Provincial Ovalle vs Concón National – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Chilean Segunda Division Provincial Ovalle - Concón National
Result
0:2
14/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda Division - Round 20

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 3', Navarrete E. 🟨,
  • 32', 0 - 1, Wassenne M. ,
  • 38', Araya K. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Rivera B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 50', Novero G. , Silva Gaunes L. ,
  • 51', 🟨,
  • 62', Ubilla S. , Llanos J. ,
  • 66', Llanos J. 🟨,
  • 68', Barrios N. , Moreira L. ,
  • 74', 0 - 2, Gattas R. ,
  • 77', 🟨,
  • 82', Liuzzi B. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 🟨,
  • 90+7', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Provincial Ovalle
46.8%
Draw
27.5%
Concón National
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.9% 26.4% 20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55% 25.4% 19.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Provincial Ovalle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Provincial Ovalle's form might have worsened.
  • Concón National has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Provincial Ovalle than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Provincial Ovalle, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Concón National than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Concón National, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Provincial Ovalle - Concón National Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (1.72)
    2.83
    (3.45)
    3.03
    (4.4)
    28.5%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 and 9).
    • Ovalle has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Concón National has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Concón National may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Ovalle is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ovalle won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Ovalle won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Provincial Ovalle - Concón National were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Concón National - Provincial Ovalle 0:3
    29.09.2024 Concón National - Provincial Ovalle 0:1
    04.05.2024 Provincial Ovalle - Concón National 1:1
    Chilean Segunda Division Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1D. Puerto Montt19116241:142739
    2Dep. Linares19105431:24735
    3Provincial Ovalle1995520:14632
    4Melipilla18101731:24731
    5Brujas Salamanca1893625:22330
    6Osorno1894536:241228
    7Trasandino1881928:30-225
    8Concon National1973931:29224
    9San Antonio Unido1983838:36223
    10General Velasquez1947821:32-1119
    11Santiago City18531024:42-1818
    12Deportes Rengo18421216:32-1614
    13Real San Joaquin18331215:34-1912

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