Result
1:1
12/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jia League - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 50% (93/185) | 71% (239/339) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 1.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 50% (93/185) | 71% (239/339) |
| Long passes |
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| 41% (30/74) | 37% (31/83) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 44% (40/90) | 51% (61/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (4/21) | 18% (4/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.36 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 12', 1 - 0, Sun Xipeng ⚽, Leandro Alves (A),
- 45+4', 1 - 1, Cheukoua M. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Hu Jiajin ↓, Fan Chao ↑,
- 46', Shi Zhe ↓, Lu K. ↑,
- 62', Yao Xuchen ↓, Song Runtong ↑,
- 71', Liu Hao ↓, Feng Yifan ↑,
- 85', Fu Shang ↓, Yang Jingfan ↑,
- 90+6', You Wenjie 🟨,
Chances of winning
Qingdao Red Lions
25.2% | Draw
36.7% | Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
38.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Qingdao Red Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Qingdao Red Lions's form might have worsened.Guangxi Pingguo Haliao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qingdao Red Lions than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangxi Pingguo Haliao than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Qingdao Red Lions - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4 ↑
(2.91) |
2.75 ↓
(3.1) |
2.64 ↑
(2.29) |
-0.7%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League).
- Qingdao Red Lions is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Guangxi has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Guangxi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Guangxi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- We predict that Guangxi will win today's game, with odds of 2.16.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Qingdao Red Lions won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1.3:2.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Qingdao Red Lions won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Qingdao Red Lions won against Guangxi Pingguo Haliao?
Qingdao Red Lions has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guangxi Pingguo Haliao won against Qingdao Red Lions?
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Qingdao Red Lions - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao were as follows:
31.05.2025
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
-
Qingdao Red Lions
1:0
31.08.2024
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
-
Qingdao Red Lions
3:2
14.04.2024
Qingdao Red Lions
-
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
2:3
Latest results of Qingdao Red Lions
Latest results of Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
Chinese Jia League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Liaoning Tieren | 27 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 57:26 | 31 | 61 |
| 2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 50:32 | 18 | 55 |
| 3 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 46:30 | 16 | 53 |
| 4 | Yanbian Longding | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 34:24 | 10 | 46 |
| 5 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 37:29 | 8 | 44 |
| 6 | Nantong Zhiyun | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 43:26 | 17 | 43 |
| 7 | Dingnan Ganlian | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 37:32 | 5 | 40 |
| 8 | Dalian K'un City | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 36:34 | 2 | 38 |
| 9 | Shaanxi Union | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 41:41 | 0 | 35 |
| 10 | Nanjing City | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 35:39 | -4 | 32 |
| 11 | Suzhou Dongwu | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 22:28 | -6 | 31 |
| 12 | Shanghai Jiading Huilong | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 24:38 | -14 | 30 |
| 13 | Foshan Nanshi | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 25:43 | -18 | 25 |
| 14 | Shenzhen Juniors | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 35:56 | -21 | 24 |
| 15 | Guangxi Pingguo Haliao | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 21:39 | -18 | 22 |
| 16 | Qingdao Red Lions | 27 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 15:41 | -26 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Relegation ~ Yi League
