GKS Katowice vs Puszcza Niepołomice – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
12/04/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 28
  • Referee: Rzucidlo P. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.610.62
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
259
Shots on target
92
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
85% (441/517)70% (214/305)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.610.62
xG on target (xGOT)
3.460.74
Total shots
259
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
104
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
167
Shots outside the Box
92
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
3428
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
152
Passes
85% (441/517)70% (214/305)
Long passes
55% (31/56)42% (26/62)
Passes in final third
77% (127/164)64% (94/147)
Crosses
14% (2/14)30% (7/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.991.15
Fouls
215
Tackles
73% (8/11)88% (15/17)
Duels won
5446
Clearances Total
2622
Interceptions
1013
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
0.743.46
Goals prevented
-0.261.46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Barkovsky G. , Stepien K. (A),
  • 25', Craciun A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Craciun A. , Abramowicz D. ,
  • 57', Tomalski H. , Zhukov G. ,
  • 57', Barkovsky G. , Kosidis M. ,
  • 59', 1 - 1, Bergier S. ,
  • 79', Mrozinski P. , Siplak M. ,
  • 81', 2 - 1, Bergier S. ,
  • 84', Blad A. , Szymczak F. ,
  • 84', Drachal D. , Gruszkowski K. ,
  • 87', Serafin J. , Siemaszko A. ,
  • 88', Bergier S. , Kuusk M. ,
  • 88', Czerwinski A. , Marzec M. ,
  • 90+4', 3 - 1, Siplak M. (Own goal),
  • 90+6', Repka O. , Jaroszek B. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


GKS Katowice
51.1%
Draw
25.6%
Puszcza Niepołomice
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.4% 25% 24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2% 21.4% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • GKS Katowice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Puszcza Niepołomice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for GKS Katowice than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with GKS Katowice that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Puszcza Niepołomice could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • GKS Katowice - Puszcza Niepołomice Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (1.85)
    3.63
    (3.73)
    4.07
    (3.79)
    6.9%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for GKS Katowice - Puszcza Niepołomice?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. GKS Katowice will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. GKS Katowice (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 15).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches GKS Katowice won 2.
    • Recent matches GKS Katowice is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Puszcza is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • GKS Katowice could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match GKS Katowice is a favorite.
    • There will not play in GKS Katowice: Danek A. (Knee Injury) Kowalczyk M. (Yellow Cards) Rogala G. (Injury) Zrelak A. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Puszcza: Radecki M. (Injury)
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches GKS Katowice won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 22:15 (average 1.7:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams GKS Katowice won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:9 (average 1.4:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between GKS Katowice - Puszcza Niepołomice were as follows:
    04.10.2024 Puszcza Niepołomice - GKS Katowice 0:6
    15.07.2023 GKS Katowice - Puszcza Niepołomice 3:1
    13.05.2023 GKS Katowice - Puszcza Niepołomice 2:2
    15.10.2022 Puszcza Niepołomice - GKS Katowice 1:1
    Latest results of GKS Katowice
    Latest results of Puszcza Niepołomice
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Jagiellonia21107437:241337
    2Zaglebie2298535:27835
    3Lech Poznan2298536:31535
    4Gornik Zabrze22104832:28434
    5Rakow22104828:25334
    6Wisla Plock2289524:18633
    7Cracovia2289527:22533
    8Korona Kielce2286827:24330
    9Radomiak Radom2177736:33328
    10Pogon Szczecin22841032:35-328
    11Lechia Gdansk2295844:43127
    12GKS Katowice21831028:31-327
    13Motor Lublin2269730:37-727
    14Piast Gliwice22751023:26-326
    15Arka Gdynia21741019:36-1725
    16Legia2259825:27-224
    17Widzew Lodz22731229:32-324
    18Termalica B-B22561126:39-1321

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