Result
2:1
25/04/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group A - Round 38
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 23', Cali M. 🟨,
- 31', 0 - 1, Tunjov G. ⚽,
- 32', 1 - 1, Vesentini F. ⚽,
- 42', Frosali J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Bonetti A. ↓, Ruiz Giraldo P. ↑,
- 51', Tunjov G. 🟨,
- 60', Tunjov G. ↓, Desogus J. ↑,
- 67', Vassallo F. ↓, Ekuban J. ↑,
- 74', Orfei A. ↓, Di Munno A. ↑,
- 74', Mastroianni F. ↓, Udoh K. ↑,
- 80', (Penalty Awarded),
- 82', Mora C. ↓, Reggiori P. ↑,
- 82', Frosali J. ↓, Ricordi T. ↑,
- 84', Vesentini F. ↓, Nene S. ↑,
- 87', 2 - 1, Delcarro A. ⚽,
- 88', Delcarro A. 🟨,
- 90', Karlsson O. ↓, Esposito G. ↑,
- 90', Anelli N. ↓, Mastromonaco G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Renate
65.3% | Draw
21.6% | Pro Patria
13.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Renate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Pro Patria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renate than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Renate, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Renate - Pro Patria Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.4 ↑
(1.36) |
4.23 ↓
(4.66) |
6.95 ↓
(7.38) |
9.6%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
- Pro Patria is Serie C ~ Play Out
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Renate won 4.
- In recent matches, Renate has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Pro Patria has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Renate is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Renate won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:15. (average 1.4:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Renate won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.7:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Renate won against Pro Patria?
Renate has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pro Patria won against Renate?
Pro Patria has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Renate - Pro Patria were as follows:
20.12.2025
Pro Patria
-
Renate
0:3
21.12.2024
Renate
-
Pro Patria
1:0
25.08.2024
Pro Patria
-
Renate
0:1
25.02.2024
Pro Patria
-
Renate
1:3
21.10.2023
Renate
-
Pro Patria
1:2
Latest results of Pro Patria
Italian Serie C Group A Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | L.R. Vicenza | 38 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 69:26 | 43 | 89 |
| 2 | Brescia | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 49:24 | 25 | 69 |
| 3 | Renate | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 53:37 | 16 | 64 |
| 4 | Lecco | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 47:34 | 13 | 64 |
| 5 | Trento | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 58:42 | 16 | 63 |
| 6 | Cittadella | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 45:43 | 2 | 59 |
| 7 | Lumezzane | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 46:39 | 7 | 56 |
| 8 | Alcione Milano | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 35:28 | 7 | 55 |
| 9 | Arzignano | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 50:48 | 2 | 53 |
| 10 | Giana Erminio | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 38:39 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | AlbinoLeffe | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 51:49 | 2 | 50 |
| 12 | Inter U23 | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 40:41 | -1 | 48 |
| 13 | Novara | 38 | 9 | 20 | 9 | 40:39 | 1 | 47 |
| 14 | Pro Vercelli | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 39:55 | -16 | 46 |
| 15 | Ospitaletto | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 41:43 | -2 | 45 |
| 16 | Pergolettese | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 37:50 | -13 | 41 |
| 17 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 38:61 | -23 | 40 |
| 18 | Virtus Verona | 38 | 3 | 16 | 19 | 34:62 | -28 | 25 |
| 19 | Pro Patria | 38 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 34:70 | -36 | 23 |
| 20 | Triestina | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 45:59 | -14 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Relegation
