Providence Friars vs Merrimack Warriors – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3 OT
14/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NCAA

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 1)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 0)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 1)
  • Overtime (0 - 1)

Chances of winning


Providence Friars
63.9%
Draw
18.8%
Merrimack Warriors
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.6% 19.1% 16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6% 20.4% 17.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Providence Friars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Merrimack Warriors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Providence Friars than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merrimack Warriors than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • Providence Friars - Merrimack Warriors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.41)
    4.86
    (4.75)
    5.3
    (5.58)
    9.4%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Providence won 3.
    • Providence has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In recent matches, Merrimack has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Merrimack may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Providence is a strong favorite.
    • We predict that Providence will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Providence won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:14. (average 3.5:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Providence won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 3:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Providence Friars - Merrimack Warriors were as follows:
    02.03.2024 Providence Friars - Merrimack Warriors 4:2
    01.03.2024 Merrimack Warriors - Providence Friars 2:1
    14.01.2023 Merrimack Warriors - Providence Friars 3:0
    13.01.2023 Merrimack Warriors - Providence Friars 3:8
    31.12.2022 Merrimack Warriors - Providence Friars 1:6
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1Michigan WolverinesBentley Falcons5 : 1
    2Minnesota Duluth BulldogsPenn State Nittany Lions3 : 1
    3Western Michigan BroncosMinnesota State Mavericks3 : 1
    4Denver PioneersCornell Big Red5 : 0
    5Michigan State SpartansConnecticut Huskies2 : 1
    6Dartmouth Big GreenWisconsin Badgers1 : 5
    7North Dakota Fighting HawksMerrimack Warriors3 : 0
    8Providence FriarsQuinnipiac Bobcats2 : 5

    Quarter-finals
    1Michigan WolverinesMinnesota Duluth Bulldogs4 : 3
    2Western Michigan BroncosDenver Pioneers2 : 6
    3Michigan State SpartansWisconsin Badgers3 : 4
    4North Dakota Fighting HawksQuinnipiac Bobcats5 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Michigan WolverinesDenver Pioneers
    2Wisconsin BadgersNorth Dakota Fighting Hawks

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2