Result
1:0
25/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Indonesia | Indosiar, Vidio |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 17 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', Rivera F. 🟨,
- 27', 1 - 0, Freitas Gali ⚽,
- 29', Savio Roberto 🟨,
- 36', Lagator D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Gledson ↓, Arfan M. ↑,
- 53', Putra S. 🟨,
- 56', Putra S. ↓, Ardiansyah R. ↑,
- 63', Pratama R. ↓, Medina Themopole J. ↑,
- 63', Savio Roberto ↓, Alex Tanque ↑,
- 66', Freitas Gali ↓, Matos P. ↑,
- 66', Suaib A. ↓, Tata M. ↑,
- 66', Raickovic M. ↓, Gustavo Fernandes ↑,
- 72', Hidayat M. ↓, Asraf Huwaidi Syam M. D. ↑,
- 86', Cumic L. ↓, Dethan V. ↑,
- 90+4', Arfan M. 🟨,
- 90+6', Rivera F. ↓, Maulana A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Persebaya Surabaya
46.6% | Draw
27.7% | PSM Makassar
25.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Persebaya Surabaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)PSM Makassar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Persebaya Surabaya than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSM Makassar than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Persebaya Surabaya - PSM Makassar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↓
(2) |
3.27 ↑
(3.23) |
3.53 ↓
(3.58) |
10.2%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Persebaya Surabaya - PSM Makassar?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Persebaya (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Persebaya Surabaya will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Persebaya won 2.
- Persebaya has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Makassar's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Persebaya is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Persebaya won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:15. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Persebaya won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:5. (average 2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Persebaya Surabaya won against PSM Makassar?
Persebaya Surabaya has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has PSM Makassar won against Persebaya Surabaya?
PSM Makassar has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Persebaya Surabaya - PSM Makassar were as follows:
06.12.2025
PSM Makassar
-
Persebaya Surabaya
1:1
07.03.2025
PSM Makassar
-
Persebaya Surabaya
0:1
23.10.2024
Persebaya Surabaya
-
PSM Makassar
1:1
28.02.2024
PSM Makassar
-
Persebaya Surabaya
0:0
18.08.2023
Persebaya Surabaya
-
PSM Makassar
1:0
Latest results of Persebaya Surabaya
Latest results of PSM Makassar
