Preston North End vs Aston Villa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English FA Cup
Result
0:3
30/03/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FA Cup - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Kavanagh C. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.473.54
Ball Possession
29%71%
Total shots
416
Shots on target
17
Big Chances
18
Corner Kicks
09
Passes
71% (150/212)89% (459/517)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
0.473.54
xG on target (xGOT)
0.072.53
Total shots
416
Shots on target
17
Shots off target
26
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
111
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
18
Corner Kicks
09
Touches in opposition box
1029
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
717
Passes
71% (150/212)89% (459/517)
Long passes
46% (21/46)60% (31/52)
Passes in final third
41% (21/51)76% (97/128)
Crosses
0% (0/3)19% (4/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.291.34
Fouls
177
Tackles
41% (9/22)69% (9/13)
Duels won
4543
Clearances Total
2715
Interceptions
114
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
2.530.07
Goals prevented
-0.470.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 28', Keane W. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 58', 0 - 1, Rashford M. ⚽, Digne L. (A),
  • 63', 0 - 2, Rashford M. (Pen),
  • 64', Keane W. ↓, Osmajic M. ↑,
  • 67', Whiteman B. 🟨,
  • 71', 0 - 3, Ramsey J. ⚽, Digne L. (A),
  • 73', Asensio M. ↓, Onana A. ↑,
  • 73', Tielemans Y. ↓, McGinn J. ↑,
  • 73', Rogers M. ↓, Malen D. ↑,
  • 77', Riis E. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
  • 77', Meghoma J. ↓, Lindsay L. ↑,
  • 81', Rashford M. ↓, Watkins O. ↑,
  • 81', Cash M. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
  • 83', Frokjaer-Jensen M. ↓, Carroll T. ↑,
  • 83', Thordarson S. T. ↓, Mawene T. ↑,

Chances of winning


Preston North End
11.7%		Draw
19.7%		Aston Villa
68.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
14.2% 20.5% 65.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14% 20.2% 66.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Preston North End has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Preston North End than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
    •

    Preston North End - Aston Villa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 8.08 ↑
    (6.73)    		 4.85 ↑
    (4.67)    		 1.4 ↓
    (1.46)    		 4.4%
    (4.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Preston North End - Aston Villa?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Aston Villa will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 59% – 100%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Preston won 0.
    • Recent matches Preston is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Aston Villa is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Aston Villa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Aston Villa is certain favorite.
    • There will not play in Preston: McCann A. (Leg Injury) Potts B. (Hamstring Injury) Whatmough J. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Preston: Osmajic M. (Hip Injury)
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Preston won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:9 (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Preston won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1:1).
    Latest results of Preston North End
    15.03.2025 Preston North End - Portsmouth 2:1 ✺
    11.03.2025 Sunderland - Preston North End 1:1 ✺
    08.03.2025 Sheffield United - Preston North End 1:0 ✺
    04.03.2025 Preston North End - Swansea City 0:0 ✺
    01.03.2025 Preston North End - Burnley 3:0 ✺
    Latest results of Aston Villa
    20.03.2025 Al Ain - Aston Villa 1:3
    12.03.2025 Aston Villa - Club Brugge 3:0 ✺
    08.03.2025 Brentford - Aston Villa 0:1 ✺
    04.03.2025 Club Brugge - Aston Villa 1:3 ✺
    28.02.2025 Aston Villa - Cardiff City 2:0 ✺
    Draw
    Main

    1/128-finals
    1WrexhamBye
    4ByeNottingham
    5IpswichBye
    7BlackpoolScunthorpe1 : 0
    8ReadingCarlisle2 : 3
    9HullBye
    12ByeBlackburn
    13CharltonBye
    16ByeChelsea
    17Port ValeMaldon & Tiptree5 : 1
    18BromleyBristol Rovers1 : 2
    19FleetwoodBarnet2 : 1
    20LutonForest Green4 : 3
    21Bristol CityBye
    24ByeWatford
    25ColchesterMK Dons2 : 3
    26OldhamNorthampton3 : 1
    28ByeOxford Utd
    29EvertonBye
    32ByeSunderland
    33Boreham WoodCrawley3 : 0
    34NewportGillingham3 : 2
    35Brackley TownNotts Co3 : 2
    36BurtonSt. Albans6 : 0
    37West HamBye
    40ByeQPR
    41SloughAltrincham2 : 1
    42MacclesfieldAFC Totton6 : 3
    44ByeCrystal Palace
    45Sheffield WedBye
    48ByeBrentford
    49TranmereStockport County1 : 3
    50Cambridge UtdChester3 : 0
    52ByeBirmingham
    53DerbyBye
    56ByeLeeds
    57NorwichBye
    59AFC WimbledonGateshead0 : 2
    60EastleighWalsall0 : 3
    61SwanseaBye
    64ByeWest Brom
    65TottenhamBye
    68ByeAston Villa
    69NewcastleBye
    72ByeBournemouth
    73Manchester CityBye
    75FC HalifaxExeter0 : 2
    76WycombePlymouth2 : 0
    77SalfordLincoln2 : 1
    78TamworthLeyton Orient0 : 1
    79RotherhamSwindon1 : 2
    80BoltonHuddersfield2 : 1
    81GrimsbyEbbsfleet3 : 1
    82WealdstoneSouthend1 : 0
    83ChelmsfordBraintree4 : 1
    84Weston-super-MareAldershot2 : 1
    85WolvesBye
    87SuttonAFC Telford2 : 1
    88South ShieldsShrewsbury1 : 3
    89LiverpoolBye
    91PeterboroughCardiff1 : 0
    92BarnsleyYork City3 : 2
    93Manchester UtdBye
    96ByeBrighton
    97StokeBye
    100ByeCoventry
    101FulhamBye
    104ByeMiddlesbrough
    105StevenageChesterfield0 : 1
    106CreweDoncaster1 : 2
    108ByeSouthampton
    109CheltenhamBradford City1 : 0
    110BuxtonChatham2 : 1
    112ByeLeicester
    113BurnleyBye
    116ByeMillwall
    117Sheffield UtdBye
    119GainsboroughAccrington1 : 2
    120MansfieldHarrogate3 : 2
    121PortsmouthBye
    124ByeArsenal
    125PrestonBye
    127WiganHemel Hempstead2 : 1
    128SpennymoorBarrow0 : 2

    1/64-finals
    1WrexhamBye
    2ByeNottingham
    3IpswichBye
    4BlackpoolCarlisle4 : 1
    5HullBye
    6ByeBlackburn
    7CharltonBye
    8ByeChelsea
    9Port ValeBristol Rovers1 : 0
    10FleetwoodLuton3 : 2
    11Bristol CityBye
    12ByeWatford
    13MK DonsOldham3 : 1
    14ByeOxford Utd
    15EvertonBye
    16ByeSunderland
    17Boreham WoodNewport3 : 0
    18Brackley TownBurton1 : 3
    19West HamBye
    20ByeQPR
    21SloughMacclesfield1 : 3
    22ByeCrystal Palace
    23Sheffield WedBye
    24ByeBrentford
    25Stockport CountyCambridge Utd0 : 1
    26ByeBirmingham
    27DerbyBye
    28ByeLeeds
    29NorwichBye
    30GatesheadWalsall0 : 2
    31SwanseaBye
    32ByeWest Brom
    33TottenhamBye
    34ByeAston Villa
    35NewcastleBye
    36ByeBournemouth
    37Manchester CityBye
    38ExeterWycombe4 : 0
    39SalfordLeyton Orient4 : 0
    40SwindonBolton4 : 0
    41GrimsbyWealdstone4 : 0
    42ChelmsfordWeston-super-Mare0 : 2
    43WolvesBye
    44SuttonShrewsbury1 : 2
    45LiverpoolBye
    46PeterboroughBarnsley0 : 1
    47Manchester UtdBye
    48ByeBrighton
    49StokeBye
    50ByeCoventry
    51FulhamBye
    52ByeMiddlesbrough
    53ChesterfieldDoncaster1 : 2
    54ByeSouthampton
    55CheltenhamBuxton6 : 2
    56ByeLeicester
    57BurnleyBye
    58ByeMillwall
    59Sheffield UtdBye
    60AccringtonMansfield2 : 3
    61PortsmouthBye
    62ByeArsenal
    63PrestonBye
    64WiganBarrow3 : 2

    1/32-finals
    1WrexhamNottingham4 : 3
    2IpswichBlackpool2 : 1
    3HullBlackburn1 : 0
    4CharltonChelsea1 : 5
    5Port ValeFleetwood1 : 0
    6Bristol CityWatford5 : 1
    7MK DonsOxford Utd1 : 2
    8EvertonSunderland1 : 2
    9Boreham WoodBurton0 : 5
    10West HamQPR2 : 1
    11MacclesfieldCrystal Palace2 : 1
    12Sheffield WedBrentford0 : 2
    13Cambridge UtdBirmingham2 : 3
    14DerbyLeeds1 : 3
    15NorwichWalsall5 : 1
    16SwanseaWest Brom2 : 3
    17TottenhamAston Villa1 : 2
    18NewcastleBournemouth4 : 3
    19Manchester CityExeter10 : 1
    20SalfordSwindon3 : 2
    21GrimsbyWeston-super-Mare3 : 2
    22WolvesShrewsbury6 : 1
    23LiverpoolBarnsley4 : 1
    24Manchester UtdBrighton1 : 2
    25StokeCoventry1 : 0
    26FulhamMiddlesbrough3 : 1
    27DoncasterSouthampton2 : 3
    28CheltenhamLeicester0 : 2
    29BurnleyMillwall5 : 1
    30Sheffield UtdMansfield3 : 4
    31PortsmouthArsenal1 : 4
    32PrestonWigan0 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1WrexhamIpswich1 : 0
    2HullChelsea0 : 4
    3Port ValeBristol City1 : 0
    4Oxford UtdSunderland0 : 1
    5BurtonWest Ham0 : 1
    6MacclesfieldBrentford0 : 1
    7BirminghamLeeds1 : 2
    8NorwichWest Brom3 : 1
    9Aston VillaNewcastle1 : 3
    10Manchester CitySalford2 : 0
    11GrimsbyWolves0 : 1
    12LiverpoolBrighton3 : 0
    13StokeFulham1 : 2
    14SouthamptonLeicester2 : 1
    15BurnleyMansfield1 : 2
    16ArsenalWigan4 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1WrexhamChelsea2 : 4
    2Port ValeSunderland1 : 0
    3West HamBrentford3 : 2
    4LeedsNorwich3 : 0
    5NewcastleManchester City1 : 3
    6WolvesLiverpool1 : 3
    7FulhamSouthampton0 : 1
    8MansfieldArsenal1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1ChelseaPort Vale7 : 0
    2West HamLeeds2 : 3
    3Manchester CityLiverpool4 : 0
    4SouthamptonArsenal2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1ChelseaLeeds
    2Manchester CitySouthampton
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