Result
0:1
28/02/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 8
- Referee: Quintero M. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 1.21 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (399/469) | 83% (283/343) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 1.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.15 | 1.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (399/469) | 83% (283/343) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (28/57) | 58% (32/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (80/118) | 60% (42/70) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 19% (4/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.35 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Navarro E. ↓, Rey L. ↑,
- 30', Velasco K. 🟨,
- 42', Gutierrez D. 🟨,
- 45+1', Dominguez J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 49', Ramirez A. 🟨,
- 56', Munoz S. ↓, Perez S. ↑,
- 68', Organista A. ↓, Lozano E. ↑,
- 68', Gomez E. ↓, Baltazar C. ↑,
- 69', Macias O. ↓, Meraz R. ↑,
- 71', Garcia M. 🟨,
- 76', Garcia M. ↓, Torres R. ↑,
- 76', Lucas Esteves ↓, Flores L. ↑,
- 76', Medina J. ↓, Galdames B. ↑,
- 77', Juanpe 🟨,
- 81', Velasco K. ↓, Garnica B. ↑,
- 84', Rey L. 🟨,
- 90', 0 - 1, Lozano E. ⚽, Garnica B. (A),
Chances of winning
Atlético San Luis
44.8% | Draw
27.3% | Puebla
27.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético San Luis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético San Luis's form might have worsened.Puebla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Puebla's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético San Luis than the current prediction. (+8.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético San Luis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puebla than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Puebla, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Atlético San Luis - Puebla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↑
(1.78) |
3.44 ↓
(3.53) |
3.39 ↓
(4.05) |
6.2%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Atlético San Luis - Puebla?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Puebla (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético San Luis won 5.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- Puebla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Atlético San Luis could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Atlético San Luis: Aguila E.
(Red Card)
Lopez De Alba C. I.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Puebla: Cavallini L.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Atlético San Luis: Macias O.
(Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Atlético San Luis won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:17. (average 1.5:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético San Luis won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.6:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético San Luis won against Puebla?
Atlético San Luis has won 6 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Puebla won against Atlético San Luis?
Puebla has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético San Luis - Puebla were as follows:
15.08.2025
Puebla
-
Atlético San Luis
0:2
17.01.2025
Puebla
-
Atlético San Luis
1:2
02.11.2024
Atlético San Luis
-
Puebla
2:0
01.03.2024
Atlético San Luis
-
Puebla
4:0
18.08.2023
Puebla
-
Atlético San Luis
1:2
Latest results of Atlético San Luis
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | UNAM Pumas | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 34:17 | 17 | 36 |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 33:17 | 16 | 36 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 31:18 | 13 | 33 |
| 4 | Pachuca | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25:19 | 6 | 31 |
| 5 | Toluca | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 30 |
| 6 | Atlas | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 26 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28:18 | 10 | 25 |
| 8 | Club America | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 25 |
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 19:17 | 2 | 23 |
| 10 | Club Leon | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 22:32 | -10 | 22 |
| 11 | Queretaro | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 20 |
| 12 | Juarez | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 26:32 | -6 | 19 |
| 13 | Monterrey | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22:24 | -2 | 18 |
| 14 | Atl. San Luis | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 24:27 | -3 | 18 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 |
| 16 | Mazatlan FC | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 22:37 | -15 | 15 |
| 17 | Puebla | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13:26 | -13 | 13 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 20:38 | -18 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
