latest results of Nova Iguaçu
    Latest results of Pouso Alegre
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    4ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    8ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    12Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0
    13PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    15Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    16CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao1 : 2
    2America RNImperatriz1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz1 : 1
    4ASAManauara1 : 0
    5AparecidenseGoiatuba3 : 2
    6Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES1 : 0
    7MixtoCianorte1 : 1
    8Barra FCCeilandia1 : 1