Don Álvaro vs Pueblonuevo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
14/01/2024 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 14 - ROUND 17

Chances of winning


Don Álvaro
35.9%
Draw
29.9%
Pueblonuevo
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41% 31.6% 27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1% 29.4% 29.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Don Álvaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Don Álvaro's form might have worsened.
  • Pueblonuevo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pueblonuevo's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Don Álvaro than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pueblonuevo than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • Don Álvaro - Pueblonuevo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.52
    (2.22)
    3.03
    (2.88)
    2.65
    (3.32)
    10.4%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 15).
    • Recent matches Don Álvaro is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Pueblonuevo is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Don Álvaro will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Don Álvaro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Don Álvaro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Don Álvaro - Pueblonuevo were as follows:
    16.04.2023 Don Álvaro - Pueblonuevo 2:1
    18.12.2022 Pueblonuevo - Don Álvaro 2:0
    Latest results of Don Álvaro
    Latest results of Pueblonuevo
    07.01.2024 Pueblonuevo - Arroyo 2:1
    03.12.2023 Olivenza - Pueblonuevo 2:1
    26.11.2023 Pueblonuevo - Azuaga 0:2
    19.11.2023 Jerez - Pueblonuevo 3:0
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Don Benito24156350:153551
    2Moralo24128438:241444
    3Jaraiz24119439:231642
    4Cabeza del Buey241011330:171341
    5CD Badajoz24135632:201241
    6Azuaga24117634:241040
    7Villanovense2498726:24235
    8Llerenense241041025:25034
    9Jerez CF24615338:29933
    10Villafranca2496928:29-133
    11Montijo24941126:27-131
    12Puebla24611724:28-429
    13Santa Amalia24851123:32-929
    14Gevora24581122:36-1423
    15Diocesano23481122:37-1520
    16CD Calamonte243101118:29-1119
    17Montehermoso24361517:44-2715
    18Pueblonuevo23351517:46-2914

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