Pro Patria vs Virtus Verona – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
28/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group A - Round 29
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255

Match Stats

Ball possession
45%55%
Total shots
816
Shots on target
35
Corner kicks
49
Yellow cards
40
Red cards
10
Total shots
816
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
511
Corner kicks
49

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Desogus J. ,
  • 30', Sassaro A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Ballarini M. , Caia F. ,
  • 46', Renelus B. , Citterio G. ,
  • 46', Daffara M. , Pagliuca M. ,
  • 58', 2 - 0, Udoh K. ,
  • 61', Motolese M. 🟨,
  • 67', Sassaro A. 🟨,
  • 68', Munaretti L. , Patane N. ,
  • 69', Desogus J. , Pogliano C. ,
  • 69', Udoh K. , Mastroianni F. ,
  • 70', 2 - 1, Cernigoi I. ,
  • 75', 2 - 2, Cernigoi I. ,
  • 80', Motolese M. , Mora C. ,
  • 81', Mastroianni F. 🟨,
  • 87', Ferri D. , Schiro T. ,
  • 88', Fanini F. , Mancini T. ,

Chances of winning


Pro Patria
39.3%
Draw
29%
Virtus Verona
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.9% 28.8% 37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3% 27.4% 39.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pro Patria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pro Patria's performance.
  • Virtus Verona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Virtus Verona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pro Patria that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Verona than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Virtus Verona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Pro Patria - Virtus Verona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.34
    (2.71)
    3.17
    (3.19)
    2.89
    (2.47)
    8.9%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pro Patria won 2.
    • Pro Patria is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Virtus Verona has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Pro Patria won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pro Patria won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pro Patria - Virtus Verona were as follows:
    19.10.2025 Virtus Verona - Pro Patria 0:1
    30.03.2025 Virtus Verona - Pro Patria 0:1
    16.11.2024 Pro Patria - Virtus Verona 1:1
    20.04.2024 Pro Patria - Virtus Verona 1:3
    17.12.2023 Virtus Verona - Pro Patria 2:0
    Latest results of Pro Patria
    22.02.2026 Brescia - Pro Patria 3:2
    15.02.2026 Trento - Pro Patria 2:0
    11.02.2026 Pro Patria - Cittadella 1:0
    08.02.2026 AlbinoLeffe - Pro Patria 2:2
    Latest results of Virtus Verona
    Italian Serie C Group A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1L.R. Vicenza ✔ 36267363:253885
    2Brescia361712746:242263
    3Lecco36189945:291663
    4Trento361613755:391661
    5Renate351512846:321457
    6Cittadella361681244:41356
    7Lumezzane3613131040:36452
    8Alcione Milano361491332:26651
    9Inter U233612121240:38248
    10AlbinoLeffe3612111347:47047
    11Arzignano361381544:46-247
    12Giana Erminio3612101434:39-546
    13Ospitaletto3610151141:40145
    14Novara36820838:38044
    15Pro Vercelli351271637:50-1343
    16Dolomiti Bellunesi351091636:55-1939
    17Pergolettese369101734:50-1637
    18Virtus Verona ✔ 363151832:57-2524
    19Pro Patria ✔ 353112127:63-3620
    20Triestina ✔ 36991844:50-612

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    L.R. Vicenza is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Serie B
    Virtus Verona is Serie C ~ Play Out
    Pro Patria is Serie C ~ Play Out
    Triestina is Relegated to