Result
0:0
24/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 6
- Referee: Lopez I. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Canal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | NBC Universo, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.32 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (457/510) | 82% (294/357) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.01 | 0.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (457/510) | 82% (294/357) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 73% (30/41) | 56% (35/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (161/199) | 66% (46/70) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (6/27) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 0.29 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 8 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 55% (11/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.27 | 0.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.27 | 0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Vite P. 🟨,
- 41', Duarte R. 🟨,
- 45+4', Diaz N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 54', Lozano E. 🟨,
- 55', Quispe Cordova P. A. ↓, Medina A. ↑,
- 58', 🟨,
- 62', Martinez G. ↓, Ramsey A. ↑,
- 66', Ramirez M. ↓, Castillo R. ↑,
- 66', Orona E. ↓, Moyano F. ↑,
- 69', Lozano E. ↓, Marin R. ↑,
- 70', Organista A. ↓, Gonzalez O. ↑,
- 72', Trigos S. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
Chances of winning
UNAM
58.3% | Draw
24.2% | Puebla
17.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UNAM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Puebla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puebla than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
UNAM - Puebla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↓
(1.63) |
3.83 ↓
(3.88) |
5.4 ↑
(5.3) |
6.8%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for UNAM - Puebla?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. UNAM will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Puebla will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for UNAM: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. UNAM (votes: 2 - 40%). Puebla (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 18).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 4.
- In recent matches, UNAM has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Puebla is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Puebla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Puebla has had a series of away games.
- In this match, UNAM is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in UNAM: Lopez S.
(Finger Injury)
- There will not play in Puebla: Cavallini L.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in UNAM: Lara P.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Puebla: Guerra E.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 34:25. (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, UNAM won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has UNAM won against Puebla?
UNAM has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Puebla won against UNAM?
Puebla has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between UNAM - Puebla were as follows:
07.03.2025
Puebla
-
UNAM
1:3
17.09.2024
UNAM
-
Puebla
1:0
11.02.2024
UNAM
-
Puebla
3:0
22.09.2023
Puebla
-
UNAM
0:2
05.03.2023
UNAM
-
Puebla
2:4
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca ✔ | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 39:16 | 23 | 32 |
| 2 | Tigres UANL ✔ | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 31:14 | 17 | 32 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul ✔ | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 27:17 | 10 | 32 |
| 4 | Club America ✔ | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 31:16 | 15 | 31 |
| 5 | Monterrey ✔ | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 30:24 | 6 | 30 |
| 6 | Guadalajara Chivas | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 24:20 | 4 | 23 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 26:19 | 7 | 21 |
| 8 | Pachuca | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Juarez | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 24:25 | -1 | 20 |
| 10 | Atl. San Luis | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 20:20 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | Atlas | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 24:33 | -9 | 16 |
| 12 | UNAM Pumas | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 17:22 | -5 | 15 |
| 13 | Santos Laguna | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
| 14 | Queretaro | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:25 | -10 | 14 |
| 15 | Mazatlan FC | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19:27 | -8 | 13 |
| 16 | Club Leon | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 13 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15:27 | -12 | 10 |
| 18 | Puebla | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 19:38 | -19 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Toluca is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Tigres UANL is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Cruz Azul is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Club America is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Monterrey is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
