Result
1:2
01/03/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Thai League 1 - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
 Thailand | AIS PLAY |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 1.38 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (262/337) | 83% (323/390) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 1.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 1.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (262/337) | 83% (323/390) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (31/56) | 55% (33/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (48/90) | 64% (62/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.29 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.64 | -0.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Thiangkham O. ↓, Jensen P. ↑,
- 46', Phimpsang C. ↓, Mendez E. ↑,
- 46', Veerachart C. ↓, Michel Lima ↑,
- 58', Mita H. ↓, Hanrattana P. ↑,
- 62', 0 - 1, Jensen P. ⚽, Lee Jeong-Hyeop (A),
- 64', Praphanth P. ↓, Choosong W. ↑,
- 67', Bangsungnoen R. ↓, Win Hein Phyo ↑,
- 68', Charalampous C. ↓, Sienkrthok P. ↑,
- 77', 0 - 2, Mendez E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 79', James L. ↓, Becerra J. ↑,
- 79', Kanyaroj S. 🟨,
- 80', Becerra J. 🟨,
- 87', Tsukagawa K. 🟨,
- 87', Lalic N. 🟨,
- 88', Lee Jeong-Hyeop ↓, Wasungnoen J. ↑,
- 89', Sienkrthok P. 🟨,
- 90+8', 1 - 2, Win Hein Phyo ⚽,
Chances of winning
Nakhon Ratchasima
21.1% | Draw
24% | Prachuap
54.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nakhon Ratchasima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Prachuap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nakhon Ratchasima than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Prachuap than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Nakhon Ratchasima - Prachuap Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.34 ↑
(3.84) |
3.81 ↑
(3.71) |
1.67 ↓
(1.8) |
9.3%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Nakhon Ratchasima - Prachuap?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Nakhon Ratchasima (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nakhon Ratchasima will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Nakhon Ratchasima (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nakhon Ratchasima won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Recently, Prachuap has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Prachuap is a strong favorite.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Nakhon Ratchasima won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:21. (average 1.3:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nakhon Ratchasima won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.8:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Nakhon Ratchasima won against Prachuap?
Nakhon Ratchasima has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Prachuap won against Nakhon Ratchasima?
Prachuap has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nakhon Ratchasima - Prachuap were as follows:
25.10.2025
Prachuap
-
Nakhon Ratchasima
2:0
20.04.2025
Nakhon Ratchasima
-
Prachuap
1:1
29.11.2024
Prachuap
-
Nakhon Ratchasima
2:2
21.01.2023
Nakhon Ratchasima
-
Prachuap
1:2
Latest results of Nakhon Ratchasima
Latest results of Prachuap
Thai League 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Buriram | 24 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 67:21 | 46 | 62 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 48:21 | 27 | 47 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 38:23 | 15 | 43 |
| 4 | Bangkok Utd | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 34:22 | 12 | 42 |
| 5 | Pathum United | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 38:28 | 10 | 41 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 25 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 32:30 | 2 | 36 |
| 7 | Rayong FC | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 36:33 | 3 | 32 |
| 8 | Ayutthaya Utd | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 31:35 | -4 | 32 |
| 9 | Chonburi | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 30:35 | -5 | 31 |
| 10 | Chiangrai Utd | 24 | 6 | 11 | 7 | 30:34 | -4 | 29 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 26 |
| 12 | Sukhothai | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 18:36 | -18 | 24 |
| 13 | Lamphun Warrior | 25 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 30:43 | -13 | 23 |
| 14 | Kanchanaburi | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 26:46 | -20 | 22 |
| 15 | Muang Thong Utd | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22:46 | -24 | 18 |
| 16 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 16:39 | -23 | 17 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Thai League 2
