Prisons vs Namungo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
14/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 1

Match Stats

Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
37
Shots on target
32
Corner kicks
41
Yellow cards
50
Total shots
37
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
05
Corner kicks
41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 38', 🟨,
  • 40', 0 - 1, ,
  • 42', 🟨,
  • 43', 0 - 2, ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 49', 1 - 2, ,
  • 70', 🟨,
  • 71', (Penalty Awarded),
  • 72', 2 - 2, ,
  • 80', 3 - 2, ,
  • 89', 🟨,
  • 90+5', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Prisons
31.2%
Draw
36.4%
Namungo
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.1% 32.2% 31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3% 33.2% 30.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Prisons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • Namungo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Prisons than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Prisons, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Namungo than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Prisons - Namungo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.89
    (2.49)
    2.48
    (2.79)
    2.78
    (2.83)
    11%
    (11.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Prisons won 1.
    • Recent form of Prisons has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Namungo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Namungo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Prisons won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.3:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Prisons won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Prisons - Namungo were as follows:
    21.09.2025 Namungo - Prisons 1:0
    14.02.2025 Prisons - Namungo 0:1
    28.09.2024 Namungo - Prisons 1:0
    25.05.2024 Namungo - Prisons 2:2
    21.12.2023 Prisons - Namungo 1:0
    Latest results of Prisons
    10.02.2026 Prisons - Coastal Union 1:4
    06.02.2026 Prisons - Mashujaa 0:0
    02.02.2026 Mtibwa Sugar - Prisons 2:1
    25.01.2026 Prisons - JKT Tanzania 0:0
    22.01.2026 Dodoma Jiji - Prisons 1:0
    Latest results of Namungo
    10.02.2026 Pamba - Namungo 1:0
    07.02.2026 Mtibwa Sugar - Namungo 1:1
    31.01.2026 Namungo - Kinondoni MC 1:0
    23.01.2026 Namungo - Coastal Union 1:0
    Tanzanian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Young Africans16115032:32938
    2Simba1494124:61831
    3Azam1578021:41729
    4JKT Tanzania1777318:15328
    5Pamba1667319:14525
    6Singida Black Stars1574418:15325
    7Mtibwa Sugar1757514:18-422
    8Namungo1756614:17-321
    9Dodoma Jiji1756614:18-421
    10TRA United1655617:18-120
    11Mashujaa174769:16-719
    12Fountain Gate164488:19-1116
    13Coastal Union1636712:18-615
    14Mbeya City1634913:22-913
    15Tanzania Prisons1734109:19-1013
    16Kinondoni MC1622125:25-208

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
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          Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)
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