Result
0:2
15/08/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Caliente TV, Fox Sports, Tubi TV |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN App, TUDN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 1.85 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (340/411) | 78% (247/316) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 1.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 2.84 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (340/411) | 78% (247/316) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (27/53) | 35% (19/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (112/149) | 63% (40/64) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (5/27) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.57 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (11/19) | 52% (11/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.84 | 0.44 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 17', Macias O. ↓, Klimowicz M. ↑,
- 27', Rey L. 🟨,
- 45+1', Garcia M. 🟨,
- 45+5', 0 - 1, Joao Pedro Galvao (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Organista A. ↓, Castillo R. ↑,
- 46', Monarrez F. ↓, Moreno I. ↑,
- 46', Rodriguez J. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
- 60', Moyano F. ↓, Marin R. ↑,
- 70', 0 - 2, Joao Pedro Galvao ⚽,
- 77', Klimowicz M. ↓, Galdames B. ↑,
- 77', Suarez J. ↓, Torres R. ↑,
- 84', Torres R. 🟨,
- 89', Yan Phillipe ↓, Cruz A. ↑,
- 89', Garcia M. ↓, Marchand J. ↑,
- 90', Castillo R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Puebla
40.9% | Draw
27.3% | Atlético San Luis
31.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Puebla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Atlético San Luis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puebla than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético San Luis than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Puebla - Atlético San Luis Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↓
(2.45) |
3.43 ↑
(3.25) |
2.95 ↑
(2.7) |
6.3%
(8.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Puebla - Atlético San Luis?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Puebla will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Atlético San Luis will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Puebla: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 0.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
- Puebla will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Puebla: Cavallini L.
(Knee Injury)
Gamarra P.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Atlético San Luis: Joao Pedro Galvao
(Red Card)
Lopez De Alba C. I.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Atlético San Luis: Boli F.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:20. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Puebla won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.9:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Puebla won against Atlético San Luis?
Puebla has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético San Luis won against Puebla?
Atlético San Luis has won 5 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Puebla - Atlético San Luis were as follows:
17.01.2025
Puebla
-
Atlético San Luis
1:2
02.11.2024
Atlético San Luis
-
Puebla
2:0
01.03.2024
Atlético San Luis
-
Puebla
4:0
18.08.2023
Puebla
-
Atlético San Luis
1:2
02.02.2023
Atlético San Luis
-
Puebla
2:0
Latest results of Atlético San Luis
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Pachuca | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 8 | 12 |
| 2 | Tigres UANL | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:3 | 9 | 9 |
| 3 | Toluca | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Monterrey | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | Cruz Azul | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 8 |
| 6 | Club America | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 8 |
| 7 | Santos Laguna | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Atl. San Luis | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:7 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Club Leon | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 | Mazatlan FC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 5 |
| 11 | Necaxa | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Club Tijuana | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | UNAM Pumas | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Atlas | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:11 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 | Guadalajara Chivas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
| 16 | Puebla | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:14 | -10 | 3 |
| 17 | Juarez | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
| 18 | Queretaro | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
