Preston North End vs Aston Villa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English FA Cup
Result
0:3
30/03/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FA Cup - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Kavanagh C. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.473.54
Ball Possession
29%71%
Total shots
416
Shots on target
17
Big Chances
18
Corner Kicks
09
Passes
71% (150/212)89% (459/517)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
0.473.54
xG on target (xGOT)
0.072.53
Total shots
416
Shots on target
17
Shots off target
26
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
111
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
18
Corner Kicks
09
Touches in opposition box
1029
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
717
Passes
71% (150/212)89% (459/517)
Long passes
46% (21/46)60% (31/52)
Passes in final third
41% (21/51)76% (97/128)
Crosses
0% (0/3)19% (4/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.291.34
Fouls
177
Tackles
41% (9/22)69% (9/13)
Duels won
4543
Clearances Total
2715
Interceptions
114
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
2.530.07
Goals prevented
-0.470.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 28', Keane W. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 58', 0 - 1, Rashford M. ⚽, Digne L. (A),
  • 63', 0 - 2, Rashford M. (Pen),
  • 64', Keane W. ↓, Osmajic M. ↑,
  • 67', Whiteman B. 🟨,
  • 71', 0 - 3, Ramsey J. ⚽, Digne L. (A),
  • 73', Asensio M. ↓, Onana A. ↑,
  • 73', Tielemans Y. ↓, McGinn J. ↑,
  • 73', Rogers M. ↓, Malen D. ↑,
  • 77', Riis E. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
  • 77', Meghoma J. ↓, Lindsay L. ↑,
  • 81', Rashford M. ↓, Watkins O. ↑,
  • 81', Cash M. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
  • 83', Frokjaer-Jensen M. ↓, Carroll T. ↑,
  • 83', Thordarson S. T. ↓, Mawene T. ↑,

Chances of winning


Preston North End
11.7%		Draw
19.7%		Aston Villa
68.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
14.2% 20.5% 65.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14% 20.2% 66.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Preston North End has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Preston North End than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
    •

    Preston North End - Aston Villa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 8.08 ↑
    (6.73)    		 4.85 ↑
    (4.67)    		 1.4 ↓
    (1.46)    		 4.4%
    (4.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Preston North End - Aston Villa?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Aston Villa will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 59% – 100%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Preston won 0.
    • Recent matches Preston is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Aston Villa is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Aston Villa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Aston Villa is certain favorite.
    • There will not play in Preston: McCann A. (Leg Injury) Potts B. (Hamstring Injury) Whatmough J. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Preston: Osmajic M. (Hip Injury)
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Preston won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:9 (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Preston won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1:1).
    Latest results of Preston North End
    15.03.2025 Preston North End - Portsmouth 2:1 ✺
    11.03.2025 Sunderland - Preston North End 1:1 ✺
    08.03.2025 Sheffield United - Preston North End 1:0 ✺
    04.03.2025 Preston North End - Swansea City 0:0 ✺
    01.03.2025 Preston North End - Burnley 3:0 ✺
    Latest results of Aston Villa
    20.03.2025 Al Ain - Aston Villa 1:3
    12.03.2025 Aston Villa - Club Brugge 3:0 ✺
    08.03.2025 Brentford - Aston Villa 0:1 ✺
    04.03.2025 Club Brugge - Aston Villa 1:3 ✺
    28.02.2025 Aston Villa - Cardiff City 2:0 ✺
    Draw
    Main

    1/128-finals
    1StokeBye
    4ByeCoventry
    5FulhamBye
    8ByeMiddlesbrough
    9StevenageChesterfield0 : 1
    10CreweDoncaster1 : 2
    12ByeSouthampton
    13CheltenhamBradford City1 : 0
    14BuxtonChatham2 : 1
    16ByeLeicester
    17BurnleyBye
    20ByeMillwall
    21Sheffield UtdBye
    23GainsboroughAccrington1 : 2
    24MansfieldHarrogate3 : 2
    25PortsmouthBye
    28ByeArsenal
    29PrestonBye
    31WiganHemel Hempstead2 : 1
    32SpennymoorBarrow0 : 2
    33WrexhamBye
    36ByeNottingham
    37IpswichBye
    39BlackpoolScunthorpe1 : 0
    40ReadingCarlisle2 : 3
    41HullBye
    44ByeBlackburn
    45CharltonBye
    48ByeChelsea
    49Port ValeMaldon & Tiptree5 : 1
    50BromleyBristol Rovers1 : 2
    51FleetwoodBarnet2 : 1
    52LutonForest Green4 : 3
    53Bristol CityBye
    56ByeWatford
    57ColchesterMK Dons2 : 3
    58OldhamNorthampton3 : 1
    60ByeOxford Utd
    61EvertonBye
    64ByeSunderland
    65TottenhamBye
    68ByeAston Villa
    69NewcastleBye
    72ByeBournemouth
    73Manchester CityBye
    75FC HalifaxExeter0 : 2
    76WycombePlymouth2 : 0
    77SalfordLincoln2 : 1
    78TamworthLeyton Orient0 : 1
    79RotherhamSwindon1 : 2
    80BoltonHuddersfield2 : 1
    81GrimsbyEbbsfleet3 : 1
    82WealdstoneSouthend1 : 0
    83ChelmsfordBraintree4 : 1
    84Weston-super-MareAldershot2 : 1
    85WolvesBye
    87SuttonAFC Telford2 : 1
    88South ShieldsShrewsbury1 : 3
    89LiverpoolBye
    91PeterboroughCardiff1 : 0
    92BarnsleyYork City3 : 2
    93Manchester UtdBye
    96ByeBrighton
    97Boreham WoodCrawley3 : 0
    98NewportGillingham3 : 2
    99Brackley TownNotts Co3 : 2
    100BurtonSt. Albans6 : 0
    101West HamBye
    104ByeQPR
    105SloughAltrincham2 : 1
    106MacclesfieldAFC Totton6 : 3
    108ByeCrystal Palace
    109Sheffield WedBye
    112ByeBrentford
    113TranmereStockport County1 : 3
    114Cambridge UtdChester3 : 0
    116ByeBirmingham
    117DerbyBye
    120ByeLeeds
    121NorwichBye
    123AFC WimbledonGateshead0 : 2
    124EastleighWalsall0 : 3
    125SwanseaBye
    128ByeWest Brom

    1/64-finals
    1StokeBye
    2ByeCoventry
    3FulhamBye
    4ByeMiddlesbrough
    5ChesterfieldDoncaster1 : 2
    6ByeSouthampton
    7CheltenhamBuxton6 : 2
    8ByeLeicester
    9BurnleyBye
    10ByeMillwall
    11Sheffield UtdBye
    12AccringtonMansfield2 : 3
    13PortsmouthBye
    14ByeArsenal
    15PrestonBye
    16WiganBarrow3 : 2
    17WrexhamBye
    18ByeNottingham
    19IpswichBye
    20BlackpoolCarlisle4 : 1
    21HullBye
    22ByeBlackburn
    23CharltonBye
    24ByeChelsea
    25Port ValeBristol Rovers1 : 0
    26FleetwoodLuton3 : 2
    27Bristol CityBye
    28ByeWatford
    29MK DonsOldham3 : 1
    30ByeOxford Utd
    31EvertonBye
    32ByeSunderland
    33TottenhamBye
    34ByeAston Villa
    35NewcastleBye
    36ByeBournemouth
    37Manchester CityBye
    38ExeterWycombe4 : 0
    39SalfordLeyton Orient4 : 0
    40SwindonBolton4 : 0
    41GrimsbyWealdstone4 : 0
    42ChelmsfordWeston-super-Mare0 : 2
    43WolvesBye
    44SuttonShrewsbury1 : 2
    45LiverpoolBye
    46PeterboroughBarnsley0 : 1
    47Manchester UtdBye
    48ByeBrighton
    49Boreham WoodNewport3 : 0
    50Brackley TownBurton1 : 3
    51West HamBye
    52ByeQPR
    53SloughMacclesfield1 : 3
    54ByeCrystal Palace
    55Sheffield WedBye
    56ByeBrentford
    57Stockport CountyCambridge Utd0 : 1
    58ByeBirmingham
    59DerbyBye
    60ByeLeeds
    61NorwichBye
    62GatesheadWalsall0 : 2
    63SwanseaBye
    64ByeWest Brom

    1/32-finals
    1StokeCoventry1 : 0
    2FulhamMiddlesbrough3 : 1
    3DoncasterSouthampton2 : 3
    4CheltenhamLeicester0 : 2
    5BurnleyMillwall5 : 1
    6Sheffield UtdMansfield3 : 4
    7PortsmouthArsenal1 : 4
    8PrestonWigan0 : 1
    9WrexhamNottingham4 : 3
    10IpswichBlackpool2 : 1
    11HullBlackburn1 : 0
    12CharltonChelsea1 : 5
    13Port ValeFleetwood1 : 0
    14Bristol CityWatford5 : 1
    15MK DonsOxford Utd1 : 2
    16EvertonSunderland1 : 2
    17TottenhamAston Villa1 : 2
    18NewcastleBournemouth4 : 3
    19Manchester CityExeter10 : 1
    20SalfordSwindon3 : 2
    21GrimsbyWeston-super-Mare3 : 2
    22WolvesShrewsbury6 : 1
    23LiverpoolBarnsley4 : 1
    24Manchester UtdBrighton1 : 2
    25Boreham WoodBurton0 : 5
    26West HamQPR2 : 1
    27MacclesfieldCrystal Palace2 : 1
    28Sheffield WedBrentford0 : 2
    29Cambridge UtdBirmingham2 : 3
    30DerbyLeeds1 : 3
    31NorwichWalsall5 : 1
    32SwanseaWest Brom2 : 3

    1/16-finals
    1StokeFulham1 : 2
    2SouthamptonLeicester2 : 1
    3BurnleyMansfield1 : 2
    4ArsenalWigan4 : 0
    5WrexhamIpswich1 : 0
    6HullChelsea0 : 4
    7Port ValeBristol City1 : 0
    8Oxford UtdSunderland0 : 1
    9Aston VillaNewcastle1 : 3
    10Manchester CitySalford2 : 0
    11GrimsbyWolves0 : 1
    12LiverpoolBrighton3 : 0
    13BurtonWest Ham0 : 1
    14MacclesfieldBrentford0 : 1
    15BirminghamLeeds1 : 2
    16NorwichWest Brom3 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1FulhamSouthampton0 : 1
    2MansfieldArsenal1 : 2
    3WrexhamChelsea2 : 4
    4Port ValeSunderland1 : 0
    5NewcastleManchester City1 : 3
    6WolvesLiverpool1 : 3
    7West HamBrentford3 : 2
    8LeedsNorwich3 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1SouthamptonArsenal
    2ChelseaPort Vale
    3Manchester CityLiverpool
    4West HamLeeds
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