Pro Patria vs Virtus Verona – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
28/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group A - Round 29
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255

Match Stats

Ball possession
45%55%
Total shots
816
Shots on target
35
Corner kicks
49
Yellow cards
40
Red cards
10
Total shots
816
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
511
Corner kicks
49

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Desogus J. ,
  • 30', Sassaro A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Ballarini M. , Caia F. ,
  • 46', Renelus B. , Citterio G. ,
  • 46', Daffara M. , Pagliuca M. ,
  • 58', 2 - 0, Udoh K. ,
  • 61', Motolese M. 🟨,
  • 67', Sassaro A. 🟨,
  • 68', Munaretti L. , Patane N. ,
  • 69', Desogus J. , Pogliano C. ,
  • 69', Udoh K. , Mastroianni F. ,
  • 70', 2 - 1, Cernigoi I. ,
  • 75', 2 - 2, Cernigoi I. ,
  • 80', Motolese M. , Mora C. ,
  • 81', Mastroianni F. 🟨,
  • 87', Ferri D. , Schiro T. ,
  • 88', Fanini F. , Mancini T. ,

Chances of winning


Pro Patria
39.3%
Draw
29%
Virtus Verona
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.9% 28.8% 37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3% 27.4% 39.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pro Patria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pro Patria's performance.
  • Virtus Verona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Virtus Verona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pro Patria that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Verona than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Virtus Verona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Pro Patria - Virtus Verona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.34
    (2.71)
    3.17
    (3.19)
    2.89
    (2.47)
    8.9%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pro Patria won 2.
    • Pro Patria is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Virtus Verona has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Pro Patria won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pro Patria won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pro Patria - Virtus Verona were as follows:
    19.10.2025 Virtus Verona - Pro Patria 0:1
    30.03.2025 Virtus Verona - Pro Patria 0:1
    16.11.2024 Pro Patria - Virtus Verona 1:1
    20.04.2024 Pro Patria - Virtus Verona 1:3
    17.12.2023 Virtus Verona - Pro Patria 2:0
    Latest results of Pro Patria
    22.02.2026 Brescia - Pro Patria 3:2
    15.02.2026 Trento - Pro Patria 2:0
    11.02.2026 Pro Patria - Cittadella 1:0
    08.02.2026 AlbinoLeffe - Pro Patria 2:2
    Latest results of Virtus Verona
    Italian Serie C Group A Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1L.R. Vicenza38278369:264389
    2Brescia381912749:242569
    3Renate381713853:371664
    4Lecco3818101047:341364
    5Trento381615758:421663
    6Cittadella381781345:43259
    7Lumezzane3814141046:39756
    8Alcione Milano3815101335:28755
    9Arzignano381581550:48253
    10Giana Erminio3814101438:39-152
    11AlbinoLeffe3813111451:49250
    12Inter U233812121440:41-148
    13Novara38920940:39147
    14Pro Vercelli381371839:55-1646
    15Ospitaletto3810151341:43-245
    16Pergolettese3810111737:50-1341
    17Dolomiti Bellunesi3810101838:61-2340
    18Virtus Verona383161934:62-2825
    19Pro Patria384112334:70-3623
    20Triestina38992045:59-1412

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Relegation