Result
2:0
15/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 26
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 90+10', 2 - 0, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Pueblonuevo
26.4% | Draw
22.7% | Llerenense
50.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pueblonuevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Llerenense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pueblonuevo than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llerenense than the current prediction. (-2%)
Pueblonuevo - Llerenense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.44 ↑
(3.22) |
4.01 ↑
(3.79) |
1.79 ↓
(1.91) |
10%
(9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 9).
- Pueblonuevo is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Llerenense has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Llerenense will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pueblonuevo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pueblonuevo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Pueblonuevo won against Llerenense?
Pueblonuevo has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Llerenense won against Pueblonuevo?
Llerenense has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pueblonuevo - Llerenense were as follows:
01.11.2025
Llerenense
-
Pueblonuevo
2:0
09.03.2025
Pueblonuevo
-
Llerenense
1:1
01.04.2023
Llerenense
-
Pueblonuevo
3:3
04.12.2022
Pueblonuevo
-
Llerenense
0:2
Latest results of Pueblonuevo
Latest results of Llerenense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Don Benito | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 55:19 | 36 | 55 |
| 2 | Moralo | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 46:26 | 20 | 53 |
| 3 | CD Badajoz | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 41:24 | 17 | 50 |
| 4 | Azuaga | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 40:26 | 14 | 49 |
| 5 | Jaraiz | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 46:25 | 21 | 48 |
| 6 | Cabeza del Buey | 27 | 11 | 12 | 4 | 34:21 | 13 | 45 |
| 7 | Villanovense | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 34:29 | 5 | 41 |
| 8 | Villafranca | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 32:32 | 0 | 39 |
| 9 | Jerez CF | 27 | 7 | 15 | 5 | 47:38 | 9 | 36 |
| 10 | Llerenense | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 27:32 | -5 | 35 |
| 11 | Montijo | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 30:33 | -3 | 33 |
| 12 | Puebla | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 28:36 | -8 | 32 |
| 13 | Santa Amalia | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 27:39 | -12 | 32 |
| 14 | Gevora | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 15 | Diocesano | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23:45 | -22 | 21 |
| 16 | CD Calamonte | 27 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 20:33 | -13 | 20 |
| 17 | Montehermoso | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 19:46 | -27 | 19 |
| 18 | Pueblonuevo | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 19:49 | -30 | 17 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
