Pro Patria vs Renate – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
20/12/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group A - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255

Match Stats

Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
63
Corner Kicks
92
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
108
Corner Kicks
92

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Bonetti A. ,
  • 8', Renelus B. 🟨,
  • 24', 0 - 2, Mastromonaco G. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Mora C. , Giudici L. ,
  • 50', Riviera C. 🟨,
  • 55', Schiro T. , Citterio G. ,
  • 55', Schiavone A. , Di Munno A. ,
  • 71', Anelli N. , Kolaj A. ,
  • 72', Renelus B. , Udoh K. ,
  • 78', Vassallo F. , Ruiz Giraldo P. ,
  • 81', Dimarco C. , Orfei A. ,
  • 81', Orfei A. 🟨,
  • 90', Aliata T. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Delcarro A. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 0 - 3, Kolaj A. ,

Chances of winning


Pro Patria
23.6%
Draw
30.8%
Renate
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.6% 26.7% 38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3% 26.5% 39%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pro Patria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pro Patria's form might have worsened.
  • Renate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Renate's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (+10.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pro Patria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Renate than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Renate, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Pro Patria - Renate Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.91
    (2.66)
    2.99
    (3.45)
    2.02
    (2.38)
    8.5%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Pro Patria - Renate?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Renate will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pro Patria won 2.
    • Pro Patria is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Renate has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Renate may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Renate is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Pro Patria won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:24. (average 0.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pro Patria won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pro Patria - Renate were as follows:
    21.12.2024 Renate - Pro Patria 1:0
    25.08.2024 Pro Patria - Renate 0:1
    25.02.2024 Pro Patria - Renate 1:3
    21.10.2023 Renate - Pro Patria 1:2
    13.08.2023 Pro Patria - Renate 3:2
    Latest results of Pro Patria
    Latest results of Renate
    13.12.2025 Renate - Trento 1:1
    10.12.2025 Ravenna - Renate 1:2
    06.12.2025 Pro Vercelli - Renate 1:1
    26.11.2025 Inter U23 - Renate 2:3
    Italian Serie C Group A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1L.R. Vicenza29226149:153472
    2Brescia29168543:202356
    3Lecco29148735:231250
    4Trento291212542:291348
    5Alcione Milano301461030:181248
    6Renate29139737:261148
    7Cittadella29137935:32346
    8Inter U23291011833:30341
    9Lumezzane3010101033:33040
    10Giana Erminio301091127:30-339
    11Pro Vercelli301151432:42-1038
    12Novara29618529:28136
    13Ospitaletto307131031:32-134
    14AlbinoLeffe298101138:41-334
    15Arzignano30971439:44-534
    16Pergolettese30881429:40-1132
    17Dolomiti Bellunesi29781424:46-2229
    18Virtus Verona293121427:42-1521
    19Pro Patria30391823:54-3118
    20Triestina29761630:41-114

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation