Result
0:2
14/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Segunda Division - Round 20
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 3', Navarrete E. 🟨,
- 32', 0 - 1, Wassenne M. ⚽,
- 38', Araya K. 🟨,
- 45+1', Rivera B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 50', Novero G. ↓, Silva Gaunes L. ↑,
- 51', 🟨,
- 62', Ubilla S. ↓, Llanos J. ↑,
- 66', Llanos J. 🟨,
- 68', Barrios N. ↓, Moreira L. ↑,
- 74', 0 - 2, Gattas R. ⚽,
- 77', 🟨,
- 82', Liuzzi B. 🟨,
- 90+1', 🟨,
- 90+7', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Provincial Ovalle 46.8% | Draw 27.5% | Concón National 25.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Provincial Ovalle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Provincial Ovalle's form might have worsened.Concón National has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Provincial Ovalle than the current prediction. (+8.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Provincial Ovalle, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Concón National than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Concón National, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Provincial Ovalle - Concón National Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.66 ↓ (1.72) |
2.83 ↓ (3.45) |
3.03 ↓ (4.4) |
28.5% (9.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 and 9).
- Ovalle has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Concón National has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Concón National may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Ovalle is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ovalle won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Ovalle won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Provincial Ovalle won against Concón National?
Provincial Ovalle has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Concón National won against Provincial Ovalle?
Concón National has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Provincial Ovalle - Concón National were as follows:
27.04.2025
Concón National
-
Provincial Ovalle
0:3
29.09.2024
Concón National
-
Provincial Ovalle
0:1
04.05.2024
Provincial Ovalle
-
Concón National
1:1
Latest results of Provincial Ovalle
Latest results of Concón National
Chilean Segunda Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | D. Puerto Montt | 19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 41:14 | 27 | 39 |
2 | Dep. Linares | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 31:24 | 7 | 35 |
3 | Provincial Ovalle | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 20:14 | 6 | 32 |
4 | Melipilla | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 31:24 | 7 | 31 |
5 | Brujas Salamanca | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 25:22 | 3 | 30 |
6 | Osorno | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 36:24 | 12 | 28 |
7 | Trasandino | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 28:30 | -2 | 25 |
8 | Concon National | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 31:29 | 2 | 24 |
9 | San Antonio Unido | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 38:36 | 2 | 23 |
10 | General Velasquez | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 21:32 | -11 | 19 |
11 | Santiago City | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 24:42 | -18 | 18 |
12 | Deportes Rengo | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 16:32 | -16 | 14 |
13 | Real San Joaquin | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 15:34 | -19 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso
Relegation