Preston North End vs Burnley – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
01/03/2025 at 07:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: FA Cup - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Brooks J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.450.48
Ball Possession
44%56%
Goal Attempts
1010
Shots on Goal
42
Shots off Goal
53
Blocked Shots
15
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
25
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
Free Kicks
1721
Offsides
41
Fouls
2117
Yellow Cards
31
Throw-ins
1519
Touches in the Opposition Box
2113
Passes
71% (205/290)78% (287/369)
Passes in the final third
55% (53/97)57% (47/82)
Crosses
8% (1/12)9% (1/11)
Tackles
70% (14/20)90% (9/10)
Clearances Total
3034
Interceptions
64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 28', Thordarson S. T. 🟨,
  • 30', Lucas Pires 🟨,
  • 31', 1 - 0, Brady R. ,
  • 35', Kesler-Hayden K. 🟨,
  • 44', 2 - 0, Osmajic M. , Potts B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 58', Shelvey J. , Laurent J. ,
  • 58', Koleosho L. , Flemming Z. ,
  • 58', Manuel Hedilazio B. , Barnes A. ,
  • 67', Ledson R. 🟨,
  • 67', Foster L. , Edwards M. ,
  • 68', Sarmiento J. , Banel J. ,
  • 71', Brady R. , Hughes A. ,
  • 73', 3 - 0, Keane W. , Hughes A. (A),
  • 77', Keane W. , Riis E. ,
  • 84', Ledson R. , Greenwood S. ,
  • 84', Osmajic M. , Evans C. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Preston North End
31.1%
Draw
30.5%
Burnley
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.1% 29.7% 46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4% 30% 45.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Preston North End has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Preston North End's performance.
  • Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Burnley might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Preston North End than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Preston North End that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Burnley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Preston North End - Burnley Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.1
    (3.97)
    3.11
    (3.22)
    2.5
    (2.07)
    4.5%
    (4.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Preston North End - Burnley?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Preston will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Burnley will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Burnley: 41.6%98.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Preston won 0.
    • Recent matches Preston is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Burnley is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Burnley could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Burnley will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Preston: Holmes D. (Broken Leg) Storey J. (Leg Injury) Whatmough J. (Calf Injury) Whiteman B. (Ankle Injury)
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Preston won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8:13 (average 0.7:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Preston won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:8 (average 0.9:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Preston North End - Burnley were as follows:
    15.02.2025 Preston North End - Burnley 0:0
    05.10.2024 Burnley - Preston North End 0:0
    11.02.2023 Burnley - Preston North End 3:0
    13.09.2022 Preston North End - Burnley 1:1
    Latest results of Preston North End
    Latest results of Burnley
    12.02.2025 Burnley - Hull City 2:0
    08.02.2025 Southampton - Burnley 0:1
    04.02.2025 Burnley - Oxford United 1:0
    Draw
    Main

    1/128-finals
    1StokeBye
    4ByeCoventry
    5FulhamBye
    8ByeMiddlesbrough
    9StevenageChesterfield0 : 1
    10CreweDoncaster1 : 2
    12ByeSouthampton
    13CheltenhamBradford City1 : 0
    14BuxtonChatham2 : 1
    16ByeLeicester
    17BurnleyBye
    20ByeMillwall
    21Sheffield UtdBye
    23GainsboroughAccrington1 : 2
    24MansfieldHarrogate3 : 2
    25PortsmouthBye
    28ByeArsenal
    29PrestonBye
    31WiganHemel Hempstead2 : 1
    32SpennymoorBarrow0 : 2
    33WrexhamBye
    36ByeNottingham
    37IpswichBye
    39BlackpoolScunthorpe1 : 0
    40ReadingCarlisle2 : 3
    41HullBye
    44ByeBlackburn
    45CharltonBye
    48ByeChelsea
    49Port ValeMaldon & Tiptree5 : 1
    50BromleyBristol Rovers1 : 2
    51FleetwoodBarnet2 : 1
    52LutonForest Green4 : 3
    53Bristol CityBye
    56ByeWatford
    57ColchesterMK Dons2 : 3
    58OldhamNorthampton3 : 1
    60ByeOxford Utd
    61EvertonBye
    64ByeSunderland
    65TottenhamBye
    68ByeAston Villa
    69NewcastleBye
    72ByeBournemouth
    73Manchester CityBye
    75FC HalifaxExeter0 : 2
    76WycombePlymouth2 : 0
    77SalfordLincoln2 : 1
    78TamworthLeyton Orient0 : 1
    79RotherhamSwindon1 : 2
    80BoltonHuddersfield2 : 1
    81GrimsbyEbbsfleet3 : 1
    82WealdstoneSouthend1 : 0
    83ChelmsfordBraintree4 : 1
    84Weston-super-MareAldershot2 : 1
    85WolvesBye
    87SuttonAFC Telford2 : 1
    88South ShieldsShrewsbury1 : 3
    89LiverpoolBye
    91PeterboroughCardiff1 : 0
    92BarnsleyYork City3 : 2
    93Manchester UtdBye
    96ByeBrighton
    97Boreham WoodCrawley3 : 0
    98NewportGillingham3 : 2
    99Brackley TownNotts Co3 : 2
    100BurtonSt. Albans6 : 0
    101West HamBye
    104ByeQPR
    105SloughAltrincham2 : 1
    106MacclesfieldAFC Totton6 : 3
    108ByeCrystal Palace
    109Sheffield WedBye
    112ByeBrentford
    113TranmereStockport County1 : 3
    114Cambridge UtdChester3 : 0
    116ByeBirmingham
    117DerbyBye
    120ByeLeeds
    121NorwichBye
    123AFC WimbledonGateshead0 : 2
    124EastleighWalsall0 : 3
    125SwanseaBye
    128ByeWest Brom

    1/64-finals
    1StokeBye
    2ByeCoventry
    3FulhamBye
    4ByeMiddlesbrough
    5ChesterfieldDoncaster1 : 2
    6ByeSouthampton
    7CheltenhamBuxton6 : 2
    8ByeLeicester
    9BurnleyBye
    10ByeMillwall
    11Sheffield UtdBye
    12AccringtonMansfield2 : 3
    13PortsmouthBye
    14ByeArsenal
    15PrestonBye
    16WiganBarrow3 : 2
    17WrexhamBye
    18ByeNottingham
    19IpswichBye
    20BlackpoolCarlisle4 : 1
    21HullBye
    22ByeBlackburn
    23CharltonBye
    24ByeChelsea
    25Port ValeBristol Rovers1 : 0
    26FleetwoodLuton3 : 2
    27Bristol CityBye
    28ByeWatford
    29MK DonsOldham3 : 1
    30ByeOxford Utd
    31EvertonBye
    32ByeSunderland
    33TottenhamBye
    34ByeAston Villa
    35NewcastleBye
    36ByeBournemouth
    37Manchester CityBye
    38ExeterWycombe4 : 0
    39SalfordLeyton Orient4 : 0
    40SwindonBolton4 : 0
    41GrimsbyWealdstone4 : 0
    42ChelmsfordWeston-super-Mare0 : 2
    43WolvesBye
    44SuttonShrewsbury1 : 2
    45LiverpoolBye
    46PeterboroughBarnsley0 : 1
    47Manchester UtdBye
    48ByeBrighton
    49Boreham WoodNewport3 : 0
    50Brackley TownBurton1 : 3
    51West HamBye
    52ByeQPR
    53SloughMacclesfield1 : 3
    54ByeCrystal Palace
    55Sheffield WedBye
    56ByeBrentford
    57Stockport CountyCambridge Utd0 : 1
    58ByeBirmingham
    59DerbyBye
    60ByeLeeds
    61NorwichBye
    62GatesheadWalsall0 : 2
    63SwanseaBye
    64ByeWest Brom

    1/32-finals
    1StokeCoventry1 : 0
    2FulhamMiddlesbrough3 : 1
    3DoncasterSouthampton2 : 3
    4CheltenhamLeicester0 : 2
    5BurnleyMillwall5 : 1
    6Sheffield UtdMansfield3 : 4
    7PortsmouthArsenal1 : 4
    8PrestonWigan0 : 1
    9WrexhamNottingham4 : 3
    10IpswichBlackpool2 : 1
    11HullBlackburn1 : 0
    12CharltonChelsea1 : 5
    13Port ValeFleetwood1 : 0
    14Bristol CityWatford5 : 1
    15MK DonsOxford Utd1 : 2
    16EvertonSunderland1 : 2
    17TottenhamAston Villa1 : 2
    18NewcastleBournemouth4 : 3
    19Manchester CityExeter10 : 1
    20SalfordSwindon3 : 2
    21GrimsbyWeston-super-Mare3 : 2
    22WolvesShrewsbury6 : 1
    23LiverpoolBarnsley4 : 1
    24Manchester UtdBrighton1 : 2
    25Boreham WoodBurton0 : 5
    26West HamQPR2 : 1
    27MacclesfieldCrystal Palace2 : 1
    28Sheffield WedBrentford0 : 2
    29Cambridge UtdBirmingham2 : 3
    30DerbyLeeds1 : 3
    31NorwichWalsall5 : 1
    32SwanseaWest Brom2 : 3

    1/16-finals
    1StokeFulham1 : 2
    2SouthamptonLeicester2 : 1
    3BurnleyMansfield1 : 2
    4ArsenalWigan4 : 0
    5WrexhamIpswich1 : 0
    6HullChelsea0 : 4
    7Port ValeBristol City1 : 0
    8Oxford UtdSunderland0 : 1
    9Aston VillaNewcastle1 : 3
    10Manchester CitySalford2 : 0
    11GrimsbyWolves0 : 1
    12LiverpoolBrighton3 : 0
    13BurtonWest Ham0 : 1
    14MacclesfieldBrentford0 : 1
    15BirminghamLeeds1 : 2
    16NorwichWest Brom3 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1FulhamSouthampton0 : 1
    2MansfieldArsenal1 : 2
    3WrexhamChelsea2 : 4
    4Port ValeSunderland1 : 0
    5NewcastleManchester City1 : 3
    6WolvesLiverpool1 : 3
    7West HamBrentford3 : 2
    8LeedsNorwich3 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1SouthamptonArsenal
    2ChelseaPort Vale
    3Manchester CityLiverpool
    4West HamLeeds