Cracovia vs Puszcza Niepołomice – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Cracovia - Puszcza Niepołomice
Result
3:1
29/03/2025 at 09:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 26
  • Referee: Krasny S. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.080.63
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
209
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
77% (269/351)72% (250/347)
Yellow Cards
31
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.080.63
xG on target (xGOT)
1.490.91
Total shots
209
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
93
Shots inside the Box
127
Shots outside the Box
82
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
21
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
1719
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
178
Passes
77% (269/351)72% (250/347)
Long passes
33% (17/51)50% (37/74)
Passes in final third
57% (52/91)55% (53/96)
Crosses
43% (6/14)33% (7/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.421.05
Fouls
817
Tackles
80% (8/10)83% (19/23)
Duels won
3960
Clearances Total
2410
Interceptions
614
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.911.49
Goals prevented
-0.09-1.51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 16', 0 - 1, Kosidis M. , Abramowicz D. (A),
  • 17', Minchev M. 🟨,
  • 28', Serafin J. 🟨,
  • 39', Kallman B. 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 1, Kakabadze O. , Jugas J. (A),
  • 45+4', 2 - 1, Kallman B. , Hasic A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Abramowicz D. , Stepien M. ,
  • 46', Szymonowicz D. , Cholewiak M. ,
  • 50', 3 - 1, Minchev M. , Hasic A. (A),
  • 54', Zhukov G. , Stepien K. ,
  • 54', Craciun A. , Solowiej L. ,
  • 70', Minchev M. , Smiglewski K. ,
  • 77', Sokolowski P. , Al Ammari A. ,
  • 77', Hasic A. , Rozga F. ,
  • 80', Smiglewski K. 🟨,
  • 84', Blagaic J. , Barkovsky G. ,
  • 90+1', Serafin J. 🟥,
  • 90+3', Jugas J. , Wojcik O. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cracovia
55.8%
Draw
24.6%
Puszcza Niepołomice
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.6% 24.6% 19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2% 27.1% 18%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cracovia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Puszcza Niepołomice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cracovia than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cracovia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Cracovia - Puszcza Niepołomice Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.69)
    3.81
    (3.81)
    4.78
    (4.75)
    6.5%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Cracovia - Puszcza Niepołomice?
  • Users Predictions: Cracovia will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 and 14).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Cracovia won 2.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Puszcza could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Cracovia is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Cracovia: Glik K. (Knee Injury) van Buren M. (Red Card)
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Cracovia won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:9 (average 1.8:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Cracovia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:5 (average 1.8:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cracovia - Puszcza Niepołomice were as follows:
    10.01.2025 Cracovia - Puszcza Niepołomice 2:3
    21.09.2024 Puszcza Niepołomice - Cracovia 1:2
    21.04.2024 Cracovia - Puszcza Niepołomice 0:1
    21.10.2023 Puszcza Niepołomice - Cracovia 1:1
    Latest results of Cracovia
    Latest results of Puszcza Niepołomice
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Jagiellonia1173123:131024
    2Gornik Zabrze1272319:10923
    3Cracovia1163220:12821
    4Korona Kielce1254316:11519
    5Lech Poznan1154220:18219
    6Wisla Plock1053212:7518
    7Zaglebie1144324:17716
    8Widzew Lodz1251620:17316
    9Legia1143414:12215
    10Radomiak Radom1243522:22015
    11Rakow1142512:15-314
    12Pogon Szczecin1242618:22-414
    13Arka Gdynia123367:19-1212
    14GKS Katowice1232716:24-811
    15Motor Lublin1125413:21-811
    16Lechia Gdansk1243521:27-610
    17Termalica B-B1123615:21-69
    18Piast Gliwice101459:13-47

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1