UNAM vs Puebla – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga MX UNAM - Puebla
Result
0:0
24/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga MX - Apertura - Round 6
  • Referee: Lopez I. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Canal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
usaUsaNBC Universo, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.270.32
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
167
Shots on target
13
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
90% (457/510)82% (294/357)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.270.32
xG on target (xGOT)
0.010.27
Total shots
167
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
82
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
123
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
3117
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
43
Free Kicks
1817
Passes
90% (457/510)82% (294/357)
Long passes
73% (30/41)56% (35/63)
Passes in final third
81% (161/199)66% (46/70)
Crosses
22% (6/27)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.830.29
Throw-ins
248
Fouls
1718
Tackles
60% (6/10)55% (11/20)
Duels won
3749
Clearances
1031
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.270.01
Goals prevented
0.270.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 17', Vite P. 🟨,
  • 41', Duarte R. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Diaz N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 54', Lozano E. 🟨,
  • 55', Quispe Cordova P. A. , Medina A. ,
  • 58', 🟨,
  • 62', Martinez G. , Ramsey A. ,
  • 66', Ramirez M. , Castillo R. ,
  • 66', Orona E. , Moyano F. ,
  • 69', Lozano E. , Marin R. ,
  • 70', Organista A. , Gonzalez O. ,
  • 72', Trigos S. , Lopez R. ,

Chances of winning


UNAM
58.3%
Draw
24.2%
Puebla
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.8% 24.4% 17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4% 23.3% 17%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • UNAM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Puebla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puebla than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • UNAM - Puebla Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.63)
    3.83
    (3.88)
    5.4
    (5.3)
    6.8%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for UNAM - Puebla?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. UNAM will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Puebla will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for UNAM: 23.1%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. UNAM (votes: 2 - 40%). Puebla (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 18).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 4.
    • In recent matches, UNAM has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Puebla is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Puebla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Puebla has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, UNAM is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in UNAM: Lopez S. (Finger Injury)
    • There will not play in Puebla: Cavallini L. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in UNAM: Lara P. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Puebla: Guerra E. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 34:25. (average 1.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, UNAM won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between UNAM - Puebla were as follows:
    07.03.2025 Puebla - UNAM 1:3
    17.09.2024 UNAM - Puebla 1:0
    11.02.2024 UNAM - Puebla 3:0
    22.09.2023 Puebla - UNAM 0:2
    05.03.2023 UNAM - Puebla 2:4
    Latest results of UNAM
    16.08.2025 Toluca - UNAM 1:1
    10.08.2025 UNAM - Necaxa 1:1
    06.08.2025 Inter Miami - UNAM 3:1
    02.08.2025 UNAM - Atlanta United 3:2
    30.07.2025 UNAM - Orlando City 2:1
    Latest results of Puebla
    20.08.2025 Seattle Sounders - Puebla 1:0
    08.08.2025 Tigres UANL - Puebla 7:0
    05.08.2025 CF Montréal - Puebla 1:2
    01.08.2025 Columbus Crew - Puebla 3:1
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Toluca ✔ 14102239:162332
    2Tigres UANL ✔ 1595131:141732
    3Cruz Azul ✔ 1595127:171032
    4Club America ✔ 1594231:161531
    5Monterrey ✔ 1593330:24630
    6Guadalajara Chivas1572624:20423
    7Club Tijuana1556426:19721
    8Pachuca1463519:17221
    9Juarez1555524:25-120
    10Atl. San Luis1451820:20016
    11Atlas1544724:33-916
    12UNAM Pumas1536617:22-515
    13Santos Laguna1442817:23-614
    14Queretaro1442815:25-1014
    15Mazatlan FC1527619:27-813
    16Club Leon1534813:27-1413
    17Necaxa1424815:27-1210
    18Puebla15231019:38-199

          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Toluca is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Tigres UANL is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Cruz Azul is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Club America is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Monterrey is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)