PSV Eindhoven vs Bayern Munich – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Result
1:2
28/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 8
  • Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport Cricket, SuperSport OTT 7
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 4
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 2
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 5, Pickx+ Sports 5, Play Sports 6
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
brazilBrazilHBO Max
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
franceFranceCanal+ Live 11
germanyGermanySky Go Germany
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 7
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
kosovoKosovoART Sport 6
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
mexicoMexicoFOX One
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Cricket, SuperSport OTT 7
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN Connect
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Cricket, SuperSport OTT 7
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South, ESPN 5 South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 14
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 18, Blue Sport 18
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 14
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus, TV 360, VTV Prime
worldWorldVIX App

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.691.82
Ball possession
42%58%
Total shots
1317
Shots on target
78
Big chances
14
Corner kicks
56
Passes
79% (311/393)85% (472/554)
Yellow cards
52
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
0.691.82
xG on target (xGOT)
1.932.24
Total shots
1317
Shots on target
78
Shots off target
56
Blocked shots
13
Shots inside the box
711
Shots outside the box
66
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
14
Corner kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
2135
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free kicks
1011
Passes
79% (311/393)85% (472/554)
Long passes
52% (24/46)61% (42/69)
Passes in final third
73% (90/124)78% (124/160)
Crosses
17% (4/23)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.521.00
Throw ins
1520
Fouls
1110
Tackles
64% (14/22)55% (6/11)
Duels won
5743
Clearances
2325
Interceptions
136
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
66
xGOT faced
2.241.93
Goals prevented
0.240.93

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 7', Perisic I. 🟨,
  • 24', Upamecano D. 🟨,
  • 35', Schouten J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Man D. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
  • 58', 0 - 1, Musiala J. ⚽, Karl L. (A),
  • 62', Jackson N. ↓, Kane H. ↑,
  • 62', Karl L. ↓, Olise M. ↑,
  • 62', Upamecano D. ↓, Davies A. ↑,
  • 62', Musiala J. ↓, Gnabry S. ↑,
  • 78', 1 - 1, Saibari I. ⚽, Til G. (A),
  • 82', Kompany V. 🟨,
  • 82', Perisic I. ↓, Driouech C. ↑,
  • 83', Til G. 🟨,
  • 83', Kimmich J. 🟨,
  • 84', 1 - 2, Kane H. ⚽, Diaz L. (A),
  • 85', Bischof T. ↓, Boey S. ↑,
  • 86', Mauro Junior 🟨,
  • 90+4', Mauro Junior 🟨,

Chances of winning


PSV Eindhoven
20.2%		Draw
21%		Bayern Munich
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
14.9% 19.1% 66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.2% 18.2% 69.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • PSV Eindhoven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in PSV Eindhoven's performance.
  • Bayern Munich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bayern Munich might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with PSV Eindhoven that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bayern Munich could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    PSV Eindhoven - Bayern Munich Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 4.74 ↓
    (6.5)    		 4.57 ↓
    (5.08)    		 1.63 ↑
    (1.47)    		 4.4%
    (3.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for PSV Eindhoven - Bayern Munich?
  • Users Predictions: 68 users predict this event. PSV will win (votes: 9 - 13.2%). Bayern will win (votes: 56 - 82.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 4.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 73.3% – 91.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Bayern (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - PSV (2.31) (votes: 2 - 50%) .
    • AH 0 - Bayern (1.26) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.25 - Bayern (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - PSV (3.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bayern Munich will win (29 of 36 users predict this - 80.56%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 45 high ROI users predict this event. PSV (votes: 10 - 22.2%). Bayern (votes: 35 - 77.8%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Bayern is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • In this match, Bayern is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in PSV: Boadu M. (Muscle Injury) Gasiorowski Y. (Yellow Cards) Olij N. (Groin Injury) Pepi R. (Forearm injury) Plea A. (Knee Injury) van Bommel R. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Bayern: Boey S. (Illness) Guerreiro R. (Calf Injury) Kim Min-Jae (Red Card) Laimer K. (Calf Injury) Stanisic J. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in PSV: Salah-Eddine A. (Injury) Til G. (Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, PSV won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).
    • Including home match between the teams, PSV won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    Latest results of PSV Eindhoven
    24.01.2026 PSV Eindhoven - NAC Breda 2:2 ✺
    21.01.2026 Newcastle United - PSV Eindhoven 3:0 ✺
    17.01.2026 Fortuna Sittard - PSV Eindhoven 1:2 ✺
    14.01.2026 Den Bosch - PSV Eindhoven 1:4 ✺
    10.01.2026 PSV Eindhoven - Excelsior 5:1 ✺
    Latest results of Bayern Munich
    24.01.2026 Bayern Munich - Augsburg 1:2 ✺
    21.01.2026 Bayern Munich - Saint-Gilloise 2:0 ✺
    17.01.2026 RB Leipzig - Bayern Munich 1:5 ✺
    14.01.2026 Köln - Bayern Munich 1:3 ✺
    11.01.2026 Bayern Munich - Wolfsburg 8:1 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Monaco (21)PSG (11)2 : 2, 2 : 3
    2Galatasaray (20)Juventus (13)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    3Benfica (24)Real Madrid (9)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    4Dortmund (17)Atalanta (15)1 : 4, 2 : 0
    5Qarabag (22)Newcastle (12)2 : 3, 1 : 6
    6Club Brugge KV (19)Atl. Madrid (14)1 : 4, 3 : 3
    7Bodo/Glimt (23)Inter (10)2 : 1, 3 : 1
    8Olympiacos Piraeus (18)Bayer Leverkusen (16)0 : 0, 0 : 2
    9Barcelona (5)Bye
    10Chelsea (6)Bye
    11Liverpool (3)Bye
    12Tottenham (4)Bye
    13Sporting CP (7)Bye
    14Manchester City (8)Bye
    15Arsenal (1)Bye
    16Bayern Munich (2)Bye
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