Result
3:1
29/03/2025 at 09:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 26
- Referee: Krasny S. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.08 | 0.63 |
Ball Possession |
---|
50% | 50% |
Total shots |
---|
20 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
77% (269/351) | 72% (250/347) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 1 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.08 | 0.63 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.49 | 0.91 |
Total shots |
---|
20 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
9 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
12 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
8 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
2 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
17 | 19 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
17 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
77% (269/351) | 72% (250/347) |
Long passes |
---|
33% (17/51) | 50% (37/74) |
Passes in final third |
---|
57% (52/91) | 55% (53/96) |
Crosses |
---|
43% (6/14) | 33% (7/21) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.42 | 1.05 |
Fouls |
---|
8 | 17 |
Tackles |
---|
80% (8/10) | 83% (19/23) |
Duels won |
---|
39 | 60 |
Clearances Total |
---|
24 | 10 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 14 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.91 | 1.49 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.09 | -1.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 16', 0 - 1, Kosidis M. ⚽, Abramowicz D. (A),
- 17', Minchev M. 🟨,
- 28', Serafin J. 🟨,
- 39', Kallman B. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 1, Kakabadze O. ⚽, Jugas J. (A),
- 45+4', 2 - 1, Kallman B. ⚽, Hasic A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Abramowicz D. ↓, Stepien M. ↑,
- 46', Szymonowicz D. ↓, Cholewiak M. ↑,
- 50', 3 - 1, Minchev M. ⚽, Hasic A. (A),
- 54', Zhukov G. ↓, Stepien K. ↑,
- 54', Craciun A. ↓, Solowiej L. ↑,
- 70', Minchev M. ↓, Smiglewski K. ↑,
- 77', Sokolowski P. ↓, Al Ammari A. ↑,
- 77', Hasic A. ↓, Rozga F. ↑,
- 80', Smiglewski K. 🟨,
- 84', Blagaic J. ↓, Barkovsky G. ↑,
- 90+1', Serafin J. 🟥,
- 90+3', Jugas J. ↓, Wojcik O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cracovia 55.8% | Draw 24.6% | Puszcza Niepołomice 19.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cracovia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Puszcza Niepołomice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cracovia than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cracovia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Cracovia - Puszcza Niepołomice Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.69 (1.69) |
3.81 ↓ (3.81) |
4.78 ↑ (4.75) |
6.5% (6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cracovia - Puszcza Niepołomice?
Users Predictions:
Cracovia will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 and 14).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Cracovia won 2.
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- Puszcza could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Cracovia is a favorite.
- There will not play in Cracovia: Glik K.
(Knee Injury)
van Buren M.
(Red Card)
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Cracovia won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:9 (average 1.8:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Cracovia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:5 (average 1.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Cracovia won against Puszcza Niepołomice?
Cracovia has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Puszcza Niepołomice won against Cracovia?
Puszcza Niepołomice has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cracovia - Puszcza Niepołomice were as follows:
10.01.2025
Cracovia
-
Puszcza Niepołomice
2:3
21.09.2024
Puszcza Niepołomice
-
Cracovia
1:2
21.04.2024
Cracovia
-
Puszcza Niepołomice
0:1
21.10.2023
Puszcza Niepołomice
-
Cracovia
1:1
Latest results of Cracovia
Latest results of Puszcza Niepołomice
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Cracovia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
2 | Radomiak Radom | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 4 |
3 | Termalica B-B | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Wisla Plock | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
5 | Gornik Zabrze | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
6 | Motor Lublin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Widzew Lodz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
8 | Rakow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
9 | Arka Gdynia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
10 | Piast Gliwice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Legia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | GKS Katowice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
13 | Zaglebie | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
14 | Korona Kielce | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
15 | Lech Poznan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
16 | Pogon Szczecin | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
17 | Jagiellonia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
18 | Lechia Gdansk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1