Priska Madelyn Nugroho vs Arina Rodionova – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Jinan Challenger Women Priska Madelyn Nugroho - Arina Rodionova
Result
2:1
16/10/2025 at 01:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Jinan, hard - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
21
Double Faults
01
1st Serve Percentage
67%67%
1st Serve Points Won
65% (31/48)50% (28/56)
2nd Serve Points Won
33% (8/24)39% (11/28)
Break Points Saved
17% (1/6)57% (8/14)
1st Return Points Won
50% (28/56)48% (23/48)
2nd Return Points Won
61% (17/28)67% (16/24)
Break Points Converted
43% (6/14)83% (5/6)
Service Points Won
54% (39/72)47% (39/83)
Return Points Won
53% (44/83)46% (33/72)
Total Points Won
54% (83/155)46% (72/155)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
02
Service Games Won
58% (7/12)45% (5/11)
Return Games Won
55% (6/11)42% (5/12)
Total Games Won
57% (13/23)43% (10/23)

Chances of winning


Priska Madelyn Nugroho
44.7%
Arina Rodionova
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.7% 56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3% 57.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Priska Madelyn Nugroho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Arina Rodionova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Priska Madelyn Nugroho than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arina Rodionova than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • Priska Madelyn Nugroho - Arina Rodionova Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.09
    (2.11)

    1.7
    (1.64)
    6.8%
    (8.6%)
    Preview Facts
    • Nugroho is ranked WTA: 323. Rodionova is ranked WTA: 264.
    • Nugroho is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Rodionova's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Nugroho may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Rodionova could have a small edge in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Arina Rodionova
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Zakharova A. (1)Tararudee L.2 : 0
    2Prozorova T.Reyngold E. (Q)2 : 0
    3Li X.Hartono A.0 : 2
    4Shi H.Sun L. (6)1 : 2
    5Tjen J. (3)Wang Y.2 : 1
    6Iatcenko P.Pridankina E.2 : 1
    7Kaji H.Ren Y.2 : 1
    8Gao X.Rakotomanga Rajaonah T. (7)2 : 0
    9Osuigwe W. (8)Paquet C.2 : 0
    10Nugroho P. M. (Q)Bai Z.2 : 1
    11Rodionova Ar.Andreeva E.2 : 0
    12Tian F. (Q)Erjavec V. (4)0 : 2
    13Jimenez Kasintseva V. (5)Ma Y.1 : 2
    14Korneeva A.You X.2 : 1
    15Wei S.Zavatska K. (Q)2 : 0
    16Astakhova D.Bondar A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Zakharova A. (1)Prozorova T.2 : 0
    2Hartono A.Sun L. (6)0 : 2
    3Tjen J. (3)Iatcenko P.2 : 0
    4Kaji H.Gao X.0 : 2
    5Osuigwe W. (8)Nugroho P. M.1 : 2
    6Rodionova Ar.Erjavec V. (4)2 : 1
    7Ma Y.Korneeva A.2 : 0
    8Wei S.Bondar A. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Zakharova A. (1)Sun L. (6)0 : 2
    2Tjen J. (3)Gao X.2 : 0
    3Nugroho P. M.Rodionova Ar.2 : 1
    4Ma Y.Bondar A. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Sun L. (6)Tjen J. (3)1 : 2
    2Nugroho P. M.Bondar A. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Tjen J. (3)Bondar A. (2)