UNAM vs Puebla – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga MX UNAM - Puebla
Result
0:0
24/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga MX - Apertura - Round 6
  • Referee: Lopez I. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Canal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
usaUsaNBC Universo, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.270.32
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
167
Shots on target
13
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
90% (457/510)82% (294/357)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.270.32
xG on target (xGOT)
0.010.27
Total shots
167
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
82
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
123
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
3117
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
43
Free Kicks
1817
Passes
90% (457/510)82% (294/357)
Long passes
73% (30/41)56% (35/63)
Passes in final third
81% (161/199)66% (46/70)
Crosses
22% (6/27)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.830.29
Throw-ins
248
Fouls
1718
Tackles
60% (6/10)55% (11/20)
Duels won
3749
Clearances
1031
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.270.01
Goals prevented
0.270.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 17', Vite P. 🟨,
  • 41', Duarte R. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Diaz N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 54', Lozano E. 🟨,
  • 55', Quispe Cordova P. A. , Medina A. ,
  • 58', 🟨,
  • 62', Martinez G. , Ramsey A. ,
  • 66', Ramirez M. , Castillo R. ,
  • 66', Orona E. , Moyano F. ,
  • 69', Lozano E. , Marin R. ,
  • 70', Organista A. , Gonzalez O. ,
  • 72', Trigos S. , Lopez R. ,

Chances of winning


UNAM
58.3%
Draw
24.2%
Puebla
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.8% 24.4% 17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4% 23.3% 17%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • UNAM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Puebla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puebla than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • UNAM - Puebla Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.63)
    3.83
    (3.88)
    5.4
    (5.3)
    6.8%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for UNAM - Puebla?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. UNAM will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Puebla will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for UNAM: 23.1%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. UNAM (votes: 2 - 40%). Puebla (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 18).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 4.
    • In recent matches, UNAM has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Puebla is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Puebla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Puebla has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, UNAM is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in UNAM: Lopez S. (Finger Injury)
    • There will not play in Puebla: Cavallini L. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in UNAM: Lara P. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Puebla: Guerra E. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 34:25. (average 1.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, UNAM won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between UNAM - Puebla were as follows:
    07.03.2025 Puebla - UNAM 1:3
    17.09.2024 UNAM - Puebla 1:0
    11.02.2024 UNAM - Puebla 3:0
    22.09.2023 Puebla - UNAM 0:2
    05.03.2023 UNAM - Puebla 2:4
    Latest results of UNAM
    16.08.2025 Toluca - UNAM 1:1
    10.08.2025 UNAM - Necaxa 1:1
    06.08.2025 Inter Miami - UNAM 3:1
    02.08.2025 UNAM - Atlanta United 3:2
    30.07.2025 UNAM - Orlando City 2:1
    Latest results of Puebla
    20.08.2025 Seattle Sounders - Puebla 1:0
    08.08.2025 Tigres UANL - Puebla 7:0
    05.08.2025 CF Montréal - Puebla 1:2
    01.08.2025 Columbus Crew - Puebla 3:1
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Toluca1291235:161928
    2Club America1283126:111527
    3Cruz Azul1274122:15725
    4Monterrey1181223:17625
    5Tigres UANL1265122:101223
    6Pachuca1262416:13320
    7Club Tijuana1154221:111019
    8Juarez1253416:15118
    9Guadalajara Chivas1142516:17-114
    10UNAM Pumas1134414:17-313
    11Atlas1234521:27-613
    12Club Leon1233612:22-1012
    13Mazatlan FC1225515:21-611
    14Queretaro1232714:21-711
    15Atl. San Luis1231817:20-310
    16Santos Laguna1231813:21-810
    17Necaxa1223711:21-109
    18Puebla1212910:29-195

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