Oyonnax Rugby vs Provence Rugby – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union French Pro D2 Oyonnax Rugby - Provence Rugby
Result
47:31
16/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Pro D2 - Round 30
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFranceCanal+ Live 4

Match Stats

Tries
54
Conversion Goals
44
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
40
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
01
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (27 - 17)
  • 9', Lapegue A. (Try),
  • 10', Soulan J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 13', Bouraux J. (Penalty Goal),
  • 18', Bouraux J. (Penalty Goal),
  • 25', Bogado M. (Try),
  • 27', Bouraux J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 30', Soulan J. (Drop Goal),
  • 32', Qadiri K. (Try),
  • 32', Bouraux J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 36', Harrison T. (Try),
  • 36', Soulan J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 40+2', (Penalty Try),
  • 2nd Half (20 - 14)
  • 41', Bouraux J. (Penalty Goal),
  • 55', Drouet L. (Try),
  • 55', Soulan J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 62', Kebble O. (Try),
  • 63', Bouraux J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 72', Bouraux J. (Penalty Goal),
  • 76', Taumoepeau A. (Try),
  • 76', Smith C. W. (Conversion Goal),
  • 79', Lapegue A. (Try),
  • 79', Soulan J. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


Oyonnax Rugby
58.7%
Draw
4.2%
Provence Rugby
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.7% 4.7% 28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

78.2% 5.5% 24.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Oyonnax Rugby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oyonnax Rugby's form might have worsened.
  • Provence Rugby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Provence Rugby's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oyonnax Rugby than the current prediction. (+19.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oyonnax Rugby, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Provence Rugby than the current prediction. (-12.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Provence Rugby, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Oyonnax Rugby - Provence Rugby Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.39)
    22.27
    (19.67)
    2.53
    (3.24)
    7.8%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 52.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oyonnax won 2.
    • Recent form of Oyonnax has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Provence Rugby has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Oyonnax could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Oyonnax won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 318:244. (average 26.5:20.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Oyonnax won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 179:99. (average 29.8:16.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Oyonnax Rugby - Provence Rugby were as follows:
    27.09.2024 Provence Rugby - Oyonnax Rugby 38:3
    14.04.2023 Oyonnax Rugby - Provence Rugby 27:7
    07.10.2022 Provence Rugby - Oyonnax Rugby 19:19
    Latest results of Oyonnax Rugby
    Latest results of Provence Rugby
    09.05.2025 Provence Rugby - Biarritz 46:14
    18.04.2025 Brive - Provence Rugby 24:17
    11.04.2025 Provence Rugby - Béziers 31:20
    04.04.2025 Provence Rugby - US Dax 57:0
    Draw
    Promotion

    Final
    1USA PerpignanGrenoble FC13 : 11