Progresso vs Lentigione – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
07/12/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group D - Round 15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 58', 0 - 1, Nanni L. ,

Chances of winning


Progresso
26.2%
Draw
28%
Lentigione
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.9% 26.4% 40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9% 25.6% 42%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Progresso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Progresso's form might have worsened.
  • Lentigione has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progresso than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Progresso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lentigione than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • Progresso - Lentigione Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.49
    (2.78)
    3.26
    (3.47)
    2
    (2.25)
    9.3%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Progresso won 1.
    • In recent matches, Progresso has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Lentigione is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Lentigione could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Progresso won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 5:13. (average 0.6:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Progresso won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Progresso - Lentigione were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Lentigione - Progresso 3:0
    01.12.2024 Progresso - Lentigione 0:1
    10.03.2024 Lentigione - Progresso 1:0
    01.11.2023 Progresso - Lentigione 0:2
    Latest results of Progresso
    30.11.2025 Correggese - Progresso 0:2
    23.11.2025 Progresso - Tuttocuoio 2:1
    16.11.2025 Pro Palazzolo - Progresso 2:0
    09.11.2025 Progresso - Piacenza 1:1
    Latest results of Lentigione
    30.11.2025 Tuttocuoio - Lentigione 1:2
    23.11.2025 Lentigione - Sasso Marconi 1:0
    16.11.2025 Piacenza - Lentigione 1:1
    09.11.2025 Lentigione - Correggese 1:0
    02.11.2025 Pistoiese - Lentigione 1:0
    Italian Serie D - Group D Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lentigione26184438:142458
    2Desenzano26176347:182957
    3Pistoiese26168242:162656
    4Piacenza26146644:271748
    5Pro Sesto26138537:191847
    6Cittadella Vis Modena26128631:211044
    7Rovato Vertovese26126829:24542
    8Pro Palazzolo26117831:25640
    9Sangiuliano City26117832:32037
    10Crema2698931:34-335
    11Sant'Angelo26861227:39-1230
    12SCD Progresso26771227:32-528
    13Correggese26681222:29-726
    14Sasso Marconi26651524:35-1123
    15Imolese26491318:39-2121
    16Trevigliese26551624:44-2020
    17Tropical Coriano26471520:38-1819
    18Tuttocuoio26071914:52-387

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: )
          Relegation