Borneo Samarinda vs Persebaya Surabaya – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:1
07/03/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 25
  • Where to Watch on TV:
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio

Match Stats

Ball possession
62%38%
Total shots
188
Shots on target
93
Corner kicks
74
Yellow cards
14
Total shots
188
Shots on target
93
Shots off target
95
Corner kicks
74
Offsides
11
Free kicks
63
Throw ins
2215
Fouls
411

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Villa J. , Anez M. (A),
  • 27', Putra S. 🟨,
  • 30', Araya K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 1)
  • 46', Putra S. , Firmansyah T. ,
  • 46', Malik R. , Ardiansyah R. ,
  • 46', Freitas Gali , Matos P. ,
  • 54', Anez M. 🟨,
  • 59', 2 - 0, Villa J. ,
  • 61', Araya K. , Wicaksono D. ,
  • 62', 3 - 0, Peralta M. , Caxambu (A),
  • 66', Raickovic M. , Bruno Paraiba ,
  • 68', 4 - 0, Obieta K. ,
  • 70', Villa J. , Astina M. ,
  • 70', Hirose K. , Cleylton ,
  • 73', 4 - 1, Lelis L. S. ,
  • 75', Ramadhani A. 🟨,
  • 78', Ardiansyah R. 🟨,
  • 86', Peralta M. , Sihran M. ,
  • 86', Enero , Hardiansyah D. ,
  • 90+2', Buffon A. , Michiels D. ,
  • 90+4', 5 - 1, Astina M. , Anez M. (A),

Chances of winning


Borneo Samarinda
49.4%
Draw
26.5%
Persebaya Surabaya
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.5% 25.4% 22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5% 24.9% 21.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Borneo Samarinda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Persebaya Surabaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borneo Samarinda than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Persebaya Surabaya than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Borneo Samarinda - Persebaya Surabaya Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (1.77)
    3.48
    (3.65)
    3.81
    (4.2)
    8.6%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Borneo Samarinda - Persebaya Surabaya?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Borneo (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Challenge League (Qualification: ) and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borneo won 1.
    • Borneo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Persebaya's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Borneo is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Borneo won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:19. (average 1.5:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Borneo won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:8. (average 1.8:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Borneo Samarinda - Persebaya Surabaya were as follows:
    20.12.2025 Persebaya Surabaya - Borneo Samarinda 2:2
    18.05.2025 Borneo Samarinda - Persebaya Surabaya 1:1
    20.12.2024 Persebaya Surabaya - Borneo Samarinda 2:1
    07.03.2024 Borneo Samarinda - Persebaya Surabaya 2:1
    03.09.2023 Persebaya Surabaya - Borneo Samarinda 2:1
    Latest results of Borneo Samarinda
    Latest results of Persebaya Surabaya