Result
3:1
29/03/2025 at 09:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 26
- Referee: Krasny S. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.08 | 0.63 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (269/351) | 72% (250/347) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.08 | 0.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.91 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (269/351) | 72% (250/347) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (17/51) | 50% (37/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (52/91) | 55% (53/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 33% (7/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 1.05 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 83% (19/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 60 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 24 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.91 | 1.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.09 | -1.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 16', 0 - 1, Kosidis M. ⚽, Abramowicz D. (A),
- 17', Minchev M. 🟨,
- 28', Serafin J. 🟨,
- 39', Kallman B. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 1, Kakabadze O. ⚽, Jugas J. (A),
- 45+4', 2 - 1, Kallman B. ⚽, Hasic A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Abramowicz D. ↓, Stepien M. ↑,
- 46', Szymonowicz D. ↓, Cholewiak M. ↑,
- 50', 3 - 1, Minchev M. ⚽, Hasic A. (A),
- 54', Zhukov G. ↓, Stepien K. ↑,
- 54', Craciun A. ↓, Solowiej L. ↑,
- 70', Minchev M. ↓, Smiglewski K. ↑,
- 77', Sokolowski P. ↓, Al Ammari A. ↑,
- 77', Hasic A. ↓, Rozga F. ↑,
- 80', Smiglewski K. 🟨,
- 84', Blagaic J. ↓, Barkovsky G. ↑,
- 90+1', Serafin J. 🟥,
- 90+3', Jugas J. ↓, Wojcik O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cracovia
55.8% | Draw
24.6% | Puszcza Niepołomice
19.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cracovia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Puszcza Niepołomice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cracovia than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cracovia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Cracovia - Puszcza Niepołomice Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69
(1.69) |
3.81 ↓
(3.81) |
4.78 ↑
(4.75) |
6.5%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cracovia - Puszcza Niepołomice?
Users Predictions:
Cracovia will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 and 14).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Cracovia won 2.
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- Puszcza could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Cracovia is a favorite.
- There will not play in Cracovia: Glik K.
(Knee Injury)
van Buren M.
(Red Card)
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Cracovia won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:9 (average 1.8:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Cracovia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:5 (average 1.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Cracovia won against Puszcza Niepołomice?
Cracovia has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Puszcza Niepołomice won against Cracovia?
Puszcza Niepołomice has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cracovia - Puszcza Niepołomice were as follows:
10.01.2025
Cracovia
-
Puszcza Niepołomice
2:3
21.09.2024
Puszcza Niepołomice
-
Cracovia
1:2
21.04.2024
Cracovia
-
Puszcza Niepołomice
0:1
21.10.2023
Puszcza Niepołomice
-
Cracovia
1:1
Latest results of Cracovia
Latest results of Puszcza Niepołomice
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jagiellonia | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23:13 | 10 | 24 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:10 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | Cracovia | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20:12 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Korona Kielce | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 19 |
| 5 | Lech Poznan | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:18 | 2 | 19 |
| 6 | Wisla Plock | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 18 |
| 7 | Zaglebie | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 24:17 | 7 | 16 |
| 8 | Widzew Lodz | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 16 |
| 9 | Legia | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 10 | Radomiak Radom | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 22:22 | 0 | 15 |
| 11 | Rakow | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 | Pogon Szczecin | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 18:22 | -4 | 14 |
| 13 | Arka Gdynia | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 7:19 | -12 | 12 |
| 14 | GKS Katowice | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 11 |
| 15 | Motor Lublin | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13:21 | -8 | 11 |
| 16 | Lechia Gdansk | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 21:27 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 | Termalica B-B | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15:21 | -6 | 9 |
| 18 | Piast Gliwice | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
