PSV Eindhoven vs Napoli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Result
6:2
21/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 3
  • Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport OTT 3, SuperSport Variety 2
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 4
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 8
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 3
brazilBrazilHBO Max
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
franceFranceCanal+ Live 6
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 7
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 4
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Calcio
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport OTT 3
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN 5 Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 6
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport OTT 3, SuperSport Variety 2
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 4 South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 6
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 7, Blue Sport 7
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 7
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, TNT Sports 6
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.821.25
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
1910
Shots on target
82
Big Chances
62
Corner Kicks
48
Passes
88% (454/515)82% (291/354)
Yellow Cards
41
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.821.25
xG on target (xGOT)
3.391.26
Total shots
1910
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
106
Shots outside the Box
94
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
02
Big Chances
62
Corner Kicks
48
Touches in opposition box
2523
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
911
Passes
88% (454/515)82% (291/354)
Long passes
43% (22/51)54% (20/37)
Passes in final third
82% (130/159)73% (71/97)
Crosses
23% (3/13)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.900.94
Throw-ins
138
Fouls
119
Tackles
67% (8/12)70% (7/10)
Duels won
4236
Clearances
2413
Interceptions
55
Errors leading to shot
04
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
1.263.39
Goals prevented
-0.74-1.61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 28', Gasiorowski Y. 🟨,
  • 30', Veerman J. 🟨,
  • 31', 0 - 1, McTominay S. ⚽, Spinazzola L. (A),
  • 35', 1 - 1, Buongiorno A. (Own goal),
  • 38', 2 - 1, Saibari I. ⚽, Til G. (A),
  • 42', Spinazzola L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 1)
  • 46', Gasiorowski Y. ↓, Obispo A. ↑,
  • 54', 3 - 1, Man D. ⚽, Mauro Junior (A),
  • 58', Beukema S. ↓, Juan Jesus ↑,
  • 58', Spinazzola L. ↓, Gutierrez M. ↑,
  • 58', Gilmour B. ↓, Lang N. ↑,
  • 70', Saibari I. 🟨,
  • 73', Politano M. ↓, David Neres ↑,
  • 76', Lucca L. 🟥,
  • 80', 4 - 1, Man D. ⚽, Veerman J. (A),
  • 85', De Bruyne K. ↓, Elmas E. ↑,
  • 85', Til G. ↓, Pepi R. ↑,
  • 85', Perisic I. ↓, Driouech C. ↑,
  • 85', Salah-Eddine A. ↓, Dest S. ↑,
  • 86', 4 - 2, McTominay S. ⚽, David Neres (A),
  • 87', 5 - 2, Pepi R. ⚽, Driouech C. (A),
  • 88', Saibari I. ↓, Wanner P. ↑,
  • 89', 6 - 2, Driouech C. ⚽, Pepi R. (A),
  • 90', Driouech C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


PSV Eindhoven
37.2%		Draw
28.8%		Napoli
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.5% 26.3% 43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4% 26.2% 43.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • PSV Eindhoven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in PSV Eindhoven's performance.
  • Napoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Napoli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with PSV Eindhoven that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Napoli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    PSV Eindhoven - Napoli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.69 ↓
    (3.13)    		 3.57 ↓
    (3.62)    		 3.17 ↑
    (2.21)    		 -3.2%
    (4.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for PSV Eindhoven - Napoli?
  • Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. PSV will win (votes: 12 - 28.6%). Napoli will win (votes: 20 - 47.6%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 23.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Napoli: 32.5% – 62.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 17 high ROI users predict this event. PSV (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Napoli (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 4.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • PSV is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Napoli has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in PSV: Kuhn W. (Knee Injury) Plea A. (Knee Injury) Sildillia K. (Muscle Injury) van Bommel R. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Napoli: Contini N. (Hand Injury) Hojlund R. (Thigh Injury) Lobotka S. (Muscle Injury) Lukaku R. (Thigh Injury) Rrahmani A. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Napoli: McTominay S. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, PSV won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, PSV won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
    Latest results of PSV Eindhoven
    18.10.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Go Ahead Eagles 2:1 ✺
    04.10.2025 Zwolle - PSV Eindhoven 0:4 ✺
    01.10.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - PSV Eindhoven 1:1 ✺
    27.09.2025 Excelsior - PSV Eindhoven 1:2 ✺
    21.09.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Ajax 2:2 ✺
    Latest results of Napoli
    18.10.2025 Torino - Napoli 1:0 ✺
    05.10.2025 Napoli - Genoa 2:1 ✺
    01.10.2025 Napoli - Sporting Lisbon 2:1 ✺
    28.09.2025 Milan - Napoli 2:1 ✺
    22.09.2025 Napoli - Pisa 3:2 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Monaco (21)PSG (11)2 : 2, 2 : 3
    2Galatasaray (20)Juventus (13)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    3Benfica (24)Real Madrid (9)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    4Dortmund (17)Atalanta (15)1 : 4, 2 : 0
    5Qarabag (22)Newcastle (12)2 : 3, 1 : 6
    6Club Brugge KV (19)Atl. Madrid (14)1 : 4, 3 : 3
    7Bodo/Glimt (23)Inter (10)2 : 1, 3 : 1
    8Olympiacos Piraeus (18)Bayer Leverkusen (16)0 : 0, 0 : 2
    9Barcelona (5)Bye
    10Chelsea (6)Bye
    11Liverpool (3)Bye
    12Tottenham (4)Bye
    13Sporting CP (7)Bye
    14Manchester City (8)Bye
    15Arsenal (1)Bye
    16Bayern Munich (2)Bye
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