Guadalajara Chivas U23 vs Puebla U23 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga MX U23 Guadalajara Chivas U23 - Puebla U23
Result
1:2 penalties
15/04/2025 at 11:03 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga MX U23 - Clausura - Round 16

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Rey L. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 68', Brambila A. 🟨,
  • 68', Medina M. 🟨,
  • 70', Inda C. 🟨,
  • 71', 1 - 1, ,
  • 73', Uribe J. , Garcia V. ,
  • 73', Ortiz G. , Martinez Gutierrez D. ,
  • 77', 🟨,
  • 86', Anaya M. , Gutierrez E. ,
  • 86', Zepeda C. , Reyes M. ,
  • 90+1', Gutierrez E. 🟥,
  • 90+2', 🟨,
  • Penalties (8 - 9)
  • 1, (Pen),
  • 1, (Pen),
  • 2, (Pen),
  • 2, (Pen),
  • 3, (Pen),
  • 3, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 5, (Pen),
  • 5, (Pen),
  • 6, (Pen),
  • 6, (Pen),
  • 7, (Pen),
  • 7, (Pen),
  • 8, (Pen),
  • 8, (Pen),
  • 9, (Pen),
  • 9, (Pen),
  • 10, (Pen),
  • 10, (Pen),

Chances of winning


Guadalajara Chivas U23
49.9%
Draw
25.5%
Puebla U23
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.3% 25% 31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40% 23.1% 34.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guadalajara Chivas U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guadalajara Chivas U23's performance.
  • Puebla U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Puebla U23 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guadalajara Chivas U23 than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guadalajara Chivas U23 that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puebla U23 than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Puebla U23 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Guadalajara Chivas U23 - Puebla U23 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.82
    (2.1)
    3.55
    (3.64)
    3.69
    (2.87)
    10.2%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 and 10).
    • Recent matches Guadalajara U23 is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Puebla U23 has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Guadalajara U23 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Guadalajara U23 is a favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Guadalajara U23 won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:4 (average 2.3:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Guadalajara U23 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guadalajara Chivas U23 - Puebla U23 were as follows:
    25.10.2024 Puebla U23 - Guadalajara Chivas U23 1:3
    06.04.2024 Guadalajara Chivas U23 - Puebla U23 2:2
    20.10.2023 Puebla U23 - Guadalajara Chivas U23 1:2
    Latest results of Puebla U23
    28.03.2025 Juárez U23 - Puebla U23 2:1
    19.03.2025 Puebla U23 - Necaxa U23 1:3
    14.03.2025 Puebla U23 - Toluca U23 1:2
    Draw
    Clausura - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Toluca U23 (1)Atl. San Luis U23 (8)2 : 0, 2 : 0
    2Cruz Azul U23 (3)Santos Laguna U23 (6)2 : 4, 1 : 1
    3Juarez U23 (2)Necaxa U23 (7)1 : 0, 0 : 0
    4Monterrey U23 (4)Pachuca U23 (5)1 : 1, 0 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1Toluca U23 (1)Santos Laguna U23 (6)4 : 0, 0 : 1
    2Juarez U23 (2)Pachuca U23 (5)2 : 1, 1 : 2

    Final
    1Toluca U23 (1)Juarez U23 (2)4 : 1, 1 : 1