PSV Eindhoven vs Sporting Lisbon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League PSV Eindhoven - Sporting Lisbon
Result
1:1
01/10/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 2
  • Referee: Guida M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 7, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport LaLiga
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 8
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 6, Pickx+ Sports 6, Play Sports 2
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4, Moja TV
brazilBrazilMax
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
franceFranceCanal+ Live 7
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 8, WOW
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 9
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandStod 2 Sport 6
indiaIndiaSony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect
italyItalySky Sport 258
maltaMaltaTSN Malta 7
mexicoMexicoHBO Max
montenegroMontenegroArena Sport 3
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSportsMax 2 Caribbean
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 7
portugalPortugalSport TV5
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport 2, Prima Sport PPV 2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1 Champions
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 6 South, ViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 8, Movistar Plus+ 1
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 9, Blue Sport 9
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 8
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 8
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldDisney+, JioTV app, SportsMax App

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.011.04
Ball Possession
53%47%
Goal Attempts
198
Shots on Goal
62
Shots off Goal
92
Blocked Shots
44
Free Kicks
1522
Corner Kicks
04
Offsides
21
Goalkeeper Saves
15
Fouls
1814
Yellow Cards
32
Total Passes
596441
Completed Passes
527361
Clearances Completed
77
Crosses Completed
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Schouten J. ,
  • 22', Mauro Junior 🟨,
  • 32', Diomande O. , Quaresma E. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 52', Catamo G. , Braganca D. ,
  • 53', Quenda G. 🟨,
  • 64', Tillman M. 🟨,
  • 65', Mauro Junior , Karsdorp R. ,
  • 65', Saibari I. , Lang N. ,
  • 78', Til G. , Ledezma R. ,
  • 80', Santos N. , Harder C. ,
  • 80', Trincao , Araujo M. ,
  • 84', 1 - 1, Braganca D. , Araujo M. (A),
  • 86', Braganca D. 🟨,
  • 87', Lang N. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Bakayoko J. , Pepi R. ,

Chances of winning


PSV Eindhoven
31.3%
Draw
26.3%
Sporting Lisbon
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.3% 26% 35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2% 28.6% 32.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • PSV Eindhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that PSV Eindhoven's form might have worsened.
  • Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sporting Lisbon's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for PSV Eindhoven, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sporting Lisbon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • PSV Eindhoven - Sporting Lisbon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.08
    (2.51)
    3.66
    (3.69)
    2.29
    (2.69)
    3.3%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for PSV Eindhoven - Sporting Lisbon?
  • Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. PSV will win (votes: 6 - 13%). Sporting will win (votes: 24 - 52.2%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 34.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 37.8%66.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • PSV is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Sporting is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Sporting could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in PSV: Fofana F. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Sporting: St. Juste J. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in PSV: Dest S. (Knee Injury) Lozano H. (Muscle Injury) Oppegard F. (Injury) Veerman J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sporting: Edwards M. (Injury) Goncalves P. (Injury)
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches PSV won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:6 (average 2.7:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams PSV won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:2 (average 4:1).
    Latest results of PSV Eindhoven
    Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
    22.09.2024 Sporting Lisbon - AVS 3:0
    17.09.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Lille 2:0
    13.09.2024 Arouca - Sporting Lisbon 0:3
    31.08.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Porto 2:0
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    2Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    3FC CopenhagenBye
    4DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    5Lech PoznanBye
    6EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    7VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    8ByeCrvena zvezda
    9KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    10O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Slovan BratislavaBye
    12VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    13RijekaBye
    14LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    15NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    16ByeFerencvaros
    17ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    18ByeDyn. Kyiv
    19PafosBye
    20ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    21TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    22FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    23ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    24ByeQarabag
    25BrannBye
    26ByeSalzburg
    28ByeClub Brugge KV
    29RangersBye
    30ByePanathinaikos
    31PlzenBye
    32ByeServette
    33NiceBye
    36ByeBenfica
    37FeyenoordBye
    40ByeFenerbahce

    Quarter-finals
    1RFSMalmo FF1 : 4
    2FC CopenhagenDrita2 : 0
    3Lech PoznanBreidablik7 : 1
    4Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda0 : 1
    5KuPSKairat Almaty2 : 0
    6Slovan BratislavaZrinjski4 : 0
    7RijekaLudogorets0 : 0
    8NoahFerencvaros1 : 2
    9HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3
    10PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 1
    11ShkendijaFCSB1 : 0
    12ShelbourneQarabag0 : 3
    13BrannSalzburg1 : 4
    14ByeClub Brugge KV
    15RangersPanathinaikos2 : 0
    16PlzenServette0 : 1
    17NiceBye
    18ByeBenfica
    19FeyenoordBye
    20ByeFenerbahce

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13Club Brugge KV
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9NiceBenfica
    10FeyenoordFenerbahce