Result
2:1
08/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group E - Round 23
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Boriosi M. ⚽,
- 29', 1 - 1, Gioe B. (Penalty Awarded),
- 33', 2 - 1, Rossetti S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 86', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Prato
71.5% | Draw
18.8% | Poggibonsi
9.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Prato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Prato's performance.Poggibonsi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Poggibonsi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Prato than the current prediction. (-15%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Prato that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poggibonsi than the current prediction. (+10%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Poggibonsi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Prato - Poggibonsi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.33 ↓
(1.66) |
5.03 ↑
(3.7) |
9.79 ↑
(4.54) |
5.5%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )).
- Prato has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Poggibonsi is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Prato is a strong favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Prato won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Prato won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Prato won against Poggibonsi?
Prato has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Poggibonsi won against Prato?
Poggibonsi has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Prato - Poggibonsi were as follows:
05.10.2025
Poggibonsi
-
Prato
1:2
02.11.2022
Prato
-
Poggibonsi
1:0
Latest results of Poggibonsi
Italian Serie D - Group E Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Grosseto | 26 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 49:17 | 32 | 62 |
| 2 | Seravezza Pozzi | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 35:19 | 16 | 50 |
| 3 | Tau | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 41:22 | 19 | 49 |
| 4 | Siena | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 34:20 | 14 | 44 |
| 5 | Terranuova Traiana | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 22:22 | 0 | 42 |
| 6 | Prato | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 35:26 | 9 | 41 |
| 7 | Foligno | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 38:31 | 7 | 40 |
| 8 | Scandicci | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 28:21 | 7 | 36 |
| 9 | Montevarchi | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 23:29 | -6 | 35 |
| 10 | Ghiviborgo | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 38:34 | 4 | 33 |
| 11 | Trestina | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 33 |
| 12 | San Donato | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 30 |
| 13 | Camaiore | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 33:42 | -9 | 29 |
| 14 | Orvietana | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 27:31 | -4 | 28 |
| 15 | Follonica Gavorrano | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 29:41 | -12 | 28 |
| 16 | Poggibonsi | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 21:37 | -16 | 23 |
| 17 | Vivi Altotevere | 26 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 14:35 | -21 | 17 |
| 18 | Cannara | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17:51 | -34 | 15 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )
Relegation
