Provincial Ovalle vs Real San Joaquín – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Chilean Segunda Division Provincial Ovalle - Real San Joaquín
Result
0:0
30/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda Division - Round 11

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 15', Munoz I. 🟨,
  • 18', Mundaca K. 🟨,
  • 36', Bobadilla S. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Benavente A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Marquez B. , Cabrera V. ,
  • 69', 🟨,
  • 81', 🟨,
  • 88', 🟨,
  • 88', 🟨,
  • 90+1', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Provincial Ovalle
54.8%
Draw
25.1%
Real San Joaquín
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.7% 24.8% 20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5% 24% 19.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Provincial Ovalle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Real San Joaquín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Provincial Ovalle than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real San Joaquín than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Provincial Ovalle - Real San Joaquín Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.63)
    3.61
    (3.6)
    4.5
    (4.33)
    10.4%
    (12.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda Division (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Ovalle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Ovalle is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ovalle won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Ovalle won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Provincial Ovalle - Real San Joaquín were as follows:
    12.10.2024 Real San Joaquín - Provincial Ovalle 1:2
    19.05.2024 Provincial Ovalle - Real San Joaquín 4:0
    Chilean Segunda Division Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1D. Puerto Montt1475227:111626
    2Provincial Ovalle1475217:9826
    3Dep. Linares1474321:19225
    4Osorno1482429:171223
    5Melipilla1471624:19522
    6San Antonio Unido1463527:24321
    7Concon National1462625:20520
    8Brujas Salamanca1453616:20-418
    9Trasandino1451819:22-316
    10General Velasquez1436515:22-715
    11Deportes Rengo1342712:20-814
    12Santiago City1433816:33-1712
    13Real San Joaquin132389:21-129

          Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso
          Relegation