Result
2:1
28/11/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group A - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Uno |
 World | FIFA+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 47', 0 - 1, Renelus B. ⚽,
- 59', Crnigoj D. ↓, Voca I. ↑,
- 59', Kljajic N. ↓, Vicario J. ↑,
- 61', 1 - 1, Ionita A. ⚽,
- 66', Dimarco C. 🟨,
- 67', Renelus B. ↓, Udoh K. ↑,
- 67', Schiro T. ↓, Citterio G. ↑,
- 68', Ganz S. ↓, Bagatti N. ↑,
- 70', Bagatti N. 🟥,
- 77', Pedicillo L. ↓, Faggioli A. ↑,
- 77', Dimarco C. ↓, Mora C. ↑,
- 83', Ionita A. ↓, D'Urso C. ↑,
- 85', Jonsson K. 🟨,
- 87', 2 - 1, Jonsson K. ⚽,
- 90', Reggiori P. ↓, Orfei A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Triestina
49.1% | Draw
28.7% | Pro Patria
22.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Triestina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Triestina's form might have worsened.Pro Patria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Triestina than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Triestina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Triestina - Pro Patria Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↑
(1.69) |
3.23 ↓
(3.58) |
4.18 ↓
(4.58) |
7.7%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Triestina - Pro Patria?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Triestina (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Triestina (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Triestina will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Triestina (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Triestina won 3.
- Triestina has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Pro Patria's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Triestina is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Triestina won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.2:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Triestina won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Triestina won against Pro Patria?
Triestina has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pro Patria won against Triestina?
Pro Patria has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Triestina - Pro Patria were as follows:
03.11.2024
Pro Patria
-
Triestina
0:0
04.02.2024
Triestina
-
Pro Patria
1:2
24.09.2023
Pro Patria
-
Triestina
0:3
12.03.2023
Triestina
-
Pro Patria
2:0
06.11.2022
Pro Patria
-
Triestina
2:1
Latest results of Triestina
Latest results of Pro Patria
Italian Serie C Group A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | L.R. Vicenza ✔ | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 59:21 | 38 | 81 |
| 2 | Brescia | 33 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 43:21 | 22 | 59 |
| 3 | Lecco | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 40:27 | 13 | 57 |
| 4 | Trento | 33 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 50:36 | 14 | 55 |
| 5 | Cittadella | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 40:35 | 5 | 53 |
| 6 | Renate | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 43:31 | 12 | 53 |
| 7 | Alcione Milano | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 31:22 | 9 | 50 |
| 8 | Lumezzane | 33 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 35:34 | 1 | 45 |
| 9 | Giana Erminio | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 31:33 | -2 | 45 |
| 10 | Novara | 33 | 8 | 20 | 5 | 35:29 | 6 | 44 |
| 11 | AlbinoLeffe | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 43:43 | 0 | 43 |
| 12 | Inter U23 | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36:36 | 0 | 42 |
| 13 | Pro Vercelli | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | -11 | 42 |
| 14 | Arzignano | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 41:45 | -4 | 40 |
| 15 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 34:52 | -18 | 38 |
| 16 | Ospitaletto | 33 | 8 | 14 | 11 | 35:38 | -3 | 38 |
| 17 | Pergolettese | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 30:44 | -14 | 33 |
| 18 | Virtus Verona | 33 | 3 | 13 | 17 | 30:50 | -20 | 22 |
| 19 | Pro Patria | 33 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 25:60 | -35 | 19 |
| 20 | Triestina ✔ | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36:49 | -13 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
L.R. Vicenza is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Serie B
Triestina is Relegated to
