Result
1:1
12/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jia League - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 50% (93/185) | 71% (239/339) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 1.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 50% (93/185) | 71% (239/339) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (30/74) | 37% (31/83) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 44% (40/90) | 51% (61/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (4/21) | 18% (4/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.36 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 12', 1 - 0, Sun Xipeng ⚽, Leandro Alves (A),
- 45+4', 1 - 1, Cheukoua M. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Hu Jiajin ↓, Fan Chao ↑,
- 46', Shi Zhe ↓, Lu K. ↑,
- 62', Yao Xuchen ↓, Song Runtong ↑,
- 71', Liu Hao ↓, Feng Yifan ↑,
- 85', Fu Shang ↓, Yang Jingfan ↑,
- 90+6', You Wenjie 🟨,
Chances of winning
Qingdao Red Lions
25.2% | Draw
36.7% | Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
38.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Qingdao Red Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Qingdao Red Lions's form might have worsened.Guangxi Pingguo Haliao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qingdao Red Lions than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangxi Pingguo Haliao than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Qingdao Red Lions - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4 ↑
(2.91) |
2.75 ↓
(3.1) |
2.64 ↑
(2.29) |
-0.7%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League).
- Qingdao Red Lions is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Guangxi has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Guangxi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Guangxi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- We predict that Guangxi will win today's game, with odds of 2.16.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Qingdao Red Lions won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1.3:2.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Qingdao Red Lions won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Qingdao Red Lions won against Guangxi Pingguo Haliao?
Qingdao Red Lions has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guangxi Pingguo Haliao won against Qingdao Red Lions?
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Qingdao Red Lions - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao were as follows:
31.05.2025
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
-
Qingdao Red Lions
1:0
31.08.2024
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
-
Qingdao Red Lions
3:2
14.04.2024
Qingdao Red Lions
-
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
2:3
Latest results of Qingdao Red Lions
Latest results of Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
Chinese Jia League Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Yanbian Longding | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Wuxi Wugou | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Dingnan Ganlian | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Nantong Zhiyun | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Nanjing City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Dalian K'un City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Shenzhen Juniors | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 10 | Guangxi Hengchen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 | Shaanxi Union | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Foshan Nanshi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 13 | Suzhou Dongwu | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | -3 |
| 14 | Ningbo Professional | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | -3 |
| 15 | Meizhou Hakka | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | -3 |
| 16 | Changchun Yatai | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | -4 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Relegation ~ League Two
