Result
1:3
07/03/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- MEXICO: Liga MX - Clausura - Round 11
- Referee: Caceres V. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Fox Sports, FOX Sports Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.76 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 22 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (268/345) | 84% (359/425) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 61% (54/89) | 71% (75/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (8/24) | 25% (6/24) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (16/22) | 64% (7/11) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 23 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Waller Martiarena F. F. ⚽,
- 19', Angulo B. 🟨,
- 41', Azuaje A. 🟨,
- 45+2', Angulo B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 53', Caicedo J. 🟨,
- 54', Azuaje A. ↓, Suarez L. ↑,
- 58', 1 - 1, Quispe Cordova P. A. ⚽, Funes Mori R. (A),
- 60', Quispe Cordova P. A. ↓, Ruvalcaba J. ↑,
- 65', Gonzalez P. 🟨,
- 65', Quinones L. ↓, Castillo R. ↑,
- 65', Gustavo Ferrareis ↓, Rivas J. ↑,
- 71', Carrasquilla A. 🟨,
- 75', 1 - 2, Martinez G. ⚽,
- 84', Funes Mori R. ↓, Avila A. ↑,
- 84', Pussetto I. ↓, Rivas U. ↑,
- 85', Rivas J. ↓, Pachuca Martinez J. R. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 3, Avila A. ⚽, Martinez G. (A),
- 90+8', Moyano F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Puebla
29.6% | Draw
30.3% | UNAM
40.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Puebla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Puebla's form might have worsened.UNAM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puebla than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Puebla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Puebla - UNAM Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.17 ↑
(2.66) |
3.11 ↓
(3.46) |
2.35 ↓
(2.5) |
6.1%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Puebla - UNAM?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Puebla will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). UNAM will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Puebla: 6.6% – 60%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 12).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Puebla won 2.
- Both teams are in bad shape now.
- Puebla could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- There will not play in Puebla: Cavallini L.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Puebla: Gularte E.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in UNAM: Magallan L.
(Injury)
Nathan Silva
(Ankle Injury)
Rodriguez M.
(Ankle Injury)
Suarez L.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Puebla won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 25:33 (average 1.3:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Puebla won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:13 (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Puebla won against UNAM?
Puebla has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has UNAM won against Puebla?
UNAM has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Puebla - UNAM were as follows:
17.09.2024
UNAM
-
Puebla
1:0
11.02.2024
UNAM
-
Puebla
3:0
22.09.2023
Puebla
-
UNAM
0:2
05.03.2023
UNAM
-
Puebla
2:4
23.09.2022
Puebla
-
UNAM
2:1
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Pachuca | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Tigres UANL | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Monterrey | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 5 | Cruz Azul | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 5 |
| 6 | Club America | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Necaxa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Mazatlan FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Atlas | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Club Tijuana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | Santos Laguna | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Guadalajara Chivas | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Atl. San Luis | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | Puebla | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
| 15 | UNAM Pumas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 |
| 16 | Club Leon | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 17 | Juarez | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 18 | Queretaro | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
