Povoa vs Vitória de Guimarães – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball Portuguese LPB Povoa - Vitória de Guimarães
Result
81:71
05/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LPB - Round 19

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
7060
Field Goals Made
3022
Field Goals %
42.9%36.7%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
4425
2-Point Field Goals Made
2313
2-Point Field Goals %
52.3%52%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
2635
3-Point Field Goals Made
79
3-Point Field Goals %
26.9%25.7%
Free Throws Attempted
2021
Free Throws Made
1418
Free Throws %
70%85.7%
Offensive Rebounds
129
Defensive Rebounds
3231
Total Rebounds
4440
Assists
1513
Blocks
42
Turnovers
813
Steals
24
Personal Fouls
1821

Chances of winning


Povoa
42.2%
Vitória de Guimarães
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.5% 55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7% 55.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Povoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Vitória de Guimarães has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Povoa than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória de Guimarães than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Povoa - Vitória de Guimarães Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (2.05)

    1.6
    (1.64)
    8.1%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 163.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Povoa won 3.
    • Povoa is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Guimarães is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Guimarães could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Guimarães will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Povoa won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 813:807 (average 81.3:80.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Povoa won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 335:324 (average 83.8:81).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Povoa - Vitória de Guimarães were as follows:
    18.12.2024 Vitória de Guimarães - Povoa 94:72
    15.12.2024 Vitória de Guimarães - Povoa 75:78
    23.03.2024 Povoa - Vitória de Guimarães 75:73
    18.11.2023 Vitória de Guimarães - Povoa 74:83
    08.04.2023 Vitória de Guimarães - Povoa 96:92
    Latest results of Povoa
    29.03.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Povoa 84:57
    15.03.2025 Galomar - Povoa 72:84
    08.03.2025 Povoa - Galitos Barreiro 74:80
    01.03.2025 Povoa - Galitos Barreiro 70:75
    15.02.2025 Ovarense - Povoa 83:71
    Latest results of Vitória de Guimarães
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1BenficaVitoria2 : 0
    2OliveirenseOvarense1 : 2
    3FC PortoImortal2 : 0
    4Sporting CPGalitos Barreiro2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1BenficaOvarense3 : 0
    2FC PortoSporting CP3 : 0

    Final
    1BenficaFC Porto3 : 1