Result
1:2
19/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group D - Round 32
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 23', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 73', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Lentigione
63.7% | Draw
24.7% | Progresso
11.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lentigione has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lentigione's performance.Progresso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lentigione than the current prediction. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progresso than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Lentigione - Progresso Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.45 ↓
(1.6) |
3.73 ↑
(3.38) |
7.96 ↑
(5.57) |
8.5%
(10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: ) and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lentigione won 5.
- Lentigione is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Progresso has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Lentigione is the undeniable favorite.
- We predict that Lentigione will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Lentigione won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:5. (average 1.4:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lentigione won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 1.8:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Lentigione won against Progresso?
Lentigione has won 5 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Progresso won against Lentigione?
Progresso has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lentigione - Progresso were as follows:
07.12.2025
Progresso
-
Lentigione
0:1
12.04.2025
Lentigione
-
Progresso
3:0
01.12.2024
Progresso
-
Lentigione
0:1
10.03.2024
Lentigione
-
Progresso
1:0
01.11.2023
Progresso
-
Lentigione
0:2
Latest results of Lentigione
Latest results of Progresso
Italian Serie D - Group D Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Desenzano | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 60:21 | 39 | 77 |
| 2 | Lentigione | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 51:23 | 28 | 73 |
| 3 | Pistoiese | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 61:22 | 39 | 71 |
| 4 | Piacenza | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 60:35 | 25 | 64 |
| 5 | Pro Palazzolo | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 44:31 | 13 | 57 |
| 6 | Pro Sesto | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 45:30 | 15 | 55 |
| 7 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 35:29 | 6 | 55 |
| 8 | Rovato Vertovese | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:29 | 6 | 52 |
| 9 | Sangiuliano City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 41:45 | -4 | 47 |
| 10 | SCD Progresso | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:42 | -4 | 39 |
| 11 | Sant'Angelo | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:51 | -13 | 39 |
| 12 | Correggese | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 35:36 | -1 | 39 |
| 13 | Crema | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:47 | -12 | 38 |
| 14 | Imolese | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 28:47 | -19 | 34 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 32:48 | -16 | 31 |
| 16 | Tropical Coriano | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:45 | -16 | 31 |
| 17 | Trevigliese | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 30:61 | -31 | 23 |
| 18 | Tuttocuoio | 34 | 0 | 8 | 26 | 18:73 | -55 | 8 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: )
Relegation
