Result
3:2
14/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Azam Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 38', 🟨,
- 40', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 42', 🟨,
- 43', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 49', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 70', 🟨,
- 71', (Penalty Awarded),
- 72', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 80', 3 - 2, ⚽,
- 89', 🟨,
- 90+5', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Prisons
31.2% | Draw
36.4% | Namungo
32.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Prisons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)Namungo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Prisons than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Prisons, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Namungo than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Prisons - Namungo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.89 ↑
(2.49) |
2.48 ↓
(2.79) |
2.78 ↓
(2.83) |
11%
(11.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Prisons won 1.
- Recent form of Prisons has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Namungo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Namungo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Prisons won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Prisons won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Prisons won against Namungo?
Prisons has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Namungo won against Prisons?
Namungo has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Prisons - Namungo were as follows:
21.09.2025
Namungo
-
Prisons
1:0
14.02.2025
Prisons
-
Namungo
0:1
28.09.2024
Namungo
-
Prisons
1:0
25.05.2024
Namungo
-
Prisons
2:2
21.12.2023
Prisons
-
Namungo
1:0
Latest results of Prisons
Latest results of Namungo
Tanzanian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Young Africans | 20 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 46:5 | 41 | 48 |
| 2 | Simba | 20 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 34:9 | 25 | 43 |
| 3 | Azam | 20 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 29:5 | 24 | 40 |
| 4 | JKT Tanzania | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 21:20 | 1 | 32 |
| 5 | TRA United | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 23:18 | 5 | 30 |
| 6 | Pamba | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 21:19 | 2 | 29 |
| 7 | Singida Black Stars | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 22:22 | 0 | 29 |
| 8 | Dodoma Jiji | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 18:21 | -3 | 25 |
| 9 | Namungo | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 17:22 | -5 | 23 |
| 10 | Mtibwa Sugar | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 23 |
| 11 | Coastal Union | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 18:23 | -5 | 22 |
| 12 | Mashujaa | 20 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 22 |
| 13 | Fountain Gate | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 11:28 | -17 | 19 |
| 14 | Mbeya City | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 16:30 | -14 | 18 |
| 15 | Tanzania Prisons | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 10:26 | -16 | 14 |
| 16 | Kinondoni MC | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 8:31 | -23 | 9 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)
Relegation
