UNAM vs Puebla – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
24/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga MX - Apertura - Round 6
  • Referee: Lopez I. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Canal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
usaUsaNBC Universo, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.270.32
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
167
Shots on target
13
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
90% (457/510)82% (294/357)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.270.32
xG on target (xGOT)
0.010.27
Total shots
167
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
82
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
123
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
3117
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
43
Free Kicks
1817
Passes
90% (457/510)82% (294/357)
Long passes
73% (30/41)56% (35/63)
Passes in final third
81% (161/199)66% (46/70)
Crosses
22% (6/27)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.830.29
Throw-ins
248
Fouls
1718
Tackles
60% (6/10)55% (11/20)
Duels won
3749
Clearances
1031
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.270.01
Goals prevented
0.270.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 17', Vite P. 🟨,
  • 41', Duarte R. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Diaz N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 54', Lozano E. 🟨,
  • 55', Quispe Cordova P. A. , Medina A. ,
  • 58', 🟨,
  • 62', Martinez G. , Ramsey A. ,
  • 66', Ramirez M. , Castillo R. ,
  • 66', Orona E. , Moyano F. ,
  • 69', Lozano E. , Marin R. ,
  • 70', Organista A. , Gonzalez O. ,
  • 72', Trigos S. , Lopez R. ,

Chances of winning


UNAM
58.3%
Draw
24.2%
Puebla
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.8% 24.4% 17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4% 23.3% 17%

UNAM - Puebla Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.61
(1.63)
3.83
(3.88)
5.4
(5.3)
6.8%
(5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for UNAM - Puebla?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. UNAM will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Puebla will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for UNAM: 23.1%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. UNAM (votes: 2 - 40%). Puebla (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 18).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 4.
    • In recent matches, UNAM has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Puebla is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Puebla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Puebla has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, UNAM is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in UNAM: Lopez S. (Finger Injury)
    • There will not play in Puebla: Cavallini L. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in UNAM: Lara P. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Puebla: Guerra E. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 34:25. (average 1.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, UNAM won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between UNAM - Puebla were as follows:
    07.03.2025 Puebla - UNAM 1:3
    17.09.2024 UNAM - Puebla 1:0
    11.02.2024 UNAM - Puebla 3:0
    22.09.2023 Puebla - UNAM 0:2
    05.03.2023 UNAM - Puebla 2:4
    Latest results of UNAM
    16.08.2025 Toluca - UNAM 1:1
    10.08.2025 UNAM - Necaxa 1:1
    06.08.2025 Inter Miami - UNAM 3:1
    02.08.2025 UNAM - Atlanta United 3:2
    30.07.2025 UNAM - Orlando City 2:1
    Latest results of Puebla
    20.08.2025 Seattle Sounders - Puebla 1:0
    08.08.2025 Tigres UANL - Puebla 7:0
    05.08.2025 CF Montréal - Puebla 1:2
    01.08.2025 Columbus Crew - Puebla 3:1
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Guadalajara Chivas33005:149
    2Toluca32104:137
    3Monterrey32017:256
    4Cruz Azul32014:226
    5Atlas32012:206
    6UNAM Pumas31203:215
    7Club Tijuana31203:215
    8Atl. San Luis31114:314
    9Club Leon31114:404
    10Juarez31114:404
    11Tigres UANL31112:204
    12Pachuca31112:3-14
    13Necaxa31023:4-13
    14Puebla31022:3-13
    15Club America30210:2-22
    16Queretaro30123:5-21
    17Santos Laguna30124:8-41
    18Mazatlan FC30033:9-60

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