Result
24/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 6
- Referee: Lopez I. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Canal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | NBC Universo, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision |
Chances of winning
UNAM
58.7% | Draw
24% | Puebla
17.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UNAM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Puebla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puebla than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
UNAM - Puebla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↓
(1.63) |
3.84 ↓
(3.88) |
5.48 ↑
(5.3) |
7.2%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for UNAM - Puebla?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. UNAM will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for UNAM: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. UNAM (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 18).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 4.
- In recent matches, UNAM has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Puebla is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Puebla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Puebla has had a series of away games.
- In this match, UNAM is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in UNAM: Lopez S.
(Finger Injury)
- There will not play in Puebla: Cavallini L.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in UNAM: Lara P.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Puebla: Guerra E.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 34:25. (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, UNAM won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has UNAM won against Puebla?
UNAM has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Puebla won against UNAM?
Puebla has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between UNAM - Puebla were as follows:
07.03.2025
Puebla
-
UNAM
1:3
17.09.2024
UNAM
-
Puebla
1:0
11.02.2024
UNAM
-
Puebla
3:0
22.09.2023
Puebla
-
UNAM
0:2
05.03.2023
UNAM
-
Puebla
2:4
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Monterrey | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13:7 | 6 | 14 |
| 3 | Pachuca | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Club America | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 11 |
| 5 | Tigres UANL | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 10 |
| 6 | Toluca | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 10 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Juarez | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 | Club Leon | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 7 |
| 10 | Santos Laguna | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | Atl. San Luis | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Mazatlan FC | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 6 |
| 13 | UNAM Pumas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Atlas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10:14 | -4 | 5 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 | Guadalajara Chivas | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 4 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 4 |
| 18 | Puebla | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:14 | -10 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
