Borneo Samarinda vs Persebaya Surabaya – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

18/05/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadion Batakan (Balikpapan).

Liga 1 - Round 33
Where to Watch on TV:


India	Vision+
Indonesia	Indosiar, K-Vision, Vidio

Match Stats


Ball Possession
67%	33%
Total shots
3	5
Shots on target
3	5
Corner Kicks
12	2
Passes
83% (448/543)	75% (214/285)
Yellow Cards
0	1
Red Cards
0	1
Total shots
3	5
Shots on target
3	5
Corner Kicks
12	2
Passes
83% (448/543)	75% (214/285)
Fouls
3	9
Goalkeeper Saves
4	2

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', 0 - 1, Bruno (Pen),
63', Amrullah M. ↓, Lilipaly S. ↑,
67', Ari E. 🟨,
72', Idrus A. ↓, Tata M. ↑,
74', Ari E. 🟥,
75', Firmansyah T. ↓, Ramadhani A. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Matheus Pato (Pen),
80', Hirose K. ↓, Nambu K. ↑,
85', Tumbas D. ↓, Rashid M. ↑,
90', Enero ↓, Teguh K. ↑,

Chances of winning

Borneo Samarinda
44.2%

Draw
26.2%

Persebaya Surabaya
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

27%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

25.6%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borneo Samarinda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Persebaya Surabaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borneo Samarinda than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Borneo Samarinda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Persebaya Surabaya than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Borneo Samarinda - Persebaya Surabaya Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.95)	3.5 ↑ (3.4)	3.1 ↓ (3.5)	9% (9.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

Preview Facts

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Challenge League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borneo won 2.
Borneo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Persebaya has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Persebaya may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Borneo will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Borneo won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 1.5:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Borneo won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 2:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Borneo Samarinda won against Persebaya Surabaya?

Borneo Samarinda has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Persebaya Surabaya won against Borneo Samarinda?

Persebaya Surabaya has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Borneo Samarinda - Persebaya Surabaya were as follows:

20.12.2024 Persebaya Surabaya - Borneo Samarinda 2:1

07.03.2024 Borneo Samarinda - Persebaya Surabaya 2:1

03.09.2023 Persebaya Surabaya - Borneo Samarinda 2:1

03.02.2023 Persebaya Surabaya - Borneo Samarinda 3:2

Latest results of Borneo Samarinda

10.05.2025 Madura United - Borneo Samarinda 2:3 ✺

04.05.2025 Borneo Samarinda - Persija Jakarta 1:0 ✺

25.04.2025 PSIS Semarang - Borneo Samarinda 2:5 ✺

18.04.2025 Borneo Samarinda - PSM Makassar 1:1 ✺

11.04.2025 Borneo Samarinda - Persib Bandung 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Persebaya Surabaya

11.05.2025 Persebaya Surabaya - Semen Padang 1:1 ✺

05.05.2025 Persik Kediri - Persebaya Surabaya 3:3 ✺

28.04.2025 Arema - Persebaya Surabaya 1:1 ✺

20.04.2025 Persebaya Surabaya - Madura United 1:0 ✺

12.04.2025 Persija Jakarta - Persebaya Surabaya 1:1 ✺

Indonesian Liga 1 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Arema FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Persib Bandung	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Persija Jakarta	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Persik Kediri	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	PSM Makassar	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Persebaya	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Persita	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Semen Padang	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Persis Solo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Bali United	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Persijap Jepara	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	PSIM Yogyakarta	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Dewa United	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Borneo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	FC Bhayangkara	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Madura United	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	PSBS Biak Numfor	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Malut United	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Challenge League (Qualification: )
      Relegation