Don Álvaro vs Pueblonuevo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
14/01/2024 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 14 - ROUND 17

Chances of winning


Don Álvaro
35.9%
Draw
29.9%
Pueblonuevo
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41% 31.6% 27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1% 29.4% 29.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Don Álvaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Don Álvaro's form might have worsened.
  • Pueblonuevo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pueblonuevo's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Don Álvaro than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pueblonuevo than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • Don Álvaro - Pueblonuevo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.52
    (2.22)
    3.03
    (2.88)
    2.65
    (3.32)
    10.4%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 15).
    • Recent matches Don Álvaro is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Pueblonuevo is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Don Álvaro will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Don Álvaro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Don Álvaro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Don Álvaro - Pueblonuevo were as follows:
    16.04.2023 Don Álvaro - Pueblonuevo 2:1
    18.12.2022 Pueblonuevo - Don Álvaro 2:0
    Latest results of Don Álvaro
    Latest results of Pueblonuevo
    07.01.2024 Pueblonuevo - Arroyo 2:1
    03.12.2023 Olivenza - Pueblonuevo 2:1
    26.11.2023 Pueblonuevo - Azuaga 0:2
    19.11.2023 Jerez - Pueblonuevo 3:0
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Don Benito27167455:193655
    2Moralo27158446:262053
    3CD Badajoz27165641:241750
    4Azuaga27147640:261449
    5Jaraiz27139546:252148
    6Cabeza del Buey271112434:211345
    7Villanovense27118834:29541
    8Villafranca271161032:32039
    9Jerez CF27715547:38936
    10Llerenense271051227:32-535
    11Montijo27961230:33-333
    12Puebla27711928:36-832
    13Santa Amalia27951327:39-1232
    14Gevora27681326:41-1526
    15Diocesano26491323:45-2221
    16CD Calamonte273111320:33-1320
    17Montehermoso27471619:46-2719
    18Pueblonuevo26451719:49-3017

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation