Result
25:23
19/12/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Pro D2 - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | Canal+ Live 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (13 - 18)
- 2nd Half (12 - 5)
Chances of winning
Mont-De-Marsan
35.8% | Draw
4.6% | Provence Rugby
59.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mont-De-Marsan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Provence Rugby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mont-De-Marsan than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mont-De-Marsan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Provence Rugby than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Provence Rugby, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Mont-De-Marsan - Provence Rugby Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.6 ↑
(2.37) |
19.81 ↑
(18.47) |
1.55 ↓
(1.67) |
8.3%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 50.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
What is the prediction for Mont-De-Marsan - Provence Rugby?
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Provence Rugby will win (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 24:27.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mont-De-Marsan won 1.
- Mont-De-Marsan has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Provence Rugby is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Provence Rugby could have a small edge in this match.
- We predict that Provence Rugby will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Mont-De-Marsan won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 321:404. (average 20.1:25.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mont-De-Marsan won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 170:198. (average 21.3:24.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Mont-De-Marsan won against Provence Rugby?
Mont-De-Marsan has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Provence Rugby won against Mont-De-Marsan?
Provence Rugby has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mont-De-Marsan - Provence Rugby were as follows:
13.02.2025
Mont-De-Marsan
-
Provence Rugby
37:44
01.11.2024
Provence Rugby
-
Mont-De-Marsan
45:30
18.04.2024
Provence Rugby
-
Mont-De-Marsan
46:22
17.11.2023
Mont-De-Marsan
-
Provence Rugby
20:18
03.02.2023
Mont-De-Marsan
-
Provence Rugby
12:28
Latest results of Mont-De-Marsan
Latest results of Provence Rugby
French Pro D2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vannes | 22 | 18 | 1 | 3 | 719:401 | 85 |
| 2 | Colomiers | 22 | 16 | 0 | 6 | 590:337 | 72 |
| 3 | Provence Rugby | 22 | 14 | 0 | 8 | 662:487 | 70 |
| 4 | Valence Romans | 22 | 14 | 0 | 8 | 558:531 | 62 |
| 5 | US Oyonnax | 22 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 658:484 | 57 |
| 6 | CA Brive | 22 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 614:485 | 55 |
| 7 | Agen | 22 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 558:521 | 52 |
| 8 | Aurillac | 22 | 10 | 0 | 12 | 513:563 | 47 |
| 9 | Grenoble FC | 22 | 10 | 0 | 12 | 540:587 | 45 |
| 10 | Angouleme | 22 | 10 | 0 | 12 | 397:546 | 44 |
| 11 | Nevers | 22 | 8 | 1 | 13 | 532:703 | 40 |
| 12 | Beziers | 22 | 9 | 0 | 13 | 442:549 | 38 |
| 13 | US Dax | 22 | 10 | 0 | 12 | 495:470 | 35 |
| 14 | Biarritz Olympique | 22 | 8 | 1 | 13 | 561:650 | 35 |
| 15 | Mont-de-Marsan | 22 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 458:727 | 33 |
| 16 | Carcassonne | 22 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 398:654 | 30 |
Promotion ~ Pro D2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Pro D2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Pro D2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nationale
