Triestina vs Pro Patria – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie C Group A Triestina - Pro Patria
16/03/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: Serie C - Group A - Round 32
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Max

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Goal Attempts
76
Shots on Goal
13
Shots off Goal
63
Corner Kicks
21
Goalkeeper Saves
30
Yellow Cards
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 19', Renault C. 🟨,
  • 33', Cavalli T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Renault C. , Reggiori P. ,
  • 47', Silvestri T. 🟨,
  • 59', Cortinovis A. , D'Urso C. ,
  • 59', Strizzolo L. , Udoh K. ,
  • 59', Rocco D. , Beretta G. ,
  • 69', Citterio G. , Nicco G. ,
  • 69', Fiordilino L. , Embalo Sambu B. ,
  • 75', 1 - 0, Barlocco L. (Own goal),
  • 81', Ferri D. , Pitou J. ,
  • 81', Toci E. , Curatolo D. ,
  • 82', Olivieri M. 🟨,
  • 83', Voca I. , Kosijer S. ,
  • 83', Olivieri M. , Vertainen E. ,

Chances of winning


Triestina
56.4%
Draw
27%
Pro Patria
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.2% 27.2% 23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2% 26.1% 22.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Triestina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Triestina's performance.
  • Pro Patria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pro Patria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Triestina than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Triestina that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pro Patria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Triestina - Pro Patria Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.8)
    3.41
    (3.25)
    5.55
    (3.75)
    8.5%
    (13%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Triestina won 2.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • In this match Triestina is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Triestina: Bianay Balcot C. (Inactive) Bianconi A. (Yellow Cards) Ionita A. (Inactive) Pavlev D. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Pro Patria: Lombardoni M. (Inactive) Mallamo A. (Inactive) Sassaro A. (Injury) Terrani G. (Yellow Cards) Travaglini C. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Pro Patria: Bashi E. (Injury)
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Triestina won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:6 (average 1.3:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Triestina won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Triestina - Pro Patria were as follows:
    03.11.2024 Pro Patria - Triestina 0:0
    04.02.2024 Triestina - Pro Patria 1:2
    24.09.2023 Pro Patria - Triestina 0:3
    12.03.2023 Triestina - Pro Patria 2:0
    06.11.2022 Pro Patria - Triestina 2:1
    Latest results of Triestina
    13.03.2025 AlbinoLeffe - Triestina 2:0
    09.03.2025 Triestina - Pergolettese 0:0
    01.03.2025 Virtus Verona - Triestina 2:2
    22.02.2025 Triestina - Alcione 1:0
    15.02.2025 Pro Vercelli - Triestina 0:1
    Latest results of Pro Patria
    Italian Serie C Group A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1L.R. Vicenza11005:053
    2Pro Vercelli11003:213
    3Trento11002:023
    4Lecco11002:113
    5Arzignano11002:113
    6Renate11001:013
    7Alcione Milano11001:013
    8AlbinoLeffe10102:201
    9Dolomiti Bellunesi10102:201
    10Cittadella10101:101
    11Virtus Verona10101:101
    12Pro Patria10012:3-10
    13Ospitaletto10011:2-10
    14Brescia10011:2-10
    15Novara00000:000
    16Inter U2300000:000
    17Pergolettese10010:1-10
    18Giana Erminio10010:2-20
    19Lumezzane10010:5-50
    20Triestina10010:1-1-7

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation